Christopher Bell’s three-race win streak ended last week in Las Vegas, but 2025 NASCAR at Miami presents another opportunity to start a new one. Bell won at Homestead-Miami Speedway in 2023 and finished fourth last year, boosting his prospects for the 2025 Straight Talk Wireless 400 on Sunday at 3 p.m. ET. Bell’s average finish of 5.3 at this track since 2022 is tied for the best in the sport alongside A.J. Allmendinger, the only driver with top-10s in each of the last three NASCAR at Miami races. While Bell is near the top of the 2025 Straight Talk Wireless 400 odds at 15-2, Allmendinger could be a steal in 2025 NASCAR at Miami bets at 65-1. The favorite for the sixth race of the Cup Series is Kyle Larson at 7-2, followed by Tyler Reddick (7-1) and Ryan Blaney (11-2). The latest 2025 NASCAR Miami forecast is calling for cloudy skies and temperatures in the 70s.
Before entering any 2025 Straight Talk Wireless 400 picks, be sure to see the latest 2025 NASCAR at Homestead-Miami predictions from SportsLine’s proven projection model. Developed by SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, the proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times and has nailed a whopping 19 winners since 2021.
SportsLine simulated the Straight Talk Wireless 400 2025 10,000 times. Here are the three best bets, according to the model:
Top NASCAR at Miami sleeper picks from 10,000 simulations
Ross Chastain (+4000 at FanDuel)
Since being forced to retire at Daytona due to car issues, Chastain has placed in the top 12 in his four ensuing races. He hasn’t experienced the greatest prior success at Homestead, but he did finish runner-up at the track in 2022, which was his first NASCAR at Miami race with Trackhouse. Chastain has shown promise on comparable tracks to Miami-Homestead Speedway, as his last victory came in Sep. 2024 at Kansas Speedway, which, like Homestead, is exactly 1.5 miles. He also had a victory at an intermediate track in Nashville the prior year and is a longshot worth investing in at FanDuel.
Kyle Busch (+3000 at DraftKings)
The veteran driver has been in contention for every race this season in which a crash hasn’t derailed him. His first and last races of 2025 saw him suffer car trouble, but in the three races in between, Busch had top 10s in each. He is well-versed with 1.5-mile tracks like Homestead, with the most top 5s and top 10s at intermediate tracks of any active driver, and he knows what it takes to win at Homestead. Busch has two NASCAR at Miami victories and has notched eight top-10s over his last 10 starts at Miami-Homestead Speedway.
Alex Bowman (+1500 at Caesars)
Bowman is someone who has made strides at Miami-Homestead Speedway after posting an average finish of 26 over his first four starts in South Beach. Since then, he has a 12.4 average finish in Miami, with three top-10 finishes over those five races. He enters Sunday’s race with the backing of one of the most successful teams in this race’s history as Hendrick Motorsports has four NASCAR at Miami victories, including a pair of them since 2021. Bowman’s longshot odds at Caesars bely his strong start to the 2025 Cup Series as he sits fifth in NASCAR standings, and no driver has more top-10s on the season than his four. Bowman will be on the 2025 NASCAR at Homestead-Miami pole.
More top NASCAR at Miami expert picks, longshots revealed
You’ve seen the NASCAR longshots from the model. Now, see the full 2025 Straight Talk Wireless 400 leaderboard, including forecasts for who finishes first. Visit SportsLine to see the projected leaderboard, all from the model that has nailed 19 winners, including Chase Elliott’s win at the 2025 Clash at Bowman Gray.
2025 NASCAR Miami odds, drivers, lineup
Kyle Larson +350
Ryan Blaney +550
Tyler Reddick +700
William Byron +750
Denny Hamlin +1200
Christopher Bell +1400
Chase Elliott +2200
Joey Logano +1800
Ross Chastain +2000
Kyle Busch +2200
Alex Bowman +2200
Josh Berry +3300
Chase Briscoe +3300
Bubba Wallace +3500
Carson Hocevar +3500
Chris Buescher +4500
Brad Keselowski +4500
Ryan Preece +5000
Austin Cindric +5000
Ty Gibbs +6000
Daniel Suarez +6500
AJ Allmendinger +6500
Noah Gragson +15000
Michael McDowell +15000
Austin Dillon +20000
Shane Van Gisbergen +25000
Erik Jones +25000
Zane Smith +25000
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. +30000
Justin Haley +30000
Cole Custer +30000
John Hunter Nemechek +35000
Todd Gilliland +40000
Riley Herbst +50000
Ty Dillon +100000
Cody Ware +150000
JJ Yeley +250000
This news was originally published on this post .
