Football is, and will forever be, a talent-driven sport. How an NFL team handles its draft picks — every single one of them, every year — is the predictor for current and future success. And though it’s extremely difficult to assign a numeric value to a football player or draft class (especially compared to a sport like baseball or basketball), we’re going to give it a shot anyway.
Below is a look at how each NFL team has performed over the past five drafts. I’ve charted the number of top 50 picks each team has had in that stretch, along with the number of Pro Bowl selections and starting seasons those picks have produced. Additionally, I’ve used the Approximate Value metric (created by Pro Football Reference’s Doug Drinen) as a basic guide to rank teams based on which ones have gotten the most out of their recent picks. The number next to each team is that franchise’s average Approximate Value per selection from 2020-24.
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It’s important to note here that Approximate Value is what it sounds like: an approximation. Nothing is final here, especially considering how much second- and third-year players are still developing. But here’s a rough look at who’s done the most — and the least — with their past five drafts:
1. Detroit Lions (10.53 average Approximate Value)
Top 50 picks: 12
Pro Bowls: 13
Starting seasons: 35
Best pick: OT Penei Sewell (No. 7, 2021); Worst pick: CB Jeff Okudah (No. 3, 2020); Best value: WR Amon-Ra St. Brown (No. 112, 2021)
Brad Holmes’ first three classes — aided by the 2021 Matthew Stafford trade — featured Sewell, Alim McNeill, St. Brown, Aidan Hutchinson, Kerby Joseph, Jahmyr Gibbs, Brian Branch and Sam LaPorta. Detroit has put on a masterclass in how to rebuild an organization from the ground up.
2. Kansas City Chiefs (9.46)
Total 50 picks: 5
Pro Bowls: 4
Starting seasons: 39
Best pick: C Creed Humphrey (No. 63, 2021); Worst pick: RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire (No. 32, 2020); Best value: G Trey Smith (No. 226, 2021)
No team has done more with less in recent drafts than the Chiefs, which consistently have picked toward the bottom of the first round. Humphrey (technically, the third center off the board in 2021) was one of the NFL’s best interior linemen by the end of his rookie season and remains so today.
3. Baltimore Ravens (8.95)
Top 50 picks: 8
Pro Bowls: 11
Starting seasons: 37
Best pick: S Kyle Hamilton (No. 14, 2022); Worst pick: edge David Ojabo (No. 45, 2022); Best value: DT Nnamdi Madubuike (No. 71, 2020)
Getting Hamilton and Tyler Linderbaum in 2022 made for one of the best Day 1 hauls a team could want. Some front-office executives are still afraid of taking safeties early, but Baltimore held strong on Hamilton. The Ravens always take the best player on their board and have had almost zero premium whiffs in this stretch.
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4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (8.94)
Top 50 picks: 7
Pro Bowls: 5
Starting seasons: 34
Best pick: OT Tristan Wirfs (No. 13, 2020); Worst pick: QB Kyle Trask (No. 64, 2021); Best value: edge YaYa Diaby (No. 82, 2023)
Wirfs is only 26 and has already become the first player in NFL history to earn first-team All-Pro honors at both right and left tackle. Tampa Bay also snagged Antoine Winfield Jr. in 2020 and has continued to grind the middle rounds as well as any team in the league (Cade Otton, Bucky Irving, Cody Mauch).
5. Dallas Cowboys (8.76)
Top 50 picks: 6
Pro Bowls: 15
Starting seasons: 34
Best pick: edge Micah Parsons (No. 12, 2021); Worst pick: DT Mazi Smith (No. 26, 2023); Best value: CB Daron Bland (No. 167, 2022)
Parsons, CeeDee Lamb, Trevon Diggs and Tyler Smith were all elite picks from 2020-22 — no one can claim the Cowboys are lacking top-end talent. Of Dallas’ 43 picks in this stretch, 18 came in the top 100.
