The top of the MLB home run leaderboard has a familiar name, as no one has hit more homers than Aaron Judge’s six, but the two-time MVP is tied with 23-year-old Athletics first baseman Tyler Soderstrom. The latter just had 12 career home runs entering the 2025 MLB season, but he may be just as coveted for Tuesday MLB home run picks as Judge. Soderstrom cracked two long balls on Monday, while other players who also went yard the day before include Shohei Ohtani, Fernando Tatis Jr. and Jose Altuve. All 30 teams are in action on Tuesday, so all of the above could be utilized in MLB HR props in popular betting sites.
Orioles batters like Gunnar Henderson and Adley Rutschman figure to be popular options against Arizona’s Merrill Kelly, who allowed three dingers in his last start. Henderson is at +380 at Caesars to go deep, while Rutschman could return a profit at +500. Which players should you target with MLB home run bets? With MLB HR props available for almost every player in every game at sportsbooks, SportsLine’s proven computer model can help you find value to add to your MLB home run parlay picks.
The model simulates every game 10,000 times and is on a 34-19 roll on all top-rated MLB picks on the run line dating back to 2023. It nailed Tatis Jr. at +400 in its MLB home run props on Monday, and now, the model and SportsLine’s team of Data Scientists have revealed their projections for some of the most-bet MLB HR props on Tuesday. These three picks can be parlayed for +31400 odds and would pay out $1,575 on a $5 bet.
Kerry Carpenter HR (+650)
Detroit faces Yankees‘ probable starter, Carlos Carrasco, who has been blasted to the tune of a 7.36 ERA across two appearances this season. Maybe just as importantly is that Carrasco is a right-handed pitcher, and Carpenter has built his MLB career off his success against righties. Carpenter has three home runs over his last four games of this season, and combined with how well he mashes off righties like Carrasco, he has value at +650 at DraftKings.
“42 of Carpenter’s 47 HRs have come against RHPs,” SportsLine Date Scientist Jacob Fetner said. “The model almost always has value on Carpenter to hit a HR vs righty pitchers because he isn’t priced like a star, but just rakes RHPs.”
Brandon Lowe HR (+425)
Lowe is another player with discernible splits against RHPs versus LHPs as his career OPS is over 100 points higher against righties (.837) than lefties (.729). He’ll face longtime Cubs starter, and new Angels starter, Kyle Hendricks on Tuesday, and the RHP is coming off a year in which his 5.92 ERA was the worst among all 96 pitchers with at least 130 innings last year. Hendricks’ HR rate allowed in 2024 (1.45 HR/9) was also amongst the 10 worst in MLB.
It’s also important to note that the Rays and Yankees will match up at George M. Steinbrenner Field in Tampa, and the Rays’ temporary home ballpark has some of the shortest outfield walls in the majors. The right field porch is just 314 feet, and the switch-hitting Lowe could take advantage of that as just three MLB ballparks have a shorter distance to the right field wall than GMS Field. “We have Lowe at +331 to hit a home tonight, so getting +425 is solid value,” said Fetner of his HR odds at DraftKings.
Elly De La Cruz HR (+800)
De La Cruz has two home runs this season and has displayed some of the finest bat swing metrics in the majors. His average exit velocity of 97.5 m.p.h. is fourth-best in the sport, his average HR length of 427 feet is seventh-best, and De La Cruz’ average bat speed of 76.2 m.p.h. is 11th-best in MLB. So, anytime he simply makes contact with the ball, it has a great chance of going a long way, and he gets to face a novice pitcher on Tuesday in Landen Roupp of the Giants, who has just five career starts under his belt. Roupp has allowed 9 ER over his last 7.2 IP, so it’s hard to pass up the value for De La Cruz in HR props at +800 at FanDuel.
“Landen Roupp has only given up 2 HRs in his short major league career which is why you can get this price at +800,” stated Fetner. “We set the line at +630, so this is a good longshot play on a player of Elly de la Cruz.”
Want more MLB picks for Tuesday?
You’ve seen the model’s MLB HR prop picks for some popular props on Tuesday. Now, get MLB projections for every player prop at SportsLine.
