Yankees slugger Aaron Judge hit a deciding home run in the seventh inning of a 4-3 win over Kansas City on Wednesday, his first homer since April 4. Home runs tend to come in bunches for Judge, who went yard six times in a six-game stretch early in the season. On Thursday, Judge will face Rays starter Taj Bradley, who is 2-0 with a 3.71 ERA with two home runs allowed in three starts. The latest MLB prop bets at FanDuel Sportsbook price Judge at +215 to go yard again, so should you add him to your MLB HR picks? You can also parlay Judge to hit a home run and the Yankees to win at +360 odds.
Athletics first baseman Tyler Soderstrom leads the majors with eight home runs and is +420 to hit his ninth of the season on Thursday, according to the latest MLB odds. Should you include him in your MLB home run bets? With MLB HR props available for almost every player in every game at sportsbooks, SportsLine’s proven computer model can help you find value to add to your MLB home run parlay picks.
The model simulates every game 10,000 times and is on a 34-19 roll on all top-rated MLB picks on the run line dating back to 2023. It went 2-for-3 in HR bets Monday, hitting on Shohei Ohtani at +290 and Bobby Witt at +340, then hit Soderstrom for a +370 payout on Tuesday and Matt Mervis (+525) on Wednesday. The SportsLine Projection Model has nailed a HR prop in seven of the last nine days and is up 18.45 units in that period. Now, the model and SportsLine’s team of Data Scientists have revealed their projections for some of the most-bet MLB HR props on Thursday. These three picks can be parlayed for +15713 odds and would pay out $785.63 on a $5 bet at BetMGM Sportsbook.
Ben Rice (+475)
Rice is one of three players in New York’s lineup with at least five home runs already this season, even though he has 11 fewer at-bats than Jazz Chisholm and eight fewer at-bats than Judge. The 26-year-old designated hitter hit a home run against San Francisco on Saturday before going yard against Kansas City on Monday. He had the day off on Wednesday due to the pitching matchup against a southpaw. Rice is facing Rays starter Taj Bradley, who allowed a .749 OPS to left-handed batters last season.
“We set the line for a Rice home run at +389, making +475 solid value,” SportsLine Data Scientist Jacob Fetner said. “Rice is familiar with the Rays’ stadium as it doubles as the Yankees’ spring training park. He currently ranks 5th in the league in barrel rate, trailing only elite names like Aaron Judge, Cal Raleigh, Jackson Merrill, and Pete Alonso.” BetMGM has the best price on this prop at +475.
Junior Caminero (+520)
Caminero leads Tampa Bay’s lineup with four home runs, and three of those have come in his last five games. He did not leave yard in his first eight games of the season, but he is seeing the ball particularly well right now. The 21-year-old has a favorable pitching matchup against a struggling rookie, so the model is including him in its MLB home run picks on Thursday.
“What makes him especially dangerous is his league-leading bat speed, even ahead of names like Ohtani, Judge, and Alvarez,” Fetner said. “He faces Will Warren, who has the second-highest home run allowed rate of all starters today—behind only Emerson Hancock. With the game being played in a hitter-friendly park, I like this matchup for Caminero.” Caminero is +520 FanDuel, the best price among major sportsbooks.
Logan O’Hoppe (+450)
O’Hoppe has not been in the starting lineup the last two games due to an illness, but he did enter Wednesday’s game as a pinch hitter. He will likely be back in the lineup on Thursday, especially since he has been one of the team’s best hitters this season. O’Hoppe hit five home runs in his first seven games of the campaign, and he has hit safely in all but five games.
“Tonight he gets a great matchup against Kumar Rocker, who hasn’t looked like the dominant college pitcher that he was since dealing with arm injuries. Rocker isn’t missing many bats right now, which gives O’Hoppe a great chance to find the seats. We set his HR line at +410 tonight,” Fetner said. Once again, it’s BetMGM offering the best price for O’Hoppe to hit a home run at +450.