6. Miami Dolphins (8.75)
Top 50 picks: 8
Pro Bowls: 2
Starting seasons: 35
Best pick: WR Jaylen Waddle (No. 6, 2021); Worst pick: CB Noah Igbinoghene (No. 30, 2020); Best value: RB De’Von Achane (No. 84, 2023)
The Dolphins had just 37 total picks from 2020-24, but 15 of them were top-100 selections. And though some of Miami’s best value picks (Jevon Holland, Robert Hunt) left via free agency, the franchise has done a nice job maximizing a somewhat short-handed pick arsenal.
7. Cincinnati Bengals (8.48)
Top 50 picks: 8
Pro Bowls: 6
Starting seasons: 33
Best pick: QB Joe Burrow (No. 1, 2020); Worst pick: S Daxton Hill (No. 31, 2022); Best value: LB Logan Wilson (No. 65, 2020)
The Bengals hit the jackpot with Burrow and Ja’Marr Chase in back-to-back years, but an inability to find quality offensive linemen via the draft has hindered their progress since making Super Bowl LVI.
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8. Buffalo Bills (8.46)
Top 50 picks: 4
Pro Bowls: 1
Starting seasons: 33
Best pick: edge Gregory Rousseau (No. 30, 2021); Worst pick: CB Kaiir Elam (No. 23, 2022); Best value: WR Khalil Shakir (No. 148, 2022)
Like the Chiefs, the Bills have done a terrific job maxing out the draft, despite spending most of the last five years near the bottom of the first round. The Elam miss hurts, but picks such as Shakir, James Cook, O’Cyrus Torrence and Spencer Brown have been huge — and a testament to Buffalo’s scouting department.
9. Philadelphia Eagles (8.45)
Top 50 picks: 8
Pro Bowls: 7
Starting seasons: 24
Best pick: QB Jalen Hurts (R2: No. 53, 2020); Worst pick: WR Jalen Reagor (R1: No. 21, 2020); Best value: LB Nakobe Dean (No. 83, 2022)
The 2020 draft was strange, but it also produced one of the smartest QB picks of the last decade. Since then, Howie Roseman has continued to feast in just about every area of the draft. Getting Jalen Carter at No. 9 was a steal, and bringing in Cam Jurgens before Jason Kelce’s retirement made for one of the best picks in the last five years.
10. Los Angeles Chargers (8.41)
Top 50 picks: 8
Pro Bowls: 3
Starting seasons: 32
Best pick: QB Justin Herbert (No. 6, 2020); Worst pick: G Zion Johnson (No. 17, 2022); Best value: OL Jamaree Salyer (No. 195, 2022)
Injuries and coaching changes have gotten in the way here, but the Chargers followed the Herbert pick by adding quality in Rashawn Slater and, most recently, Joe Alt and Ladd McConkey. Even Johnson hasn’t been bad. There’s a reason why Jim Harbaugh was able to get this team off the mat quickly — the Chargers have talent.
11. Chicago Bears (8.18)
Top 50 picks: 9
Pro Bowls: 2
Starting seasons: 41
Best pick: QB Caleb Williams (No. 1, 2024); Worst pick: QB Justin Fields (No. 11, 2021); Best value: OL Braxton Jones (No. 168, 2022)
Finding talent through the draft hasn’t been a problem for Ryan Poles. Drafting Fields before the team was ready hurt, though. The Bears have struggled to find pieces that mesh well together and have fallen behind the deepest division in football as a result.
This throw by Caleb Williams 🔥
📺: #MINvsCHI on FOX
📱: https://t.co/waVpO909ge pic.twitter.com/bdDgz6r0Bx— NFL (@NFL) November 24, 2024
12. Pittsburgh Steelers (8.18)
Top 50 picks: 7
Pro Bowls: 1
Starting seasons: 35
Best pick: edge Alex Highsmith (No. 102, 2020); Worst pick: QB Kenny Pickett (No. 20, 2022); Best value: WR George Pickens (No. 52, 2022)
Highsmith is Pittsburgh’s best pick and best value during this stretch. But the Steelers, with just 36 total picks from 2020-24, have done a nice job consistently finding quality in the mid-rounds. Zach Frazier and Payton Wilson are the latest examples. It’s helped keep the team competitive, despite missing big on Pickett.
