A spot in the Western Conference finals is on the line when the Denver Nuggets battle the Oklahoma City Thunder in Game 7 of their conference semifinal series on Sunday. Denver forced the deciding game with a 119-107 win on Thursday in Game 7. The Nuggets (50-32), the NBA champions in 2022-2023, are 2-4 on the road in the 2025 NBA playoffs. The Thunder (68-14), who last reached the conference finals in 2015-2016, are 4-1 on their home court during the playoffs.
Tipoff from Paycom Center in Oklahoma City is set for 3:30 p.m. ET. The Thunder are 8.5-point favorites in the latest Nuggets vs. Thunder odds from DraftKings Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is 213. The Thunder are -342 on the money line (risk $342 to win $100), while the Nuggets are +271 (risk $100 to win $271). Before making any Thunder vs. Nuggets picks, check out the NBA predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in betting profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past six-plus seasons. The model enters the second week of the conference semifinals of the 2025 NBA playoffs on a sizzling 159-117 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning nearly $4,000. It is also 23-11 (68%) on top-rated NBA against-the-spread picks this season. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen huge returns.
Now, the model has simulated Nuggets vs. Thunder 10,000 times and just revealed its coveted NBA picks and betting predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NBA odds and NBA betting lines for Thunder vs. Nuggets:
- Nuggets vs. Thunder spread: Oklahoma City -8.5 at DraftKings
- Nuggets vs. Thunder over/under: 213 points
- Nuggets vs. Thunder money line: Oklahoma City -342, Nuggets +271
- DEN: The Nuggets have hit the money line in 41 of their last 66 games (+14.35 units)
- OKC: The Thunder have hit the team total over in 26 of their last 38 home games (+12.05 units)
- Nuggets vs. Thunder picks: See picks at SportsLine
- Nuggets vs. Thunder streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)
Why the Thunder can cover
Point guard Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been on a tear. In Thursday’s Game 6 loss at Denver, he poured in 32 points, while dishing out six assists and grabbing three rebounds. He had 31 points, seven assists, six rebounds, two blocks and two steals in a 112-105 Game 5 win on Tuesday. In 10 postseason starts, he is averaging 28.4 points, 6.6 assists, 6.2 rebounds and 1.3 steals in 36.7 minutes.
Another offensive threat for the Thunder is forward Jalen Williams. In 10 playoff games, all starts, he is averaging 19.2 points, 5.6 assists, 5.4 rebounds and 1.5 steals in 35.2 minutes. He has registered double-digit scoring in five of the first six games of the series. In a 113-104 overtime loss in Game 3 on May 9, he scored 32 points, while adding five assists and three rebounds in 43 minutes. See which team to back at SportsLine.
Why the Nuggets can cover
Center Nikola Jokic registered his fourth consecutive double-double in the series. In 13 postseason games, all starts, he is averaging 26.7 points, 13 rebounds, 8.1 assists and 2.2 steals in 40.5 minutes. He is coming off a solid Game 6 performance in which he scored 29 points, while grabbing 14 rebounds, dishing out eight assists and making two steals. In Game 5, he poured in 44 points, while adding 15 rebounds, five assists and two steals.
Point guard Jamal Murray is coming off back-to-back 20-plus point performances. In Game 6, he scored 25 points, while adding eight rebounds and seven assists. He had 28 points, four rebounds and three assists in the Game 5 loss. In 13 playoff games, he is averaging 22.5 points, 5.5 assists, 5.2 rebounds and 1.1 steals in 41.8 minutes. See which team to back at SportsLine.
How to make Nuggets vs. Thunder picks
SportsLine’s model has simulated Thunder vs. Nuggets 10,000 times and is leaning under the total, projecting 214 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations. You can head to SportsLine to see the model’s NBA picks.
So who wins Nuggets vs. Thunder, and which side of the spread cashes in well over 50% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Nuggets vs. Thunder spread to back, all from the model that has returned well over $10,000 on top-rated NBA picks, and find out.
This news was originally published on this post .