Want more MLB picks for Thursday?
You’ve seen the model’s MLB HR prop picks for some popular props on Thursday. Now, get MLB projections for every player prop at SportsLine.
You can also see today’s best MLB picks from Matt Severance, who’s on a commanding 53-25 roll on baseball picks. Visit SportsLine to see his best plays for today, all from the expert on a 53-25 roll.
Want more MLB predictions? SportsLine’s Bruce Marshall is 8-2 on his last 10 MLB ATS picks and you can find all his latest selections now. Visit SportsLine to see his best plays for today, all from the expert on an 8-2 MLB ATS run.
This news was originally published on this post .
About the author
Cristiane fala sobre o futuro do Flamengo no Brasileirão Feminino: “É brigar para…”
Cristiane fala sobre as metas do Flamengo no Brasileirão Feminino (Reprodução/Paula Reis/CRF) O Flamengo vem fazendo um início de Brasileirão Feminino cheio de oscilações, estando na 8ª posição da competição com 10 pontos, tendo três vitórias, um empate e três derrotas. Porém, na última rodada o clube carioca recebeu o Juventude em casa no sábado (26) e conseguiu três pontos importantes na competição. Assim, com gols de Monalisa Belém e Gláucia, a equipe rubro-negra conquistou a vitória e entrou na zona de classificação para a próxima fase do Campeonato Brasileiro Feminino, ficando um a frente do 9º colocado América-MG. PUBLICIDADE PUBLICIDADE A atacante e principal jogadora do Flamengo, Cristiane, comentou sobre as metas do time carioca na temporada, dizendo que precisa lutar para ficar dentro do G8. Mas, a atleta também destacou a força das outras equipes. “É brigar para […]
In scary Talladega moment, tire carrier gets brushed by car on pit road, but he’s fine
Bit of a scary moment at Talladega on Sunday afternoon, as the tire handler for Carson Hocevar took a pretty hard hit from the incoming car of Josh Berry. Hocevar's car was canted out onto pit road, and when Berry came through, well, a touch of chaos ensued.The tire carrier, Jarius Morehead, said in a brief television interview afterward that he was fine after the hit. Morehead played college football at N.C. State. Here's him in a more favorable moment:As a safety, Morehead surely made a few hard tackles ... though none as hard as getting hit by a car. Fortunately, all is well; that's why pit road speed limits exist.
NBA admits refs missed critical foul in Pistons’ last-second loss to Knicks
<!--> Referees missed Detroit’s Tim Hardaway Jr. getting fouled by New York’s Josh Hart on the final play of the Pistons’ playoff matchup against the Knicks on Sunday, the NBA acknowledged shortly after Game 4 ended.It was a critical missed call: Detroit lost the game by a single point, 94-93. Hardaway’s 3-point shot officially came with 0.3 seconds remaining. Had the foul been called, he would have gone to the foul line for three free throws that could have given Detroit the lead."During live play, it was judged that Josh Hart made a legal defensive play," crew chief David Guthrie told a pool reporter after the game. "After postgame review, we observed that Hart makes body contact that is more than marginal to Hardaway Jr. and a foul should have been called."ADVERTISEMENT -->New York’s win gave the Knicks a 3-1 […]
Paulo Nunes sinaliza time com a pior defesa do Brasil hoje: “Precisa contratar”
Paulo Nunes, comentarista do Grupo Globo (Reprodução/Globo) Paulo Nunes considera essencial que o Corinthians contrate novos zagueiros. Em sua análise, são notórias as falhas cometidas pelos defensores que não transmitem confiança aos seus torcedores. Neste domingo (27), por exemplo, o Timão levou quatro gols do Flamengo na sexta rodada do Brasileirão. Com Everton Cebolinha, Arrascaeta e dois de Pedro, o Rubro-Negro não teve muito trabalho para golear o adversário paulista. Nem mesmo Hugo Souza passou ileso, falhando clamorosamente no terceiro tento dos cariocas. PUBLICIDADE PUBLICIDADE “É necessário e urgente que o Corinthians contrate um zagueiro. Ele não tem zagueiro. Se o Felix Torres tem jogado, é porque algo tem de errado”, disse Paulo Nunes. Alertado por Paulo Nunes, Corinthians é massacrado no Rio Novo técnico do Timão, Dorival Júnior acompanhou das tribunas do Maracanã o chocolate levado pelos corintianos. O […]
