ANALÝZA: Zadina více času nedostal. Pešánovy Pardubice mají méně bodů, přesto jsou lepší

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Pardubický kádr samozřejmě doznal oproti loňské sezoně mnoha změn, ale už pod Zadinou patřil k nejlepším v extralize, takže herní rozdíl by neměl být až tak znatelný.

Optikou očekávaných bodů, se kterými analytická data extraligy pracují až od letošní sezony, výkony Dynama tak nějak odpovídají počtu bodů, které získalo. Na základě dat by jich mělo mít 15,2, což by ovšem v rámci extraligy mělo pohodlně stačit na třetí místo. Hokej ale není jen o číslech a zejména v úvodu sezony mnoho celků hraje nad očekávání.

Ačkoli mají Pešánovy Pardubice méně bodů, oproti Zadinovým došlo k razantnímu hernímu zlepšení. Pod bývalým reprezentačním koučem hraje Dynamo atraktivnější hokej, utkání má daleko více pod kontrolou. Podíl očekávaných gólů, jenž tuto statistiku vyzdvihuje nejlépe, má lehce nad 60 procenty. Po Spartě druhé nejlepší číslo. Loni pod Zadinou byly Pardubice pod 48 procenty, což je obrovský nepoměr.

Foto: Sport.cz

Projekce Jakuba Lauka, hodnoty jsou uvedeny v percentilu

V očekávaných gólech jsou obecně velké nuance. Letos jich adept na titul stíhá 2,8 za šedesát minut hry (opět druhé nejlepší číslo), loni jich po stejném kole a konci Zadiny měl pouhých 1,98, což byl vůbec nejhorší resultát z celé soutěže. Ve zkratce se dá říct, že sběr bodů pod bývalým trenérem byl spíš důsledkem nadstandardní hráčské kvality Dynama.

Doloží to i statistika nebezpečných střel. Do těch se totiž Východočeši v úvodu loňské sezony prakticky nedostávali. Z předbrankového prostoru i na brankovišti samotném měli nejmenší počet střeleckých pokusů. Vysoce nebezpečných střel bylo také pomálu. Jedničkou naopak byli při pokusech s malou pravděpodobností na úspěch.

Přihlaste se a sledujte exkluzivní videa z Tipsport extraligy

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Brno – Pardubice, rozhodující gól Sobotky proti KometěVideo: Tipsport Extraliga / BPA

Letos jsou Pardubice jako vyměněné. Zlepšily se a ve všech metrikách. Kde byly loni touto dobou poslední, se pohybují v první pětici tabulky. V souhrnném percentilu mají druhou nejlepší střelbu v celé soutěži. Pomáhá k tomu i úspěšnější tvorba hry, kde si Dynamo v útočném pásmu dokáže daleko lépe vytvářet střelecké pozice než loni.

A to se jim až v posledních dvou kolech vrátil do hry možná vůbec nejlepší tvůrce hry v celé soutěži Roman Červenka. Bodově jsou na tom Pardubice hůř než pod Zadinou, herně jsou však vyspělejší.

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