This news was originally published on this post .
About the author
Stimulus Payments May 2025: What checks could you cash throughout the month?
Much has been said about the possibility of a stimulus check for $800 dollars during May 2025, but some state programs in Colorado, California and Pennsylvania offer similar relief.In addition, those who did not receive the 2021 federal stimulus payment had until April 15, 2025, to claim it through the IRS.VA benefits payment schedule for 2025 revealed helping veterans plan aheadIn recent months, the mention of a "$800 stimulus check in May 2025" has sparked curiosity across the United States. However, there is no official federal stimulus check for $800 scheduled for May 2025.Instead, this headline has been primarily associated with state-level aid programs and unclaimed federal credits that can still provide significant financial assistance to eligible residents.Although a federal stimulus check of $800 in May 2025 is not expected, various state-level aid programs and federal credits continue to provide […]
Diego Souza elege clube com péssimo projeto no Brasil: “Tudo errado”
Diego Souza em comentário no programa "Boleiragem" (Reprodução - YouTube) Diego Souza não escondeu sua revolta com John Textor e toda sua diretoria do Botafogo na formação do elenco para 2025. Em sua avaliação, houve uma demora acentuada na busca por um técnico e na reposição de atletas importantes que deixaram o clube, como Thiago Almada e Luiz Henrique. Em campo, o Glorioso acumula resultados negativos e tem deixado o torcedor cada vez mais irritado com atletas e também com o treinador Renato Paiva. PUBLICIDADE PUBLICIDADE “O que a diretoria fez de errado é impressionante. Merece um prêmio por tanta decisão errada, esse John Textor. Começaram o ano sem treinador, sem duas peças importantes e desdenhando de competições. Pura vaidade, achando que estava tudo dentro dos conformes”, disse Diego Souza. Fogão decepciona Passadas cinco rodadas do Brasileirão, o Botafogo é […]
Seahawks’ Jalen Milroe has message for teams that passed on him in 2025 NFL Draft: ‘Belt to ass’
Getty Images The Seattle Seahawks took Jalen Milroe in the third round of the NFL Draft, a decision Milroe thinks they won't regret. Milroe, the fourth quarterback taken in the draft at No. 92 overall (No. 28 in the third round) made sure he had a message for all the teams that ended up passing on him with the first 91 picks. "Belt to ass."Milroe certainly isn't forgetting being the fourth quarterback taken and has the mentality he's the best quarterback in the draft. While Milroe finished with the most touchdowns in the SEC last season (36), he also had the most turnovers (15). He had 16 passing touchdowns and 20 rushing touchdowns, the latter was the third most for a quarterback in SEC history. Milroe led the SEC with 71 total touchdowns over the past two seasons (39 pass, 32 […]
2025 NFL Draft: Shedeur Sanders pranked by someone claiming to be Saints GM before team’s No. 40 pick
Shedeur Sanders is having a difficult enough time during the 2025 NFL Draft as he continues to slide down the board and went into the draft's third day without being selected.As if that disappointment and embarrassment wasn't enough, the quarterback was also the target of a prank on Friday night as Round 2 of the draft were progressing. Sanders took a call at the draft party hosted by his father and Colorado head football coach Deion Sanders, talking to someone who claimed to be New Orleans Saints general manager Mickey Loomis.AdvertisementAdvertisementAdvertisementThe call was captured on video by Well Off Media, the YouTube channel run by Deion Sanders Jr., the older brother of Shedeur. What appears to be a call from the Saints and the subsequent conversation begins at the 10:15 mark."This is Mickey Loomis here, GM of the Saints," said […]
Wegen Umbruch im Sommer – Real-Star auf der Streichliste
