Very few professional athletes will admit they listen to the outside chatter about them, especially during the NBA playoffs, but the last time Karl-Anthony Towns took the court, he played like someone ready to silence any critics. Towns scored 11 points in the first quarter of New York’s 119-81 close-out victory over the Boston Celtics on Friday and finished the contest with 21 points on a series-high 20 field-goal attempts. The Knicks will begin their Eastern Conference Finals series against the Indiana Pacers on Wednesday in a rematch of a conference semifinals series from last year, which the Pacers won in seven games, but the Knicks didn’t have Towns yet in that series. Towns could give you value in the Wednesday NBA player props, even above players like Jalen Brunson and Tyrese Haliburton. You can enter pregame NBA props on betting apps up until Wednesday’s 8 p.m. ET tipoff from Madison Square Garden. Towns could also be popular pieces of a Knicks vs. Pacers same-game parlay at online betting sites.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past six-plus seasons. One of the Data Scientists behind the model, Stephen Oh (@StephenOhCBS), analyzed the sim results and broke down the supporting evidence to reveal which player props have the best value for today’s slate. The NBA odds could change, so act now for maximum value. You can find more analysis from Oh and other SportsLine data analysts on their Inside The Lines blog.
Best Knicks vs. Pacers Game 1 NBA props:
- Pascal Siakam Over 28.5 points + rebounds + assists (-120)
- Karl-Anthony Towns Over 1.5 assists (-125)
- Mitchell Robinson Under 6.5 rebounds (+126)
Pascal Siakam Over 28.5 points + rebounds + assists (-120)
Siakam went Over this total in each of the final two games of Indiana’s series against the Cavaliers, capping off their five-game series victory with 21 points, eight rebounds and five assists on Tuesday. The 31-year-old having more than a week off should benefit his recovery and potentially lead to an expanded workload in Game 1 on Wednesday after playing a series-high 40 minutes in Game 5. The model projects a PRA of 32 for Siakam on Wednesday, and he’s gone Over this total in 63.6% of games this season. Oh notes Siakam has been even better against the Knicks lately, going Over this PRA total in 10 of 14 matchups against New York over the last two years.
“His balanced stat line in the Cavaliers series —consistent scoring, rebounding, and assisting—makes him a reliable Over candidate, especially since he’s rarely double-teamed and benefits from Halliburton drawing defensive attention,” Oh said. “In the Cavs series, his points ranged from 17 to 21 in four of the five games. His rebounds ranged from 6-8 in four of the five and his assists were between 3-5 in all five games.” FanDuel Sportsbook is currently offering Over 28.5 PRA at -120 odds, and signing up using a FanDuel promo code can limit your risk on a first wager.
Karl-Anthony Towns Over 1.5 assists (-125)
Towns never had more than one assist in New York’s six games against Boston, but as mentioned above, the 29-year-old came out with a different aggression in Game 6. The Knicks will certainly encourage their five-time All-Star forward to do the same on Wednesday. Aggression doesn’t always need to mean a high-scoring volume though, and after Towns averaged 3.1 assists per game during the regular season, the model projects that version of Towns to show itself in Game 1. The model projects 2.9 assists for Towns on Wednesday.
He had five assists against the Pacers on February 11 in his last game against Indiana. Cleveland center Jarrett Allen had multiple assists in two of his five games against the Pacers last series, despite averaging just 1.9 assists per game during the season. Towns should be able to create offense from passes both inside and outside the paint to shooters and cutters on Wednesday. BetMGM is offering the best odds at -125 for Towns, and new users can take advantage of the latest BetMGM promo code.
Mitchell Robinson Under 6.5 rebounds (+120)
Robinson went Over this total in five of six games against the Celtics last series, but in Game 6 with a stronger performance from Towns and Josh Hart adding 11 rebounds, Robinson finished with just four rebounds in 14 minutes off the bench. Given how matchup-dependent Robinson is for how much playing time he’ll receive, playing Robinson Overs in Game 1 of any series can be a risk. Robinson played 12 minutes off the bench in Game 1 of the Eastern Conference semifinals against the Pacers last year before suffering a season-ending ankle injury and he didn’t play against the Pacers this year due to injury.
