Warriors vs. Timberwolves odds, prediction, time: 2025 NBA playoff picks, Game 1 best bets from proven model

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The 7-seed Golden State Warriors go on the road to play the 6-seed Minnesota Timberwolves in the 2025 NBA Western Conference Semifinals on Monday. The Warriors are fresh off a grueling seven-game series in the first round of the 2025 NBA playoffs, when they took down the 2-seed Houston Rockets in seven games. On the other side, Minnesota eliminated the 3-seed Los Angeles Lakers in five games. 

Tipoff is at 9:30 p.m. ET from the Target Center in Minnesota. Minnesota is a 7-point favorite in the latest Timberwolves vs. Warriors odds from DraftKings Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is 209.5. Before locking in any Warriors vs. Timberwolves picks, make sure to check out the NBA predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in betting profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past six-plus seasons. The model enters the conference semifinals of the 2025 NBA playoffs on a sizzling 159-116 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, including a 3-0 mark in the playoffs, returning nearly $4,000. It is also 23-11 (68%) on top-rated NBA against-the-spread picks this season. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen huge returns.

Now, the model has simulated Warriors vs. Timberwolves 10,000 times and just revealed its coveted NBA picks and betting predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NBA odds and NBA betting lines for Warriors vs. Timberwolves:

  • Warriors vs. Timberwolves spread: Minnesota -7 at DraftKings Sportsbook
  • Warriors vs. Timberwolves over/under: 209.5 points
  • Warriors vs. Timberwolves money line: Minnesota -285, Golden State +230
  • MIN: Timberwolves are 43-43-1 against the spread this season            
  • GS: Warriors are 44-43-3 against the spread this season 
  • Warriors vs. Timberwolves picks: See picks at SportsLine
  • Warriors vs. Timberwolves streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)

Why the Warriors can cover

Guard Stephen Curry is the engine of this offense and opens things up for everyone. This postseason, he leads the team in points (24) and assists (5.7) with 5.9 rebounds per game. He dropped 20-plus points in five of the seven first-round contests. In his last outing, Curry finished with 22 points, 10 boards and seven dimes. 

Guard Buddy Hield is a knockdown shooter on the outside who takes advantage of the extra space he sees in this offense. The Oklahoma product had 15-plus points in three of his last five games. In the Game 7 victory over the Rockets, Hield totaled a team-high 33 points, three assists and went 9-of-11 from beyond the arc. See which team to back at SportsLine.

Why the Timberwolves can cover

Guard Anthony Edwards is an athletic force in the backcourt. Edwards leads the team in points (26.8) and assists (6.2) with 8.4 rebounds per game. He scored at least 20 points and dished out at least six assists in four of the five games against the Lakers in Round 1. On April 27, Edwards racked up 43 points, nine rebounds and six dimes.

Forward Julius Randle is a solid offensive weapon at the Timberwolves’ disposal. Randle is averaging 22.6 points, 5.2 rebounds and 4.4 assists per game. He’s scored at least 22 points in four straight games. In his last outing, Randle had 23 points, five rebounds and four dimes. See which team to back at SportsLine

How to make Warriors vs. Timberwolves picks

SportsLine’s model has simulated Warriors vs. Timberwolves and is leaning Over the total, projecting 215 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in nearly 60% of simulations. You can head to SportsLine to see the model’s NBA picks

So who wins Warriors vs. Timberwolves, and which side of the spread hits in nearly 60% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Warriors vs. Timberwolves spread to back, all from the model that has returned well over $10,000 on top-rated NBA picks, and find out. 

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