2025 Masters expert picks, best bets, odds, sleepers: Golf insider ducking Jon Rahm at Augusta National

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Along with the PGA Championship, the Masters 2025 is the only other major that gives all past winners a lifetime invitation. If you have a green jacket, then you can tee off at the 2025 Masters, and multiple former champions are in the 2025 Masters field. Sergio Garcia (+8000 to win), Phil Mickelson (+12000), Adam Scott (+15000), and Bubba Watson (+50000) are among those nostalgic names looking to add to their major wins tally, while recent champs like Scottie Scheffler, Jon Rahm and Hideki Matsuyama (+3300) are also among the 2025 Masters contenders. The first 2025 Masters tee times are at 7:40 a.m. ET on Thursday, when longshots Davis Riley (+60000) and Patton Kizzire (+100000) will head to hole No. 1. The latest 2025 Masters forecast is calling for partly cloudy skies and high temperatures around 70 for Round 1.

The year’s first major will tee off Thursday from Augusta National Golf Club, where Scheffler prevailed last year. Accordingly, Scheffler is the +400 favorite in the latest 2025 Masters odds after moving as high as +480 but steadily dropping this week. Rory McIlroy (+650) is the only other golfer at single-digits in the latest Masters odds 2025, as the Irishman seeks to complete a career Grand Slam. McIlroy, who opened at +1200, is getting 14.8% of the handle at BetMGM, while Scheffler is getting 12.1% and DeChambeau is at 9.5%. McIlroy is +150 to finish in the top five at the end of the Masters 2025 and -140 to make the top 10. Jon Rahm is +1400 in the latest 2025 Masters odds to win, followed by Collin Morikawa (+1600), Ludvig Aberg (+1800), Xander Schauffele (+2000), and Bryson DeChambeau (+2000). Before making any 2025 Masters picks, you need to see the 2025 Masters predictions and best bets from golf insider Sia Nejad.

Nejad specializes in betting and DFS in golf, among other sports. He’s had incredible success in the outright and first-round leader markets and in betting head-to-head matchups. He also has been solid with his head-to-head matchups since the 2023 Charles Schwab Challenge, going 52-37-5 and returning 11.67 units over that span. That’s a $1,167 profit for $100 bettors since May 2023.

Nejad also nailed Wyndham Clark, a +7500 longshot, as the outright winner at the Wells Fargo Championship 2023. That year, SportsLine debuted “The Early Wedge,” and in the first three months of the show, he hit two first-round leaders and three outright winners. Anyone who followed his betting picks could have been way up on betting apps and sportsbooks.

Now, Nejad has turned his attention to the 2025 Masters field and locked in his best bets, top sleepers and favorites to avoid. See who they are at SportsLine.

Top 2025 Masters expert picks

One surprise: Nejad is completely fading Jon Rahm, even though he’s the 2023 Masters champion with one of the shortest 2025 Masters Tournament odds at +1400. Nejad points out that Rahm has been consistent in recent starts, but the price point at +1500 scares him off. “His odds are too short compared to the names I like around him. In short, I’m unwilling to speculate on how he sizes up against the top talent on the PGA Tour at such a short number,” he said.

While the two-time major winner has been consistent in his worldwide starts in 2025, he’s lacked consistency in majors since winning a green jacket two years ago. In his six major starts since, Rahm has the same number of finishes in 45th place or worse as he has top 10s (three). He followed up his 2023 Masters win with a 45th place at last year’s event, which was then followed by a missed cut at the PGA Championship that ended his majors cut streak at 18. He then had to withdraw at the U.S. Open and missed out on a medal at the 2024 Olympics, so he hasn’t had the best run in big events as of late.

Instead, Nejad is high on the chances of Collin Morikawa, even though he’s a longshot at +1600. A two-time major winner, Morikawa has three straight top-10 finishes at Augusta National and sat one-shot back entering the final round at last year’s event. A double-bogey on the ninth hole knocked him out of contention, but he still finished tied for third, his best finish at the Masters. He then followed that up with a fourth place at the PGA Championship and has excelled this year on tour, sitting fourth in the FedEx Cup standings. Morikawa opened at +2500 at BetMGM before steadily dropping.