The Knicks went with a starter’s heavy approach in Game 6 against the Celtics, which limited Robinson to just 14 minutes, and you can’t argue the game results as the Knicks won by 38 points. New York hasn’t played since Friday, so the extended rest could lead to coach Tom Thibodeau implementing a similar game plan in Game 1. The model projects Robinson for 5.9 rebounds over 19 minutes and sees value in this play at plus-money odds. A Caesars Sportsbook promo code for new users or anyone with an account already can make this play at +120 odds, the best odds currently available on the market.
This news was originally published on this post .
About the author
Sky Sports’ end-of-season awards: MVP, best signing & goal
After another memorable season of Premier League football, the Sky Sports football writers have got together to pick their end-of-season gongs covering everything from the best game, to the most outstanding save and young player. Sunday 25th May 3:00pm Kick off 4:00pm Best player: Mohamed Salah Please use Chrome browser for a more accessible video player Saturday Social try and work out who the 10 standout players have been in the Premier League this season When a player breaks the record for goal involvements in a 38-game Premier League season and fires his team to the title, it makes this category pretty routine. Step forward, Mo Salah. The Liverpool star has taken his game to new levels at the age of 32, posting career-best figures for assists to go with his huge haul of goals. Yes, Virgil van Dijk has […]
Everything to know about the first-ever Wienie 500 on Indy 500 Carb Day
<!--> The day is finally here. On Friday afternoon, Oscar Mayer’s six iconic Wienermobiles will hit the Indianapolis Motor Speedway for the first-ever "Wienie 500" race, in celebration of Sunday's Indianapolis 500 (12:30 p.m. ET on FOX).It marks the first time in a decade all six vehicles in the company fleet will be at the same location, and it’s the first time they’ve ever raced.Here's everything you need to know about the Wienie 500.What is the Wienie 500?The "Wienie 500" is a first-of-its-kind spectacle where the fleet of Wienermobiles will haul buns to the legendary Indianapolis Motor Speedway for a race unlike any other.When is the Wienie 500?The race is scheduled for Friday at 2 p.m. during race week’s annual Carb Day festivities.How can I watch the Wienie 500?The race will be streamed live on Friday, May 23 at 2 […]
Everything to know about the first-ever Wienie 500 on Indy 500 Carb Day
<!--> The day is finally here. On Friday afternoon, Oscar Mayer’s six iconic Wienermobiles will hit the Indianapolis Motor Speedway for the first-ever "Wienie 500" race, in celebration of Sunday's Indianapolis 500 (12:30 p.m. ET on FOX).It marks the first time in a decade all six vehicles in the company fleet will be at the same location, and it’s the first time they’ve ever raced.Here's everything you need to know about the Wienie 500.What is the Wienie 500?The "Wienie 500" is a first-of-its-kind spectacle where the fleet of Wienermobiles will haul buns to the legendary Indianapolis Motor Speedway for a race unlike any other.When is the Wienie 500?The race is scheduled for Friday at 2 p.m. during race week’s annual Carb Day festivities.How can I watch the Wienie 500?The race will be streamed live on Friday, May 23 at 2 […]
Vor Fußball-Finale in Berlin – Moderatorin plante krassen Flugzeug-Stunt
Es sollte spektakulär werden, doch jetzt wurde es abgeblasen.Am Sonntag geht es in der Berliner Max-Schmeling-Halle um den Titel der Icon League – der Kleinfeld-Liga, hinter der unter anderem Top-Streamer Elias Nerlich (27) und Fußball-Legende Toni Kroos (35) stehen. Moderatorin Jana Wosnitza (31) sollte den Pokal für den Sieger eigentlich per Fallschirm-Sprung aus 4000 Metern nach Berlin bringen. So wäre sie mit dem Skydiver Marco Fürst im Tandem eingeschwebt. Dies war in Anlehnung an die Eröffnung der Olympischen Spiele von London 2012 gedacht gewesen. Das Flugzeug mit den beiden wäre vom Flugplatz Fehrbellin abgehoben.Lesen Sie auch<!-->[-->Doch eine Kaltwetter-Front mit heftigen Winden von 40 bis 55 km/h macht dem Ganzen einen Strich durch die Rechnung. Diese Bedingungen machen den Sprung zu gefährlich. Als Tandem ist man mit 30 bis 45 km/h unterwegs. Die beiden wären also weggepustet worden. Wosnitza bedauert die […]