Boston’s Jarren Duran held back in confrontation with Guardians fan who allegedly heckled him over mental health struggles
Content warning: This story contains references to suicide. If you or someone you know is having thoughts of suicide and needs support now, call or text 988 or chat with the Suicide & Crisis Lifeline at 988lifeline.org.The Cleveland Guardians apologized on Sunday afternoon after a fan at Progressive Field got into a heated confrontation with Boston Red Sox outfielder Jarren Duran.AdvertisementAdvertisementAdvertisementDuring the seventh inning of the Red Sox’s 13-3 win over the Guardians, a fan near the Boston dugout started yelling at Duran. That sparked an altercation where Duran had to be held back by multiple coaches, umpires and teammates.The fan in question, according to Cleveland.com, was then seen running away from the confrontation up the aisle, onto the concourse and out of the stadium.Though it’s unclear exactly what was said or what led up to it, Red Sox analyst […]
Referees acknowledge missed foul call at the end of Pistons-Knicks Game 4
DETROIT — Crew chief David Guthrie acknowledged that the game-sealing non-call during Sunday’s New York Knicks-Detroit Pistons game should have been called a foul.With the clock winding down in the game’s final seconds, Pistons star Cade Cunningham missed a stepback jumper. The ball smacked off a couple of hands, with the Knicks still up 94-93, and trickled to Detroit wing Tim Hardaway Jr., who rose for a 3-pointer in the left corner with New York energizer Josh Hart flying over to close out. Hardaway leaned in Hart’s direction and let go of an errant jump shot as Hart bumped him.AdvertisementNo call. The Knicks won by one, and they have a 3-1 lead in their first-round series with the Pistons.After the game, Guthrie told a pool reporter that there should, in fact, have been a foul called on Hart on the […]
Related
Cristiane fala sobre o futuro do Flamengo no Brasileirão Feminino: “É brigar para…”
Cristiane fala sobre as metas do Flamengo no Brasileirão Feminino (Reprodução/Paula Reis/CRF) O Flamengo vem fazendo um início de Brasileirão Feminino cheio de oscilações, estando na 8ª posição da competição com 10 pontos, tendo três vitórias, um empate e três derrotas. Porém, na última rodada o clube carioca recebeu o Juventude em casa no sábado (26) e conseguiu três pontos importantes na competição. Assim, com gols de Monalisa Belém e Gláucia, a equipe rubro-negra conquistou a vitória e entrou na zona de classificação para a próxima fase do Campeonato Brasileiro Feminino, ficando um a frente do 9º colocado América-MG. PUBLICIDADE PUBLICIDADE A atacante e principal jogadora do Flamengo, Cristiane, comentou sobre as metas do time carioca na temporada, dizendo que precisa lutar para ficar dentro do G8. Mas, a atleta também destacou a força das outras equipes. “É brigar para […]
In scary Talladega moment, tire carrier gets brushed by car on pit road, but he’s fine
Bit of a scary moment at Talladega on Sunday afternoon, as the tire handler for Carson Hocevar took a pretty hard hit from the incoming car of Josh Berry. Hocevar's car was canted out onto pit road, and when Berry came through, well, a touch of chaos ensued.The tire carrier, Jarius Morehead, said in a brief television interview afterward that he was fine after the hit. Morehead played college football at N.C. State. Here's him in a more favorable moment:As a safety, Morehead surely made a few hard tackles ... though none as hard as getting hit by a car. Fortunately, all is well; that's why pit road speed limits exist.
