Why Oilers will go as far as Connor McDavid, Leon Draisaitl can take them

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LOS ANGELES — It’s becoming increasingly apparent that the Edmonton Oilers are going to need more from Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl than they ever have before.

It wasn’t supposed to be this way. Not now. Not with the two superstars in their late 20s and coming off a Stanley Cup Final appearance.

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The Oilers were supposed to be built for success with oodles of depth and options.

Injuries are largely to blame for the Oilers’ undesirable situation as they get set for their fourth straight first-round series against the Los Angeles Kings.

Their best all-around defenceman, Mattias Ekholm, has been ruled out for the entire matchup. Another regular blueliner, Troy Stecher, is recuperating from an injury in Edmonton, so he’ll be a mid-round addition at best.

Evander Kane is also out for Game 1 on Monday. Watching him skate as an extra in practices on Friday in San Jose and on Sunday in Los Angeles — he skipped Saturday’s optional session — sure didn’t look like someone engaged or ready to make an impact.

Trent Frederic is considered closer to playing and has been deemed a possibility for the opener. That he skated in a grey sweater reserved for extra forwards makes his inclusion in the lineup more doubtful than probable.

As usual, the Oilers’ two best players feel a strong sense of ownership for leading the way.

“We always feel that,” McDavid said. “But I think we have a good group in there that understands that it takes everybody. It’s not just a couple of guys. We have a mature group. A lot of guys have been there and played in these moments, played in these games.”

The defence looks patchy already with Josh Brown, who spent most of the season in the AHL, expected to open the series. Cam Dineen and John Klingberg, who has declared himself ready, are also options. One of them will be needed if Brett Kulak doesn’t return in time from Canmore, Alta., where his wife, Caitlyn, is expecting to give birth to their second child.

It’s all far from ideal.

McDavid has 36 points in 18 playoff games against the Kings over the last three springs, an average of two points per outing. Draisaitl isn’t far behind with 30 points during that span.

With all the roster uncertainty and players coming back from injuries, the Oilers are likely going to need similar or better scoring rates from Nos. 29 and 97 to not only beat the Kings but go much further.

“Our chances are a lot better when Connor and Leon are playing well,” Oilers coach Kris Knoblauch said. “You typically win when your best players are playing their best. If they were to put him that kind of production in the first round against L.A., I like our chances. L.A. knows that, too. They know how important those two are to our team.”

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It’s not like the rest of the roster is full of nobodies, as Knoblauch and McDavid pointed out.

Zach Hyman scored 70 goals between the regular season and playoffs in 2023-24. Ryan Nugent-Hopkins provides flexibility. Darnell Nurse had perhaps the best campaign of his career. Evan Bouchard, despite his defensive miscues, remains an elite talent and has a track record of playoff excellence. There are other useful contributors.

“I feel really confident with (the team) just because we have a lot of really good hockey players,” Knoblauch said. “There is some uncertainty about it because we haven’t played together for … forever.”

That’s just it. They’ve never dressed a full lineup. The injuries started coming the day the already injured Frederic and Max Jones were acquired in March, and they never stopped.

Knoblauch doesn’t think that’ll be an issue. Nor does Draisaitl.

“It’s a matter of going out there, having the right mindset and getting to work,” the alternate captain said.

But the question remains: Do they have enough to get the job done?

“A lot of people have a lot of questions about our team,” Knoblauch said. “We’re playing a team that a lot of people believe is a stronger, more powerful team (than last year). A lot of people are thinking it’s going to be a lot more difficult for us, if we are even to win.

“For our team, we’re fine being the underdog, underappreciated.”

This is a team wired to win the Stanley Cup. Anything less offers little solace.

This isn’t like the first time they faced off against the Kings three years ago. They were desperate to move the needle after winning just one of eight games in disappointing series losses to Chicago and Winnipeg in successive opening rounds.

The way the Oilers beat the Kings in 2022 was a turning point. They came back from a 3-2 series deficit despite Nurse being out because of a suspension and Draisaitl suffering a high-ankle sprain early in Game 6.

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McDavid called Game 6 “a defining win for our group that put a lot of things in motion.” Moving on and knocking off Calgary took the sting out of getting swept by Colorado in the conference final. The Oilers knew they were overmatched against the Avalanche and tried to soak up valuable experience.

Those days are long in the rearview mirror.

“The biggest ammunition we have is our goal, what we want to accomplish,” Knoblauch said. “It’s been on our minds for 10 months, since June 24 of last year.”

“Our goal is to be the last team standing,” Draisaitl added.

It just doesn’t feel like the Oilers’ year given all the unhealthy players and underperformance this season, and how much the roster appears likely to remain in flux at least for this series. A quick exit, and a chance to rest and recalibrate, might be the best thing for this team.

That’s the last thing on the players’ minds, of course. If anything, there’s hope that the worm will turn.

“We had another 100-point season and probably, at times, we didn’t play our best hockey,” Draisaitl said. “That’s what makes me very optimistic about us being a good team. We have some of the best players in the world that can make a big-time difference.”

If that optimism doesn’t actualize, the management team, led by hockey operations CEO Jeff Jackson and GM Stan Bowman, will have to look long and hard at this roster’s construction.

It was Jackson who loaded up on veterans on July 1 while the Oilers were between general managers. That decision largely hasn’t paid off. Corey Perry, 39, might be the only player who was signed or re-signed who has met or exceeded expectations this season.

Meanwhile, the Oilers let younger players like Dylan Holloway, Philip Broberg, Warren Foegele and Ryan McLeod go. They all went on to have career seasons elsewhere with the benefit of more opportunity. At least McLeod was relinquished in a trade that saw 2022 first-rounder Matt Savoie come the other way to become the Oilers’ top prospect. The others weren’t prioritized enough internally.

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The Oilers are making strides to improve their prospect base, notably with the signing of Quinn Hutson. They also added two quality talents before the trade deadline in Frederic and Jake Walman, though the former has played just 7:10 in one game and is a pending unrestricted free agent. They remain the oldest team in the NHL.

Jackson and Bowman will be tasked with continuing to make the Oilers more youthful and integrating players with growth potential onto the roster rather than those who’ve plateaued and are more prone to getting hurt.

The Oilers can’t afford to let too many chances go by the wayside. Draisaitl, whose $14 million AAV extension kicks in next season, turns 30 in October. McDavid is about to enter the last season of his contract and has made it clear his only concern is winning when it comes to his future.

It’ll be up to McDavid and Draisaitl, in large part, to ensure this year’s Stanley Cup goal is reached. It seems like a tough task considering some of the issues with the roster right now.

But they have the ability to will a team over the finish line. At least those two, plus Hyman and Walman, are slated to be in on Monday after being banged up down the stretch.

“This is as good as I’ve felt about the group all year,” McDavid said. “We’re as healthy as we’ve been in a while. Guys are excited. Guys are energized. Guys are fresh.”

It’ll feel like a waste for this organization if that promise isn’t fulfilled. And that’s something that’ll need to be quickly addressed because the Oilers should be at the point where McDavid and Draisaitl are no longer leaned on so heavily.

(Photo: Derek Cain / Getty Images)

This news was originally published on this post .

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