MLB’s surprising top team so far, plus the NBA playoffs begin

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Good morning! Have some candy today.


Spring Dreaming: Stubbornly great Padres lead spring surprises

A month ago, the Padres figured to be a fringe playoff contender that could get hot and challenge an elite team or two in October — like they did last year, when they took the eventual champion Dodgers to a decisive fifth game in the NLDS. On Opening Day, FanGraphs gave San Diego about a one-in-three shot at making a third postseason in four years.

Not a bad forecast, but the Padres didn’t exactly feel like an organization on the rise. A lot of things weighed down on any optimism:

No matter. A little over 10 percent of the way into the season, the Padres are 15-6, the best record in baseball. The team’s offensive core (Fernando Tatis Jr., Manny Machado and Merrill when healthy) is raking. Michael King, part of the return from the Yankees for Soto before last season, has pitched lights-out, as has new arrival Pivetta. Robert Suarez has been a dominant closer. Everything is clicking.

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The club is packing Petco Park to the tune of more than 40,000 fans per game. Merrill just signed a nine-year extension to solidify himself as a true franchise cornerstone. The vibes could hardly be better, no matter what is going on with the dollars and cents.

Elsewhere, April ball is full of surprises. The Braves started 0-7 and have had a slow dig out of that hole. The Twins have been a disaster and ceded AL Central favorite status to the Tigers. The big league home run leader is … Athletics first baseman Tyler Soderstrom? Indeed, with nine homers.

We asked The Athletic’s Eno Sarris and Derek VanRiper, hosts of “Rates & Barrels,” which April developments are primed to regress to their respective means.

Sarris has the Giants offense going 📉:

💬 Who did you think would have a good offense to start the year? The Cubs? Yep, they led MLB in runs per game entering play on Saturday. The Diamondbacks and Yankees? Yep, second and third. But also right there are the Giants, in fourth somehow scoring more than five runs a game. They might be OK, but that seems out of whack.

Meanwhile, VanRiper has the Braves offense, sixth from the bottom in runs per game, going 📈:

💬 Ronald Acuña Jr. is in the late stages of rehab from his second ACL tear, and better health outcomes for Austin Riley, Michael Harris and Ozzie Albies should be pushing this offense back toward its 2023 form. It’s a matter of time before they are a feared lineup again.

The baseball season is young. Time to check news.


News to Know

NBA playoffs bring drama, dominance

Yesterday’s quadruple header of Game 1s delivered a good old-fashioned beatdown, plenty of late-game dramatics and a team that couldn’t miss. A quick recap:

Quite the start. Get caught up with our NBA staff’s full takeaways from every game. More playoffs:

Stanley Cup favorites win Game 1s

The Jets needed a Kyle Connor game-winning goal with 1:36 left in the third period to escape with a win over the Blues. Our NHL staff has more takeaways from a back-and-forth Game 1 in Winnipeg. In the late game, the current title favorite Avalanche (+600, per BetMGM) handed the Stars their eighth straight (!) Game 1 loss. Their opening goal? Whatever this wizardry is:

More news:


What to Watch

📺 Formula 1: Saudi Arabian Grand Prix

1 p.m. ET on ESPN2

The season is shaping up like a McLaren runaway, with the biggest drama being which driver in the orange car, Lando Norris or Oscar Piastri, wins the drivers’ championship. The midfield has subplots, though, like Williams rising despite new signee and ex-Ferrari driver Carlos Sainz struggling.

📺 NBA: Magic at Celtics, Game 1

3:30 p.m. ET on ABC

The defending champs are second, behind the Thunder, in The Athletic’s pre-playoff power ranking. Boston is the East’s No. 2 seed, and Orlando the No. 7? Any shot at the 41-41 Magic pulling a series upset? Not really. We don’t lie to you in The Pulse. But Paolo Banchero and Franz Wagner are fun to watch and good for 50 points per game between them.

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📺 NHL: Senators at Maple Leafs, Game 1 

7 p.m. ET on ESPN2

The Battle of Ontario hits the playoffs, just like in the pre-2005 lockout days. The Leafs look to avoid an early-round exit for the ninth year in a row. The Sens are an intriguing wild-card team, playing in the playoffs for the first time since 2017. Hostilities will flair.


Pulse Picks

Ticketing links in this article are provided by partners of The Athletic. Restrictions may apply. The Athletic maintains full editorial independence. Partners have no control over or input into the reporting or editing process and do not review stories before publication.

(Top photo: Sean M. Haffey / Getty Images)

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