No one is striking the ball better than Morikawa, who leads the PGA Tour in both strokes gained: tee-to-green and approach the green, while ranking second in SG: total. Nejad thinks the adversity that Morikawa faced in last year’s final round at the Masters will serve him well for this year’s edition. “I’m really not worried about Morikawa’s inability to ‘close’ as he is continuing to put himself in positions to win. His ball striking has been phenomenal for the last 12 months and he’s shown an ability to spike with the short game. His Masters history is even better from a pure metrics standpoint as he’s consistently gained across all four strokes gained categories for four years in a row,” he said. See who else to back here

How to make 2025 Masters picks, bets

Nejad has locked in his 2025 Masters best bets, including a longshot who’s priced over 20-1. Nejad said, “We are getting the benefit of a number that is simply too long,” so anyone who backs him could hit it big. You can only see the picks at SportsLine.

So, which players should you target for the 2025 Masters, and which golfer could bring a huge payday of more than 20-1? Check out the 2025 Masters odds below, then visit SportsLine to see Sia Nejad’s top picks for the 2025 Masters, all from the expert who has returned $1,167 for $100 bettors since May 2023.

2025 Masters odds, field

See the full Masters picks, best bets and predictions

Scottie Scheffler +400
Rory McIlroy +650
Jon Rahm +1400
Ludvig Åberg +1600
Collin Morikawa +1600
Xander Schauffele +1800
Bryson DeChambeau +2000
Justin Thomas +2200
Joaquin Niemann +2800
Hideki Matsuyama +2800
Brooks Koepka +3000
Jordan Spieth +3300
Tommy Fleetwood +3500
Shane Lowry +3500
Viktor Hovland +3500
Patrick Cantlay +3500
Tyrrell Hatton +4000
Robert MacIntyre +5500
Russell Henley +5500
Min Woo Lee +5500
Will Zalatoris +5500
Cameron Smith +6000
Akshay Bhatia +6500
Corey Conners +7500
Tony Finau +7500
Jason Day +8000
Sepp Straka +8000
Wyndham Clark +8000
Dustin Johnson +8000
Sergio Garcia +8000
Sahith Theegala +9000
Patrick Reed +9000
Keegan Bradley +11000
Tom Kim +11000
Justin Rose +11000
Sungjae Im +11000
Brian Harman +11000
Daniel Berger +11000
Matt Fitzpatrick +12000
Adam Scott +12000
Sam Burns +12000
Davis Thompson +12000
Phil Mickelson +12000
Billy Horschel +15000
Taylor Pendrith +15000
Aaron Rai +15000
Byeong Hun An +15000
J. J. Spaun +15000
Maverick McNealy +15000
Lucas Glover +17000
Thomas Detry +17000
Michael Kim +17000
Cameron Young +17000
Nicolai Højgaard +20000
Denny McCarthy +20000
Rasmus Højgaard +20000
Laurie Canter +22000
Max Homa +25000
Harris English +25000
Stephan Jaeger +27000
Nick Taylor +27000
Nicolas Echavarria +30000
J.T. Poston +30000
Christiaan Bezuidenhout +30000
Joe Highsmith +30000
Cameron Davis +30000
Max Greyserman +30000
Austin Eckroat +35000
Tom Hoge +35000
Chris Kirk +35000
Nick Dunlap +40000
Charl Schwartzel +40000
Kevin Yu +40000
Davis Riley +50000
Matt Mccarty +50000
Jhonattan Vegas +50000
Matthieu Pavon +50000
Bubba Watson +50000
Adam Schenk +75000
Thriston Lawrence +75000
Danny Willett +75000
Zach Johnson +75000
Brian Campbell +100000
Angel Cabrera +100000
Evan Beck +100000
Hiroshi Tai +100000
Justin Hastings +100000
Rafael Campos +100000
Vijay Singh +100000
Noah Kent +100000
Bernhard Langer +100000
Fred Couples +100000
Mike Weir +100000
Jose Maria Olazábal +100000
Patton Kizzire +100000
Jose Luis Ballester +100000

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