2025 Food City 500 odds, Bristol NASCAR picks: Expert who hit 17 winners loves epic longshot

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Denny Hamlin is on a roll and is looking for his third consecutive win when he takes part in the 2025 Food City 500 at Bristol Motor Speedway on Sunday. Hamlin dominated the Cook Out 400 at Martinsville and followed that up by speeding to victory at last week’s Goodyear 400 at Darlington. It was also Hamlin’s fifth top-10 finish of the year. Hamlin has 56 career victories in his 20-year career.

Kyle Larson and Denny Hamlin are the co-favorites at +450, with Christopher Bell at +650, Ryan Blaney at +800, and William Byron and Chase Elliott at +900 in the latest 2025 Food City 500 at Bristol Motor Speedway odds. Sunday’s race is scheduled to start at 3 p.m. ET. Before making any 2025 NASCAR at Bristol picks or predictions, you need to see what NASCAR insider Steven Taranto has to say.

Taranto, who moonlights as a sim racer and has 20 career wins in iRacing, is the lead NASCAR writer for CBSSports.com. He has an annual NASCAR medial credential and also publishes a popular weekly NASCAR predictions column, famously calling Ross Chastain and Daniel Suarez’s breakthrough wins in 2022.

Taranto was red-hot for SportsLine in 2024 as he nailed 17 winners, including 16-1 longshot William Byron at the Daytona 500 and 14-1 longshot Chase Elliott at Texas. He correctly picked the Straight Talk Wireless 400 winner in Larson on March 23. Anyone following his NASCAR picks at their favorite sportsbooks could have seen huge returns.

Now, Taranto has analyzed the starting lineup and odds for Sunday’s 2025 NASCAR Cup Food City 500 at Bristol Motor Speedway. He’s sharing his best bets at SportsLine.

2025 Bristol NASCAR expert picks

For the 2025 Food City 500 at Bristol Motor Speedway, Taranto is high on Kyle Larson, who has five top-10 finishes this year. In his last race at the track last fall, Larson, who drives for Hendrick Motorsports, led 462 of 500 laps en route to the win at the 2024 Bass Pro Shops Night Race on Sept. 21. He has placed second, fifth and first over his past three Cup races at Bristol. The 32-year-old veteran placed sixth overall last season and has had a lot of success throughout his career. Larson is going off at +450 at DraftKings.

The 13-year veteran has driven in 373 races in the Cup Series, logging 30 career wins, registering 21 poles and 187 top-10 finishes. He claimed the 2021 season championship. He earned his first Cup series win in 2016 at the Pure Michigan 400. He has experienced success at other NASCAR levels, including the Xfinity Series, where he has earned 15 wins, 83 top-10 finishes and seven poles in 117 races over a 10-year span. See which other drivers he’s backing at SportsLine.

Food City 500 prop picks

Top 10 finish: Taranto sees Zane Smith breaking through to earn his second top-10 finish of the year. His previous best finish was ninth at the Shriners Children’s 500 at Phoenix Raceway in Avondale, Ariz., on March 9. Smith has had solid finishes for much of the season, placing 11th at Atlanta and Homestead. He was 12th last week at Darlington.

The 25-year-old has run 45 races over his three-year career. The Front Row Motorsports driver finished 30th a year ago, and has registered six top-10 finishes since his first race in 2022 at the Enjoy Illinois 300. He has also fared well at the NASCAR Xfinity Series level, with eight top-10 finishes among his 12 races there. See all of Taranto’s picks at SportsLine

How to make 2025 Food City 500 predictions

Taranto has also identified four drivers in his 2025 NASCAR Food City 500 best bets. He’s especially high on a huge NASCAR longshot who’s going off higher than 100-1, potentially netting any backer a huge payday. You can only see who they are here.

So who wins the 2025 Food City 500 at Bristol, and which massive longshot could stun NASCAR? Visit SportsLine now to see the 2025 Food City 500 at Bristol picks and best bets from a NASCAR insider who nailed a colossal 17 winners last year, and find out.

2025 Food City 500 at Bristol Motor Speedway odds, lineup

See full Food City 500 at Bristol Motor Speedway picks at SportsLine

Kyle Larson +450
Denny Hamlin +450
Christopher Bell +650
Ryan Blaney +800
William Byron +900
Chase Elliott +900
Kyle Busch +1600
Joey Logano +1700
Ryan Preece +2000
Chris Buescher +2000
Chase Briscoe +2000
Bubba Wallace +2000
Tyler Reddick +2200
Ty Gibbs +2200
Josh Berry +2500
Ross Chastain +2800
Brad Keselowski +2800
Alex Bowman +3000
Austin Cindric +9000
Zane Smith +10000
Carson Hocevar +10000
Noah Gragson +11000
Michael McDowell +11000
Erik Jones +13000
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. +17000
Daniel Suarez +17000
Austin Dillon +17000
Todd Gilliland +25000
Shane Van Gisbergen +25000
John Hunter Nemechek +25000
Jesse Love +25000
Corey Lajoie +25000
Cole Custer +25000
A.J. Allmendinger +25000
Justin Haley +30000
Ty Dillon +50000
Riley Herbst +50000
Cody Ware +70000
Josh Bilicki +100000    

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