Ausverkauf bei Real Madrid?Bei den Königlichen könnte sich im Sommer einiges verändern. Unabhängig von einem möglichen Trainerwechsel soll auch ein gesamter Umbruch im Kader stattfinden. Neben Luka Modrić (39) ist nach Medienberichten auch David Alaba (32) ein Verkaufskandidat.Lesen Sie auch<!-->[-->Laut dem Transfer Update von “Sky“ gehört der Österreicher zu den Spielern, die den Verein im Sommer verlassen könnten. Alaba hatte erst vor kurzem sein Comeback nach einem Kreuzbandriss gegeben und seitdem immer wieder mit kleineren Blessuren zu kämpfen. Dies sei für Real aber nicht ausschlaggebend für einen möglichen Verkauf.Vielmehr geht es Ihnen darum, dass Alaba ebenso wie sein Kollege Modrić bereits ein gewisses Alter erreicht hat. Außerdem zählt er bei den Königlichen zu den absoluten Topverdienern (22,5 Millionen Euro im Jahr). Diese Kombination ist es wohl, warum sich die Blancos mit einem Abgang Alabas beschäftigen. Durch die Einsparungen hätte Real […]
Bitter für Kane – Bayer versaut Bayerns Meisterparty
Meisterparty verschoben!Die Bayern gewinnen zwar mit 3:0 gegen Mainz, doch die Meister-Entscheidung ist vertagt. Grund: Auch Bayer Leverkusen siegt – 2:0 gegen Augsburg, versaut so Bayerns Meisterparty!Bedeutet: Die Elf von Vincent Kompany (39) hat mit einem Sieg am kommenden Samstag (3.5.) in Leipzig die Schale sicher. Für Harry Kane (31) wäre es der erste Titel seiner Karriere. Bitter: Der Engländer fehlt beim Meister-Matchball wegen einer Gelbsperre. Es ist die erste seiner Karriere! Nach einem Foul gibt er den Ball nicht her und wird von Schiri Dankert verwarnt (45.+1). Bitter: Schiri Bastian Dankert (44, r.) zeigt Harry Kane (31, 2.v.r.) Gelb. Für den Engländer ist es die 5.Foto: AP<!-->]-->Mitspieler Aleksandar Pavlovic (20) zur Kane-Sperre: „Ja, er hat sich selbst jetzt auch sehr geärgert in der Kabine. Auch so eine unnötige Aktion, dass er Gelb bekommt für so etwas."Ist es nächste Woche […]
Related
Stimulus Payments May 2025: What checks could you cash throughout the month?
Much has been said about the possibility of a stimulus check for $800 dollars during May 2025, but some state programs in Colorado, California and Pennsylvania offer similar relief.In addition, those who did not receive the 2021 federal stimulus payment had until April 15, 2025, to claim it through the IRS.VA benefits payment schedule for 2025 revealed helping veterans plan aheadIn recent months, the mention of a "$800 stimulus check in May 2025" has sparked curiosity across the United States. However, there is no official federal stimulus check for $800 scheduled for May 2025.Instead, this headline has been primarily associated with state-level aid programs and unclaimed federal credits that can still provide significant financial assistance to eligible residents.Although a federal stimulus check of $800 in May 2025 is not expected, various state-level aid programs and federal credits continue to provide […]
Diego Souza elege clube com péssimo projeto no Brasil: “Tudo errado”
Diego Souza em comentário no programa "Boleiragem" (Reprodução - YouTube) Diego Souza não escondeu sua revolta com John Textor e toda sua diretoria do Botafogo na formação do elenco para 2025. Em sua avaliação, houve uma demora acentuada na busca por um técnico e na reposição de atletas importantes que deixaram o clube, como Thiago Almada e Luiz Henrique. Em campo, o Glorioso acumula resultados negativos e tem deixado o torcedor cada vez mais irritado com atletas e também com o treinador Renato Paiva. PUBLICIDADE PUBLICIDADE “O que a diretoria fez de errado é impressionante. Merece um prêmio por tanta decisão errada, esse John Textor. Começaram o ano sem treinador, sem duas peças importantes e desdenhando de competições. Pura vaidade, achando que estava tudo dentro dos conformes”, disse Diego Souza. Fogão decepciona Passadas cinco rodadas do Brasileirão, o Botafogo é […]