The Nuno you don’t see at Nottingham Forest: Handpan player, diver, horse lover, ‘maniac’, worm dancer
“He was brilliant at ‘the Worm’. We used to play the Mario song Let Me Love You. Nuno would blast the volume up: ‘Let me love you! Let me be the one to…!’ Everyone in the dressing room would start clapping. And then we’d get Nuno’s dance. He’d go from one wall to the other, then reverse all the way back across a rock-hard floor. Everyone used to crack up with laughter. Ahahaha! Nuno was the king of the Worm.”AdvertisementBenni McCarthy, South Africa’s record all-time scorer, is reminiscing about his long-standing friendship with Nuno Espirito Santo and their lifelong bond as Champions League winners with Porto.“What a lot of people don’t know is that Nuno was the dressing-room joker,” says McCarthy. “He used to clown about all the time. You’d never know when you see his interviews now. He always […]
The Oklahoma City Thunder are an old-school juggernaut lording over a new, supposedly wide-open NBA
Imagn Images The story of these NBA playoffs has been the league's newfound and designed parity, and for good reason. The margins in this postseason field have felt virtually nonexistent. Seeds have hardly mattered, creating a perception that this championship chase is actually wide-open. But in reality, it's not. With their 118-103 victory over the Timberwolves on Thursday, the Oklahoma City Thunder, who now lead the Western Conference finals 2-0, continue to distance themselves from an otherwise evenly matched pack. The truth is, the parity of this particular race lies in the battle for second place between a bunch of good-but-not-great teams fighting to win the inches that separate them. Meanwhile, of the four teams still alive, Oklahoma City is miles ahead and well on its way, barring some sort of significant injury, to winning the title. The Timberwolves will tell themselves they're […]
Related
Sky Sports’ end-of-season awards: MVP, best signing & goal
After another memorable season of Premier League football, the Sky Sports football writers have got together to pick their end-of-season gongs covering everything from the best game, to the most outstanding save and young player. Sunday 25th May 3:00pm Kick off 4:00pm Best player: Mohamed Salah Please use Chrome browser for a more accessible video player Saturday Social try and work out who the 10 standout players have been in the Premier League this season When a player breaks the record for goal involvements in a 38-game Premier League season and fires his team to the title, it makes this category pretty routine. Step forward, Mo Salah. The Liverpool star has taken his game to new levels at the age of 32, posting career-best figures for assists to go with his huge haul of goals. Yes, Virgil van Dijk has […]
Everything to know about the first-ever Wienie 500 on Indy 500 Carb Day
<!--> The day is finally here. On Friday afternoon, Oscar Mayer’s six iconic Wienermobiles will hit the Indianapolis Motor Speedway for the first-ever "Wienie 500" race, in celebration of Sunday's Indianapolis 500 (12:30 p.m. ET on FOX).It marks the first time in a decade all six vehicles in the company fleet will be at the same location, and it’s the first time they’ve ever raced.Here's everything you need to know about the Wienie 500.What is the Wienie 500?The "Wienie 500" is a first-of-its-kind spectacle where the fleet of Wienermobiles will haul buns to the legendary Indianapolis Motor Speedway for a race unlike any other.When is the Wienie 500?The race is scheduled for Friday at 2 p.m. during race week’s annual Carb Day festivities.How can I watch the Wienie 500?The race will be streamed live on Friday, May 23 at 2 […]