About the author
Casagrande não descarta campeão da Copa do Brasil: “Pode chegar”
Casagrande, comentarista e ex-jogador (Reprodução) Walter Casagrande é sempre muito contundente em suas manifestações. Desta vez, o ex-jogador assegurou que o Corinthians não teria chances de brigar pelo Brasileirão, isso porque acredita que o elenco chega a ser inferior a outras equipes do futebol brasileiro. Por outro lado, Casão entende ser possível que o Timão possa alcançar resultados melhores, por exemplo, na Copa do Brasil. PUBLICIDADE PUBLICIDADE “Corinthians tem um time que, completo, é muito bom, competitivo, mas não é para ganhar o Campeonato Brasileiro. Não tem o elenco do Palmeiras, Flamengo, Internacional… é um time para Copas. Copa do Brasil? Talvez, mas não para um campeonato regular”, analisou Casagrande. Com Dorival Júnior agora no comando, o comentarista ‘torce’ para o treinador conseguir ajustar um problema que parece crônico: o sistema defensivo. PUBLICIDADE PUBLICIDADE “O miolo de zaga é muito […]
Inside the quick review decision that might have saved the Golden Knights’ season
LAS VEGAS — People travel from across the globe to visit the Las Vegas Strip for its dramatic showmanship.They come to see the daring acrobatics of Cirque du Soleil, the comedy of Blue Man Group or the dramatic illusions of David Copperfield. On Tuesday night, though, the most dramatic show in town was at T-Mobile Arena, where the Vegas Golden Knights pulled out a thrilling 3-2 overtime playoff win over the Minnesota Wild.AdvertisementBefore Brett Howden scored in overtime, a double goal review in the final minute of regulation put the players, coaches and sold-out crowd on an emotional roller coaster.It began with a scoring chance by Minnesota forward Ryan Hartman in transition. He and teammate Gustav Nyquist raced into the Vegas zone, and Hartman drove strongly to the net front. Vegas goaltender Adin Hill poked the puck off of Hartman’s […]
Inside the quick review decision that might have saved the Golden Knights’ season
LAS VEGAS — People travel from across the globe to visit the Las Vegas Strip for its dramatic showmanship.They come to see the daring acrobatics of Cirque du Soleil, the comedy of Blue Man Group or the dramatic illusions of David Copperfield. On Tuesday night, though, the most dramatic show in town was at T-Mobile Arena, where the Vegas Golden Knights pulled out a thrilling 3-2 overtime playoff win over the Minnesota Wild.AdvertisementBefore Brett Howden scored in overtime, a double goal review in the final minute of regulation put the players, coaches and sold-out crowd on an emotional roller coaster.It began with a scoring chance by Minnesota forward Ryan Hartman in transition. He and teammate Gustav Nyquist raced into the Vegas zone, and Hartman drove strongly to the net front. Vegas goaltender Adin Hill poked the puck off of Hartman’s […]
Sikkema: My 10 favorite 2025 NFL Draft classes
Final chance to claim 25% off PFF+: Use code DRAFT25 and unlock access to player grades, fantasy tools and the 2025 Draft Guide. Estimated Reading Time: 10 minutes Now that the 2025 NFL Draft is in the books, we're looking at some of my favorite team hauls. These were my 10 highest-graded drafts, with a look at where each player was selected versus where I had them on my big board. CAROLINA PANTHERS: A+ POSNAMEROUNDPICKTS RKWRTetairoa McMillan184EDNic Scourton25129EDPrincely Umanmielen37750HBTrevor Etienne4114144SLathan Ransom412289DICam'Ron Jackson5140130TEMitchell Evans5165166WRJimmy Horn Jr.6210239 The Panthers tied for my favorite draft class. Not only did I love the players and the value at which many of them were selected, but I also loved their overall offseason strategy, with this draft haul being a bow on top. McMillan, who led college football with 36 contested catches over the past two […]
Ivanisevic nach Minden? – Torhüter-Rochade im Handball