About the author
Visiting NEOM, the new Saudi superclub built to rule all others before the 2034 World Cup
There are many projects in Saudi Arabia, most of them ambitious, and many of them designed to disrupt the status quo.One such project is NEOM SC, a soccer club owned by the Public Investment Fund — the same sovereign wealth fund that owns Premier League club Newcastle United — and which is being fast-tracked to become one of the biggest in the world.AdvertisementFive years is their ambitious target for reaching the Club World Cup, then the plan is for the team and its stadium, to be built at the controversial project The Line, to act as a showpiece when the kingdom hosts the World Cup in 2034.James Montague visited the remote city of Tabuk to find out more about the so-far secretive club…Tabuk, Kingdom of Saudi ArabiaIt wasn’t until late afternoon, when the shadows grew long enough to offer some […]
Visiting NEOM, the new Saudi superclub built to rule all others before the 2034 World Cup
There are many projects in Saudi Arabia, most of them ambitious, and many of them designed to disrupt the status quo.One such project is NEOM SC, a soccer club owned by the Public Investment Fund — the same sovereign wealth fund that owns Premier League club Newcastle United — and which is being fast-tracked to become one of the biggest in the world.AdvertisementFive years is their ambitious target for reaching the Club World Cup, then the plan is for the team and its stadium, to be built at the controversial project The Line, to act as a showpiece when the kingdom hosts the World Cup in 2034.James Montague visited the remote city of Tabuk to find out more about the so-far secretive club…Tabuk, Kingdom of Saudi ArabiaIt wasn’t until late afternoon, when the shadows grew long enough to offer some […]
The origin story of an iconic Anfield banner – and why Arne Slot will soon adorn it
It is one of Anfield’s most iconic banners.Six metres wide and three metres high, it features the faces of six cherished managers from Liverpool’s illustrious history — Bill Shankly, Bob Paisley, Joe Fagan, Kenny Dalglish, Rafa Benitez and Jurgen Klopp — and takes pride of place near the front of the Kop before each home game.AdvertisementThis summer, it will undergo a makeover, with Arne Slot set to be added alongside Klopp for the start of next season. It is recognition for the Dutch head coach guiding Liverpool to the Premier League title during a remarkable first campaign.The banner belongs to the Irish Kop, an online forum Dublin-based Liverpool supporter Paul Larkin set up in 2003. It boasts around 8,000 members, including fellow regular match-goers Liam Flanagan and Ger Kane.The question of whether to add Slot to the banner so early […]
The origin story of an iconic Anfield banner – and why Arne Slot will soon adorn it
It is one of Anfield’s most iconic banners.Six metres wide and three metres high, it features the faces of six cherished managers from Liverpool’s illustrious history — Bill Shankly, Bob Paisley, Joe Fagan, Kenny Dalglish, Rafa Benitez and Jurgen Klopp — and takes pride of place near the front of the Kop before each home game.AdvertisementThis summer, it will undergo a makeover, with Arne Slot set to be added alongside Klopp for the start of next season. It is recognition for the Dutch head coach guiding Liverpool to the Premier League title during a remarkable first campaign.The banner belongs to the Irish Kop, an online forum Dublin-based Liverpool supporter Paul Larkin set up in 2003. It boasts around 8,000 members, including fellow regular match-goers Liam Flanagan and Ger Kane.The question of whether to add Slot to the banner so early […]
Giants use walk-off walk to beat the Athletics in the 10th inning
<!--> Wilmer Flores drew a bases-loaded walk on the ninth pitch from Mason Miller with two outs in the 10th inning to bring home Willy Adames and send the San Francisco Giants to a 1-0 win against the Athletics on Saturday night.Miller (0-2) intentionally walked Mike Yastrzemski to bring up Flores with the game on the line a night after the Giants slugger hit three home runs with a grand slam and drove in eight runs in a 9-1 win. Miller walked LaMonte Wade Jr. to start the inning with Adames as the automatic baserunner at second.Camilo Doval (3-1) tossed a perfect ninth for the win in the 2-hour, 23-minute game.A sellout crowd was treated to a pitcher's duel in what for so long was called the Bay Bridge Series but is now being deemed the "Highway 80 Series" since […]
How Barcelona celebrated winning La Liga – players cycling to see Torres and 670,000 fans in the streets
The Barcelona players formed a circle and started jumping on the pitch.They had been La Liga champions for about 30 seconds on Thursday night when their coach, Hansi Flick, ran over and started urging each player towards the dressing room. Some of them who were ignoring him were given a small push in the right direction.AdvertisementLess than a minute after the referee blew the final whistle, the RCDE Stadium (home of Barcelona’s cross-city rivals, Espanyol) turned on the sprinklers to bring an even more abrupt end to the title winners’ celebrations.Two years ago, Barcelona were crowned champions in the same venue under Xavi Hernandez. That occasion hurt even more for Espanyol — not only did they have to watch their rivals lift the title, the result also relegated them to Spain’s second division. There was a pitch invasion and the […]
Related