Everything to know about the first-ever Wienie 500 on Indy 500 Carb Day
<!--> The day is finally here. On Friday afternoon, Oscar Mayer’s six iconic Wienermobiles will hit the Indianapolis Motor Speedway for the first-ever "Wienie 500" race, in celebration of Sunday's Indianapolis 500 (12:30 p.m. ET on FOX).It marks the first time in a decade all six vehicles in the company fleet will be at the same location, and it’s the first time they’ve ever raced.Here's everything you need to know about the Wienie 500.What is the Wienie 500?The "Wienie 500" is a first-of-its-kind spectacle where the fleet of Wienermobiles will haul buns to the legendary Indianapolis Motor Speedway for a race unlike any other.When is the Wienie 500?The race is scheduled for Friday at 2 p.m. during race week’s annual Carb Day festivities.How can I watch the Wienie 500?The race will be streamed live on Friday, May 23 at 2 […]
Vor Fußball-Finale in Berlin – Moderatorin plante krassen Flugzeug-Stunt
Es sollte spektakulär werden, doch jetzt wurde es abgeblasen.Am Sonntag geht es in der Berliner Max-Schmeling-Halle um den Titel der Icon League – der Kleinfeld-Liga, hinter der unter anderem Top-Streamer Elias Nerlich (27) und Fußball-Legende Toni Kroos (35) stehen. Moderatorin Jana Wosnitza (31) sollte den Pokal für den Sieger eigentlich per Fallschirm-Sprung aus 4000 Metern nach Berlin bringen. So wäre sie mit dem Skydiver Marco Fürst im Tandem eingeschwebt. Dies war in Anlehnung an die Eröffnung der Olympischen Spiele von London 2012 gedacht gewesen. Das Flugzeug mit den beiden wäre vom Flugplatz Fehrbellin abgehoben.Lesen Sie auch<!-->[-->Doch eine Kaltwetter-Front mit heftigen Winden von 40 bis 55 km/h macht dem Ganzen einen Strich durch die Rechnung. Diese Bedingungen machen den Sprung zu gefährlich. Als Tandem ist man mit 30 bis 45 km/h unterwegs. Die beiden wären also weggepustet worden. Wosnitza bedauert die […]
The Nuno you don’t see at Nottingham Forest: Handpan player, diver, horse lover, ‘maniac’, worm dancer
“He was brilliant at ‘the Worm’. We used to play the Mario song Let Me Love You. Nuno would blast the volume up: ‘Let me love you! Let me be the one to…!’ Everyone in the dressing room would start clapping. And then we’d get Nuno’s dance. He’d go from one wall to the other, then reverse all the way back across a rock-hard floor. Everyone used to crack up with laughter. Ahahaha! Nuno was the king of the Worm.”AdvertisementBenni McCarthy, South Africa’s record all-time scorer, is reminiscing about his long-standing friendship with Nuno Espirito Santo and their lifelong bond as Champions League winners with Porto.“What a lot of people don’t know is that Nuno was the dressing-room joker,” says McCarthy. “He used to clown about all the time. You’d never know when you see his interviews now. He always […]
The Oklahoma City Thunder are an old-school juggernaut lording over a new, supposedly wide-open NBA
Imagn Images The story of these NBA playoffs has been the league's newfound and designed parity, and for good reason. The margins in this postseason field have felt virtually nonexistent. Seeds have hardly mattered, creating a perception that this championship chase is actually wide-open. But in reality, it's not. With their 118-103 victory over the Timberwolves on Thursday, the Oklahoma City Thunder, who now lead the Western Conference finals 2-0, continue to distance themselves from an otherwise evenly matched pack. The truth is, the parity of this particular race lies in the battle for second place between a bunch of good-but-not-great teams fighting to win the inches that separate them. Meanwhile, of the four teams still alive, Oklahoma City is miles ahead and well on its way, barring some sort of significant injury, to winning the title. The Timberwolves will tell themselves they're […]
Be the first to leave a comment