Seahawks’ Jalen Milroe has message for teams that passed on him in 2025 NFL Draft: ‘Belt to ass’
Getty Images The Seattle Seahawks took Jalen Milroe in the third round of the NFL Draft, a decision Milroe thinks they won't regret. Milroe, the fourth quarterback taken in the draft at No. 92 overall (No. 28 in the third round) made sure he had a message for all the teams that ended up passing on him with the first 91 picks. "Belt to ass."Milroe certainly isn't forgetting being the fourth quarterback taken and has the mentality he's the best quarterback in the draft. While Milroe finished with the most touchdowns in the SEC last season (36), he also had the most turnovers (15). He had 16 passing touchdowns and 20 rushing touchdowns, the latter was the third most for a quarterback in SEC history. Milroe led the SEC with 71 total touchdowns over the past two seasons (39 pass, 32 […]
2025 NFL Draft: Shedeur Sanders pranked by someone claiming to be Saints GM before team’s No. 40 pick
Shedeur Sanders is having a difficult enough time during the 2025 NFL Draft as he continues to slide down the board and went into the draft's third day without being selected.As if that disappointment and embarrassment wasn't enough, the quarterback was also the target of a prank on Friday night as Round 2 of the draft were progressing. Sanders took a call at the draft party hosted by his father and Colorado head football coach Deion Sanders, talking to someone who claimed to be New Orleans Saints general manager Mickey Loomis.AdvertisementAdvertisementAdvertisementThe call was captured on video by Well Off Media, the YouTube channel run by Deion Sanders Jr., the older brother of Shedeur. What appears to be a call from the Saints and the subsequent conversation begins at the 10:15 mark."This is Mickey Loomis here, GM of the Saints," said […]
Wegen Umbruch im Sommer – Real-Star auf der Streichliste
Ausverkauf bei Real Madrid?Bei den Königlichen könnte sich im Sommer einiges verändern. Unabhängig von einem möglichen Trainerwechsel soll auch ein gesamter Umbruch im Kader stattfinden. Neben Luka Modrić (39) ist nach Medienberichten auch David Alaba (32) ein Verkaufskandidat.Lesen Sie auch<!-->[-->Laut dem Transfer Update von “Sky“ gehört der Österreicher zu den Spielern, die den Verein im Sommer verlassen könnten. Alaba hatte erst vor kurzem sein Comeback nach einem Kreuzbandriss gegeben und seitdem immer wieder mit kleineren Blessuren zu kämpfen. Dies sei für Real aber nicht ausschlaggebend für einen möglichen Verkauf.Vielmehr geht es Ihnen darum, dass Alaba ebenso wie sein Kollege Modrić bereits ein gewisses Alter erreicht hat. Außerdem zählt er bei den Königlichen zu den absoluten Topverdienern (22,5 Millionen Euro im Jahr). Diese Kombination ist es wohl, warum sich die Blancos mit einem Abgang Alabas beschäftigen. Durch die Einsparungen hätte Real […]
Bitter für Kane – Bayer versaut Bayerns Meisterparty
Meisterparty verschoben!Die Bayern gewinnen zwar mit 3:0 gegen Mainz, doch die Meister-Entscheidung ist vertagt. Grund: Auch Bayer Leverkusen siegt – 2:0 gegen Augsburg, versaut so Bayerns Meisterparty!Bedeutet: Die Elf von Vincent Kompany (39) hat mit einem Sieg am kommenden Samstag (3.5.) in Leipzig die Schale sicher. Für Harry Kane (31) wäre es der erste Titel seiner Karriere. Bitter: Der Engländer fehlt beim Meister-Matchball wegen einer Gelbsperre. Es ist die erste seiner Karriere! Nach einem Foul gibt er den Ball nicht her und wird von Schiri Dankert verwarnt (45.+1). Bitter: Schiri Bastian Dankert (44, r.) zeigt Harry Kane (31, 2.v.r.) Gelb. Für den Engländer ist es die 5.Foto: AP<!-->]-->Mitspieler Aleksandar Pavlovic (20) zur Kane-Sperre: „Ja, er hat sich selbst jetzt auch sehr geärgert in der Kabine. Auch so eine unnötige Aktion, dass er Gelb bekommt für so etwas."Ist es nächste Woche […]
Be the first to leave a comment