Diese herrlich verrückte und megaspannende 2. Handball-Bundesliga. Elf Klubs kämpfen gegen den ersten Abstiegsrang. Der Bergische HC steht bereits als Rückkehrer in die Daikin Handball-Bundesliga fest, die HSG Konstanz als Absteiger auch. Um den zweiten Aufstiegsplatz balgen sich GWD Minden, der TV Hüttenberg und mit Abstrichen HBW Balingen-Weilstetten. Minden muss Freitag (19.30 Uhr, live bei Dyn/Anzeige) im direkten Duell in Hüttenberg ran. Im Hintergrund basteln die Ostwestfalen offenbar an einem prominenten Deal.Foto: BILD<!-->]-->Torhüter-Rochade im HandballNach Informationen von SPORT BILD sind die Mindener an der Verpflichtung von Tibor Ivanisevic (34) interessiert. Der Serbe steht aktuell bei Frisch Auf Göppingen unter Vertrag. Bei GWD stehen Malte Semisch (32, Vertrag bis 2027) und Lucas Grabitz (23, Vertrag bis 2026) für die Kiste im Kader. Denkbar sind zwei Varianten. Minden könnte ab Sommer mit drei Torhütern planen, was wiederum schwer für Trainer Aaron Ziercke […]
Legenda dá sbohem. Jindřišek se v neděli rozloučí s Bohemians
Jindřišek už je nyní nejstarším hráčem, který kdy v samostatné české lize zasáhl do utkání. Svůj vlastní rekord ještě o kousek posune. V neděli mu bude 44 let, jeden měsíc a devatenáct dní. Prakticky všichni jeho vrstevníci už dávno pověsili kopačky na hřebík. Ale poctivý veterán šlapal dál, neztratil se. Vždyť ještě v předminulém ligovém ročníku, kdy Bohemians skončili senzačně čtvrtí a probojovali se do pohárové Evropy, odehrál 34 zápasů ze 35 možných. Za poslední dvě sezony pak zasáhl do osmnácti mačů nejvyšší soutěže.Celkem za zelenobílý mančaft odehrál téměř 435 utkání. Valnou většinu v A-mužstvu, necelou třicítku za třetiligové béčko.„Jednou to přijít muselo. Bylo to super, ale uteklo to strašně rychle. Neříká se mi to snadno, malinko se tomu bráním,“ vykládal Jindřišek o svém loučení. „Bohemka mi nabídla rozlučkový zápas, ale já se chci rozloučit v lize,“ vysvětlil pak, proč burcuje fanoušky, aby pro nedělní mač s Hradcem zaplnili Ďolíček.S největší pravděpodobností se to […]
Related
Casagrande não descarta campeão da Copa do Brasil: “Pode chegar”
Casagrande, comentarista e ex-jogador (Reprodução) Walter Casagrande é sempre muito contundente em suas manifestações. Desta vez, o ex-jogador assegurou que o Corinthians não teria chances de brigar pelo Brasileirão, isso porque acredita que o elenco chega a ser inferior a outras equipes do futebol brasileiro. Por outro lado, Casão entende ser possível que o Timão possa alcançar resultados melhores, por exemplo, na Copa do Brasil. PUBLICIDADE PUBLICIDADE “Corinthians tem um time que, completo, é muito bom, competitivo, mas não é para ganhar o Campeonato Brasileiro. Não tem o elenco do Palmeiras, Flamengo, Internacional… é um time para Copas. Copa do Brasil? Talvez, mas não para um campeonato regular”, analisou Casagrande. Com Dorival Júnior agora no comando, o comentarista ‘torce’ para o treinador conseguir ajustar um problema que parece crônico: o sistema defensivo. PUBLICIDADE PUBLICIDADE “O miolo de zaga é muito […]
Inside the quick review decision that might have saved the Golden Knights’ season
LAS VEGAS — People travel from across the globe to visit the Las Vegas Strip for its dramatic showmanship.They come to see the daring acrobatics of Cirque du Soleil, the comedy of Blue Man Group or the dramatic illusions of David Copperfield. On Tuesday night, though, the most dramatic show in town was at T-Mobile Arena, where the Vegas Golden Knights pulled out a thrilling 3-2 overtime playoff win over the Minnesota Wild.AdvertisementBefore Brett Howden scored in overtime, a double goal review in the final minute of regulation put the players, coaches and sold-out crowd on an emotional roller coaster.It began with a scoring chance by Minnesota forward Ryan Hartman in transition. He and teammate Gustav Nyquist raced into the Vegas zone, and Hartman drove strongly to the net front. Vegas goaltender Adin Hill poked the puck off of Hartman’s […]
Inside the quick review decision that might have saved the Golden Knights’ season