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13. Seattle Seahawks (7.92)
Top 50 picks: 9
Pro Bowls: 4
Starting seasons: 27
Best pick: CB Devon Witherspoon (No. 5, 2023); Worst pick: WR D’Wayne Eskridge (R2: No. 56, 2021); Best value: CB Riq Woolen (No. 153, 2022)
The Seahawks also have made some to-be-determined selections (Charles Cross and Boye Mafe) but hit gold with Woolen and Witherspoon. The results could be better, but they also could be much worse.
14. Houston Texans (7.76)
Top 50 picks: 8
Pro Bowls: 5
Starting seasons: 31
Best pick: QB C.J. Stroud (No. 2, 2023); Worst pick: G Kenyon Green (No. 15, 2022); Best value: WR Nico Collins (No. 89, 2021)
Houston’s had some whiffs, from Green to Ross Blacklock and John Metchie III. But the Texans also have had their share of slam dunks — Stroud, Will Anderson Jr. and Tank Dell in 2023 made for one of the best top-100 trios of any in this era.
15. Denver Broncos (7.34)
Top 50 picks: 5
Pro Bowls: 7
Starting seasons: 26
Best pick: CB Patrick Surtain II (No. 9, 2021); Worst pick: WR KJ Hamler (No. 46, 2020) Best value: edge Jonathon Cooper (No. 239, 2021)
The Russell Wilson trade hurt Denver, but it’s hard to argue the Broncos haven’t done a great job finding quality players in the mid- and late rounds. Cooper, Quinn Meinerz, Nik Bonitto and others have made life easier.
16. New York Jets (7.33)
Top 50 picks: 11
Pro Bowls: 3
Starting seasons: 37
Best pick: CB Sauce Gardner (No. 4, 2022); Worst pick: QB Zach Wilson (No. 2, 2021); Best value: LB Jamien Sherwood (No. 146, 2021)
The Joe Douglas-Robert Saleh era didn’t implode due to a lack of talent — the only team with more top 50 picks in this stretch was Detroit. So, though hits like Gardner, Garrett Wilson and Joe Tippmann have worked out, there have also been hiccups. But if Aaron Glenn can rally the troops (and find a QB), New York has the talent to make a jump.
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17. San Francisco 49ers (7.30)
Top 50 picks: 5
Pro Bowls: 2
Starting seasons: 25
Best pick: QB Brock Purdy (No. 262, 2022); Worst pick: QB Trey Lance (No. 3, 2021); Best value: S Talanoa Hufanga (No. 180, 2021)
A huge reason why the 49ers just went through major roster changes is the failed trade-up for Lance, which cost San Francisco three firsts and a third. The 49ers have had just one first-round pick since 2021, and the Purdy steal, though helpful, has not been a cure-all. San Francisco has been able to find quality talent in the middle rounds, though, including Hafunga, Deommodore Lenoir and, most recently, Dominick Puni.
18. Green Bay Packers (7.28)
Top 50 picks: 10
Pro Bowls: 0
Starting seasons: 35
Best pick: QB Jordan Love (No. 26, 2020); Worst pick: edge Lukas Van Ness (No. 13, 2023); Best value: OL Zach Tom (No. 140, 2022)
The Packers believe in internal player development as much as, or possibly more than, any team in the league. They will take chances on first-rounders who might need more time — Love and star edge Rashan Gary are great examples. Right now, though, Green Bay is still waiting on jumps from Van Ness, Devonte Wyatt and Jordan Morgan. The Packers haven’t drafted poorly of late, but they certainly could’ve done better in a few areas.
19. Atlanta Falcons (7.08)
Top 50 picks: 10
Pro Bowls: 2
Starting seasons: 30
Best pick: WR Drake London (No. 8, 2023); Worst pick: DT Marlon Davidson (No. 47, 2020); Best value: C Drew Dalman (No. 115, 2021)
Atlanta’s had a slew of premium picks over the last five years, but the results, as the team’s record suggests, have been middling. London has been a home run; Kyle Pitts has struggled to live up to an elite rookie season. Bijan Robinson and Matthew Bergeron were great picks to start the 2023 draft; Michael Penix Jr. and Ruke Orhorhoro from the ’24 class haven’t hit yet. Atlanta has struggled in the second round, particularly with Marlon Davidson, Troy Andersen and even Richie Grant coming up a bit short.