Visiting NEOM, the new Saudi superclub built to rule all others before the 2034 World Cup
There are many projects in Saudi Arabia, most of them ambitious, and many of them designed to disrupt the status quo.One such project is NEOM SC, a soccer club owned by the Public Investment Fund — the same sovereign wealth fund that owns Premier League club Newcastle United — and which is being fast-tracked to become one of the biggest in the world.AdvertisementFive years is their ambitious target for reaching the Club World Cup, then the plan is for the team and its stadium, to be built at the controversial project The Line, to act as a showpiece when the kingdom hosts the World Cup in 2034.James Montague visited the remote city of Tabuk to find out more about the so-far secretive club…Tabuk, Kingdom of Saudi ArabiaIt wasn’t until late afternoon, when the shadows grew long enough to offer some […]
Visiting NEOM, the new Saudi superclub built to rule all others before the 2034 World Cup
There are many projects in Saudi Arabia, most of them ambitious, and many of them designed to disrupt the status quo.One such project is NEOM SC, a soccer club owned by the Public Investment Fund — the same sovereign wealth fund that owns Premier League club Newcastle United — and which is being fast-tracked to become one of the biggest in the world.AdvertisementFive years is their ambitious target for reaching the Club World Cup, then the plan is for the team and its stadium, to be built at the controversial project The Line, to act as a showpiece when the kingdom hosts the World Cup in 2034.James Montague visited the remote city of Tabuk to find out more about the so-far secretive club…Tabuk, Kingdom of Saudi ArabiaIt wasn’t until late afternoon, when the shadows grew long enough to offer some […]
The origin story of an iconic Anfield banner – and why Arne Slot will soon adorn it
It is one of Anfield’s most iconic banners.Six metres wide and three metres high, it features the faces of six cherished managers from Liverpool’s illustrious history — Bill Shankly, Bob Paisley, Joe Fagan, Kenny Dalglish, Rafa Benitez and Jurgen Klopp — and takes pride of place near the front of the Kop before each home game.AdvertisementThis summer, it will undergo a makeover, with Arne Slot set to be added alongside Klopp for the start of next season. It is recognition for the Dutch head coach guiding Liverpool to the Premier League title during a remarkable first campaign.The banner belongs to the Irish Kop, an online forum Dublin-based Liverpool supporter Paul Larkin set up in 2003. It boasts around 8,000 members, including fellow regular match-goers Liam Flanagan and Ger Kane.The question of whether to add Slot to the banner so early […]
The origin story of an iconic Anfield banner – and why Arne Slot will soon adorn it
It is one of Anfield’s most iconic banners.Six metres wide and three metres high, it features the faces of six cherished managers from Liverpool’s illustrious history — Bill Shankly, Bob Paisley, Joe Fagan, Kenny Dalglish, Rafa Benitez and Jurgen Klopp — and takes pride of place near the front of the Kop before each home game.AdvertisementThis summer, it will undergo a makeover, with Arne Slot set to be added alongside Klopp for the start of next season. It is recognition for the Dutch head coach guiding Liverpool to the Premier League title during a remarkable first campaign.The banner belongs to the Irish Kop, an online forum Dublin-based Liverpool supporter Paul Larkin set up in 2003. It boasts around 8,000 members, including fellow regular match-goers Liam Flanagan and Ger Kane.The question of whether to add Slot to the banner so early […]
Giants use walk-off walk to beat the Athletics in the 10th inning
<!--> Wilmer Flores drew a bases-loaded walk on the ninth pitch from Mason Miller with two outs in the 10th inning to bring home Willy Adames and send the San Francisco Giants to a 1-0 win against the Athletics on Saturday night.Miller (0-2) intentionally walked Mike Yastrzemski to bring up Flores with the game on the line a night after the Giants slugger hit three home runs with a grand slam and drove in eight runs in a 9-1 win. Miller walked LaMonte Wade Jr. to start the inning with Adames as the automatic baserunner at second.Camilo Doval (3-1) tossed a perfect ninth for the win in the 2-hour, 23-minute game.A sellout crowd was treated to a pitcher's duel in what for so long was called the Bay Bridge Series but is now being deemed the "Highway 80 Series" since […]
How Barcelona celebrated winning La Liga – players cycling to see Torres and 670,000 fans in the streets
The Barcelona players formed a circle and started jumping on the pitch.They had been La Liga champions for about 30 seconds on Thursday night when their coach, Hansi Flick, ran over and started urging each player towards the dressing room. Some of them who were ignoring him were given a small push in the right direction.AdvertisementLess than a minute after the referee blew the final whistle, the RCDE Stadium (home of Barcelona’s cross-city rivals, Espanyol) turned on the sprinklers to bring an even more abrupt end to the title winners’ celebrations.Two years ago, Barcelona were crowned champions in the same venue under Xavi Hernandez. That occasion hurt even more for Espanyol — not only did they have to watch their rivals lift the title, the result also relegated them to Spain’s second division. There was a pitch invasion and the […]
Be the first to leave a comment