LAS VEGAS — People travel from across the globe to visit the Las Vegas Strip for its dramatic showmanship.They come to see the daring acrobatics of Cirque du Soleil, the comedy of Blue Man Group or the dramatic illusions of David Copperfield. On Tuesday night, though, the most dramatic show in town was at T-Mobile Arena, where the Vegas Golden Knights pulled out a thrilling 3-2 overtime playoff win over the Minnesota Wild.AdvertisementBefore Brett Howden scored in overtime, a double goal review in the final minute of regulation put the players, coaches and sold-out crowd on an emotional roller coaster.It began with a scoring chance by Minnesota forward Ryan Hartman in transition. He and teammate Gustav Nyquist raced into the Vegas zone, and Hartman drove strongly to the net front. Vegas goaltender Adin Hill poked the puck off of Hartman’s […]
Sikkema: My 10 favorite 2025 NFL Draft classes
Final chance to claim 25% off PFF+: Use code DRAFT25 and unlock access to player grades, fantasy tools and the 2025 Draft Guide. Estimated Reading Time: 10 minutes Now that the 2025 NFL Draft is in the books, we're looking at some of my favorite team hauls. These were my 10 highest-graded drafts, with a look at where each player was selected versus where I had them on my big board. CAROLINA PANTHERS: A+ POSNAMEROUNDPICKTS RKWRTetairoa McMillan184EDNic Scourton25129EDPrincely Umanmielen37750HBTrevor Etienne4114144SLathan Ransom412289DICam'Ron Jackson5140130TEMitchell Evans5165166WRJimmy Horn Jr.6210239 The Panthers tied for my favorite draft class. Not only did I love the players and the value at which many of them were selected, but I also loved their overall offseason strategy, with this draft haul being a bow on top. McMillan, who led college football with 36 contested catches over the past two […]
Ivanisevic nach Minden? – Torhüter-Rochade im Handball
Diese herrlich verrückte und megaspannende 2. Handball-Bundesliga. Elf Klubs kämpfen gegen den ersten Abstiegsrang. Der Bergische HC steht bereits als Rückkehrer in die Daikin Handball-Bundesliga fest, die HSG Konstanz als Absteiger auch. Um den zweiten Aufstiegsplatz balgen sich GWD Minden, der TV Hüttenberg und mit Abstrichen HBW Balingen-Weilstetten. Minden muss Freitag (19.30 Uhr, live bei Dyn/Anzeige) im direkten Duell in Hüttenberg ran. Im Hintergrund basteln die Ostwestfalen offenbar an einem prominenten Deal.Foto: BILD<!-->]-->Torhüter-Rochade im HandballNach Informationen von SPORT BILD sind die Mindener an der Verpflichtung von Tibor Ivanisevic (34) interessiert. Der Serbe steht aktuell bei Frisch Auf Göppingen unter Vertrag. Bei GWD stehen Malte Semisch (32, Vertrag bis 2027) und Lucas Grabitz (23, Vertrag bis 2026) für die Kiste im Kader. Denkbar sind zwei Varianten. Minden könnte ab Sommer mit drei Torhütern planen, was wiederum schwer für Trainer Aaron Ziercke […]
Legenda dá sbohem. Jindřišek se v neděli rozloučí s Bohemians
Jindřišek už je nyní nejstarším hráčem, který kdy v samostatné české lize zasáhl do utkání. Svůj vlastní rekord ještě o kousek posune. V neděli mu bude 44 let, jeden měsíc a devatenáct dní. Prakticky všichni jeho vrstevníci už dávno pověsili kopačky na hřebík. Ale poctivý veterán šlapal dál, neztratil se. Vždyť ještě v předminulém ligovém ročníku, kdy Bohemians skončili senzačně čtvrtí a probojovali se do pohárové Evropy, odehrál 34 zápasů ze 35 možných. Za poslední dvě sezony pak zasáhl do osmnácti mačů nejvyšší soutěže.Celkem za zelenobílý mančaft odehrál téměř 435 utkání. Valnou většinu v A-mužstvu, necelou třicítku za třetiligové béčko.„Jednou to přijít muselo. Bylo to super, ale uteklo to strašně rychle. Neříká se mi to snadno, malinko se tomu bráním,“ vykládal Jindřišek o svém loučení. „Bohemka mi nabídla rozlučkový zápas, ale já se chci rozloučit v lize,“ vysvětlil pak, proč burcuje fanoušky, aby pro nedělní mač s Hradcem zaplnili Ďolíček.S největší pravděpodobností se to […]
Be the first to leave a comment