NBA admits refs missed critical foul in Pistons’ last-second loss to Knicks
<!--> Referees missed Detroit’s Tim Hardaway Jr. getting fouled by New York’s Josh Hart on the final play of the Pistons’ playoff matchup against the Knicks on Sunday, the NBA acknowledged shortly after Game 4 ended.It was a critical missed call: Detroit lost the game by a single point, 94-93. Hardaway’s 3-point shot officially came with 0.3 seconds remaining. Had the foul been called, he would have gone to the foul line for three free throws that could have given Detroit the lead."During live play, it was judged that Josh Hart made a legal defensive play," crew chief David Guthrie told a pool reporter after the game. "After postgame review, we observed that Hart makes body contact that is more than marginal to Hardaway Jr. and a foul should have been called."ADVERTISEMENT -->New York’s win gave the Knicks a 3-1 […]
Paulo Nunes sinaliza time com a pior defesa do Brasil hoje: “Precisa contratar”
Paulo Nunes, comentarista do Grupo Globo (Reprodução/Globo) Paulo Nunes considera essencial que o Corinthians contrate novos zagueiros. Em sua análise, são notórias as falhas cometidas pelos defensores que não transmitem confiança aos seus torcedores. Neste domingo (27), por exemplo, o Timão levou quatro gols do Flamengo na sexta rodada do Brasileirão. Com Everton Cebolinha, Arrascaeta e dois de Pedro, o Rubro-Negro não teve muito trabalho para golear o adversário paulista. Nem mesmo Hugo Souza passou ileso, falhando clamorosamente no terceiro tento dos cariocas. PUBLICIDADE PUBLICIDADE “É necessário e urgente que o Corinthians contrate um zagueiro. Ele não tem zagueiro. Se o Felix Torres tem jogado, é porque algo tem de errado”, disse Paulo Nunes. Alertado por Paulo Nunes, Corinthians é massacrado no Rio Novo técnico do Timão, Dorival Júnior acompanhou das tribunas do Maracanã o chocolate levado pelos corintianos. O […]
Boston’s Jarren Duran held back in confrontation with Guardians fan who allegedly heckled him over mental health struggles
Content warning: This story contains references to suicide. If you or someone you know is having thoughts of suicide and needs support now, call or text 988 or chat with the Suicide & Crisis Lifeline at 988lifeline.org.The Cleveland Guardians apologized on Sunday afternoon after a fan at Progressive Field got into a heated confrontation with Boston Red Sox outfielder Jarren Duran.AdvertisementAdvertisementAdvertisementDuring the seventh inning of the Red Sox’s 13-3 win over the Guardians, a fan near the Boston dugout started yelling at Duran. That sparked an altercation where Duran had to be held back by multiple coaches, umpires and teammates.The fan in question, according to Cleveland.com, was then seen running away from the confrontation up the aisle, onto the concourse and out of the stadium.Though it’s unclear exactly what was said or what led up to it, Red Sox analyst […]
Referees acknowledge missed foul call at the end of Pistons-Knicks Game 4
DETROIT — Crew chief David Guthrie acknowledged that the game-sealing non-call during Sunday’s New York Knicks-Detroit Pistons game should have been called a foul.With the clock winding down in the game’s final seconds, Pistons star Cade Cunningham missed a stepback jumper. The ball smacked off a couple of hands, with the Knicks still up 94-93, and trickled to Detroit wing Tim Hardaway Jr., who rose for a 3-pointer in the left corner with New York energizer Josh Hart flying over to close out. Hardaway leaned in Hart’s direction and let go of an errant jump shot as Hart bumped him.AdvertisementNo call. The Knicks won by one, and they have a 3-1 lead in their first-round series with the Pistons.After the game, Guthrie told a pool reporter that there should, in fact, have been a foul called on Hart on the […]
Be the first to leave a comment