20. New York Giants (7.07)
Top 50 picks: 10
Pro Bowls: 2
Starting seasons: 29
Best pick: WR Malik Nabers (No. 6, 2024); Worst pick: OT Evan Neal (No. 7, 2022); Best value: LB Micah McFadden (No. 146, 2022)
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The Giants have had four top-10 picks since 2020, but it’s hard to say they’ve done enough with them. While Nabers and Andrew Thomas have been great, Kayvon Thibodeaux has been hit or miss and Neal has struggled. The bigger issue (apart from the lack of a QB) has been New York’s inability to find value in the mid-to-late rounds. However, the 2024 class appears to have real promise.
21. New Orleans Saints (7.06)
Top 50 picks: 9
Pro Bowls: 1
Starting seasons: 25
Best pick: WR Chris Olave (No. 11, 2022); Worst pick: edge Payton Turner (No. 28, 2021); Best value: CB Paulson Adebo (No. 76, 2021)
The biggest problem here has been a lack of resources, as New Orleans made just 29 picks from 2020-24. So, although there have been hits (Olave, Taliese Fuaga), every so-so pick (Turner, Trevor Penning, Isaiah Foskey) has hurt that much more.
22. Washington Commanders (7.00)
Top 50 picks: 9
Pro Bowls: 2
Starting seasons: 29
Best pick: QB Jayden Daniels (No. 2, 2024); Worst pick: edge Chase Young (No. 2, 2020); Best value: OT Brandon Coleman (No. 67, 2024)
The 2024 class saved the day, and it wasn’t just because of Daniels. Coleman, Mike Sainristil and Jer’Zhan Newton all produced as rookies. Picks such as Young and Jahan Dotson have been frustrating, but Washington has done a solid job finding late-round value.
23. Jacksonville Jaguars (6.82)
Top 50 picks: 11
Pro Bowls: 2
Starting seasons: 36
Best pick: QB Trevor Lawrence (No. 1, 2021); Worst pick: CB C.J. Henderson (No. 9, 2020); Best value pick: S Andre Cisco (No. 65, 2021)
Few teams have done less with more since 2020 than Jacksonville, which recently fired GM Trent Baalke. Travon Walker is a good microcosm for how the Jaguars have drafted in this stretch — he’s improved a lot since his rookie season, but in no world should he have been taken in front of Aidan Hutchinson.
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24. Indianapolis Colts (6.73)
Top 50 picks: 6
Pro Bowls: 2
Starting seasons: 37
Best pick: RB Jonathan Taylor (No. 41, 2020); Worst pick: QB Anthony Richardson (No. 4, 2023); Best value: CB Jaylon Jones (No. 221, 2023)
That Richardson (who could still turn it around) is the worst pick here sort of tells the story — non-draft factors have been behind the Colts’ recent decline. In many ways, the franchise is still reeling from Andrew Luck’s retirement and the decisions made in the aftermath. GM Chris Ballard and company have made solid selections during his time (Josh Downs, Bernhard Raimann, Kwity Paye), but the Colts haven’t had an elite selection since Taylor.
25. Carolina Panthers (6.58)
Top 50 picks: 8
Pro Bowls: 1
Starting seasons: 24
Best pick: DT Derrick Brown (No. 7, 2020); Worst pick: QB Bryce Young (No. 1, 2023); Best value: RB Chuba Hubbard (No. 126, 2021)
Don’t give up on Young yet, but taking him over C.J. Stroud — and trading so much to do so — has not aged well. The other problem has been the lack of hits from the Panthers’ front office after the first two rounds.
