Kentucky Derby 2025 predictions, picks, time, horses, odds: Best bets by expert who called last year’s winner

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The Kentucky Derby 2025 will take place on Saturday, May 3, at Churchill Downs. The 2025 Kentucky Derby post draw is on April 26, when the official 2025 Kentucky Derby field and post positions will be announced. With Kentucky Derby prep races now complete, there are plenty of 2025 Kentucky Derby horses who are expected to run. The latest 2025 Kentucky Derby odds list Journalism as the 3-1 favorite, followed by Sandman (8-1), Sovereignty (8-1), Rodriguez (10-1) and Tappan Street (10-1). Before making any 2025 Kentucky Derby picks, you’ll want to see what SportsLine writer Gene Menez has to say before making any 2025 Kentucky Derby picks or horse racing predictions.

A former reporter and editor at Sports Illustrated, Menez covered an array of sports, including horse racing, for the magazine and its website for almost 14 years. Between 2010 and 2012, he served as SI’s handicapper for the Triple Crown races and correctly predicted Super Saver to win the Kentucky Derby in 2010.

In 2015, Menez accurately gave out the Kentucky Derby superfecta, which paid $1,268.20 for $2. In 2017, he tweeted out his Kentucky Derby picks, including Always Dreaming to win, and hit the Pick 4, which paid almost $6,900 on a $1 bet.

In May of last year, Menez nailed 18-1 Mystik Dan as a live longshot in the Kentucky Derby. In November, he crushed the late Pick 4 on Breeders’ Cup Saturday for a $5,303 jackpot. This year, he hit the winner and exacta in the Holy Bull Stakes and the winner, trifecta and superfecta in the Florida Derby.

For the Run for the Roses, Menez has handicapped the 2025 Kentucky Derby field, made his picks and constructed his best bets. You can head to SportsLine now to see them.

Top 2025 Kentucky Derby predictions

One of Menez’ surprising 2025 Kentucky Derby picks: He is fading Sandman, even though he won the Arkansas Derby and is one of the top favorites. The Arkansas Derby winner has climbed the odds board after finishing in the top three in his last five races.

However, those were all at Oaklawn Park, and his track record at Churchill Downs isn’t as promising. He’s finished third, fifth and fifth in his three runs at this track, including a third-place finish at the 2024 Street Sense behind Derby probables Sovereignty and Tiztastic. “He will shave to outfinish Sovereignty, who already proved he can outrun Sandman in a race with a pace meltdown when he did so in the Street Sense Stakes at Churchill Downs last year,” Menez said. See which 2025 Kentucky Derby horses he likes at SportsLine.

How to make 2025 Kentucky Derby bets, picks

Menez’ top pick is a horse who “is bred to only get better with the added distance.” He’s also high on a double-digit longshot who owns “the most awesome turn of foot of any of the Kentucky Derby hopefuls.” Menez is sharing who he likes over at SportsLine.

Which horse wins the Kentucky Derby 2025, and which double-digit longshot is a must-back? Check out the latest 2025 Kentucky Derby odds below, then visit SportsLine to see Menez’ picks for the Kentucky Derby, all from the expert who called Mystik Dan as an 18-1 live longshot in last year’s race.

2025 Kentucky Derby odds, futures

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