26. Minnesota Vikings (6.43)
Top 50 pick: 8
Pro Bowls: 4
Starting seasons: 32
Best pick: WR Justin Jefferson (No. 22, 2020); Worst pick: S Lewis Cine (No. 32, 2022); Best value: CB Cam Bynum (No. 125, 2021)
Not getting anything from either J.J. McCarthy or Dallas Turner last year impacted Minnesota’s number, because the front office has done a nice job with picks, including Jefferson, Christian Darrisaw, Jordan Addison, Ezra Cleveland and more. Still, McCarthy and Turner are the only top-20 selections Minnesota has had since 2020.
27. Cleveland Browns (5.95)
Top 50 picks: 3
Pro Bowl: 0
Starting seasons: 25
Best pick: LB Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah (No. 52, 2021); Worst pick: OT Jedrick Wills (No. 10, 2020); Best value: CB Martin Emerson (No. 68, 2022)
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Swing and a miss. The Deshaun Watson trade, which has kept Cleveland out of the first round since 2021, does a lot to explain this ranking. Cleveland hasn’t had enough assets in the draft to keep its roster healthy, while premium investments like Wills haven’t panned out.
28. Las Vegas Raiders (5.89)
Top 50 picks: 8
Pro Bowls: 1
Starting seasons: 28
Best pick: TE Brock Bowers (No. 13, 2024); Worst pick: WR Henry Ruggs III (No. 12, 2020); Best value: OL Dylan Parham (No. 90, 2022)
Bowers broke a horrible streak of first-rounders for Las Vegas — Damon Arnette, Alex Leatherwood, Ruggs and Tyree Wilson have all gone in the books as misses (though Wilson still has time to turn it around). The good news? Bowers, Jackson Powers-Johnson and Delmar Glaze were all great picks in 2024.
29. Los Angeles Rams (5.58)
Top 50 picks: 3
Pro Bowls: 3
Starting seasons: 28
Best pick: WR Puka Nacua (No. 177, 2023); Worst pick: G Logan Bruss (No. 104, 2022); Best value: RB Kyren Williams (No. 164, 2022)
This is the other side of the Stafford trade, though this ranking doesn’t tell the real story. That the Rams have remained competitive with hardly any premium picks over the last five drafts is a testament to Les Snead and his staff. Nacua is the best Day 3 pick of the last five years, and the Rams also nailed their top two selections in 2024 (Jared Verse and Braden Fiske).
30. New England Patriots (5.58)
Top 50 picks: 9
Pro Bowls: 2
Starting seasons: 29
Best pick: QB Drake Maye (No. 3, 2024); Worst pick: QB Mac Jones (No. 15, 2021); Best value: OL Mike Onwenu (No. 182, 2020)
Despite his yearlong ESPN public relations tour, there are reasons why Bill Belichick’s time in New England needed to end. From 2020-2022, New England’s top three picks were Josh Uche, Jones and Cole Strange, respectively. The Patriots have a lot of work to do.
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31. Tennessee Titans (5.0)
Top 50 picks: 8
Pro Bowls: 0
Seasons started: 19
Best pick: OT JC Latham (No. 7, 2024); Worst pick: OT Isaiah Wilson (No. 29, 2020); Best value: TE Chigoziem Okonkwo (No. 143, 2022)
Wilson, who played just four snaps with the Titans and is currently out of football, was one of the worst-performing first-round picks of all time. Taking Caleb Farley and Treylon Burks in 2021 and 2022, respectively, also didn’t help.
32. Arizona Cardinals (4.9)
Top 50 picks: 8
Pro Bowls: 1
Starting seasons: 22
Best pick: WR Marvin Harrison Jr. (No. 4, 2024); Worst pick: LB/Edge Zaven Collins (No. 16, 2021); Best value: WR Michael Wilson (No. 94, 2023)
The Cardinals’ best picks of this stretch have come in the last two drafts, so if we recalculate in two years, they likely would be much higher on the list. GM Monti Ossenfort has done a very nice job kick-starting a rebuild for a team that could be solid in 2025.
(Top photo of Penei Sewell: Rey Del Rio / Getty Images)
This news was originally published on this post .
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