Nuggets vs. Clippers odds, prediction, line, time: 2025 NBA playoff picks, Game 6 best bets by proven model

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The Denver Nuggets will look to close out their best-of-seven series when they battle the Los Angeles Clippers in Game 6 of their Western Conference first-round matchup on Thursday. Denver grabbed a 3-2 series lead with a 131-115 win on Tuesday. The Nuggets (50-32), who won the 2022-2023 NBA championship, are 25-18 on the road this season, including the postseason. The Clippers (50-32), who have exited in the first round in each of the past two seasons, are 31-12 on their home court in 2024-2025.

Tip-off from the Intuit Dome at Inglewood, Calif., is set for 10 p.m. ET. The Clippers are 6.5-point favorites in the latest Nuggets vs. Clippers odds from DraftKings Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is 211.5. Before making any Clippers vs. Nuggets picks, check out the NBA predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in betting profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past six-plus seasons. The model enters the second full week of the 2025 NBA playoffs on a sizzling 156-116 roll on all top-rated NBA picks dating back to last season, returning nearly $4,000. It is also 22-11 (67%) on top-rated NBA against-the-spread picks this season. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen huge returns.

Now, the model has simulated Nuggets vs. Clippers 10,000 times and just revealed its coveted NBA picks and betting predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NBA odds and NBA betting lines for Clippers vs. Nuggets:

  • Nuggets vs. Clippers spread: Los Angeles -6.5 at DraftKings  
  • Nuggets vs. Clippers over/under: 211.5 points
  • Nuggets vs. Clippers money line: Denver +230, Los Angeles -285
  • DEN: The Nuggets are 5-5 against the spread over their past 10 games  
  • LAC: The Clippers are 6-4 ATS over their past 10 games     
  • Nuggets vs. Clippers picks: See picks at SportsLine
  • Nuggets vs. Clippers streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)

Why the Clippers can cover

Small forward Kawhi Leonard is coming off a near triple-double in Game 5. In 37 minutes of action, he scored 20 points, dished out 11 assists and grabbed nine rebounds. He scored 21 points and added 11 rebounds and six assists in a 117-83 win in Game 3. In five postseason games, Leonard is averaging 25.2 points, 7.6 rebounds, 5.2 assists and 1.6 steals in 38.4 minutes.

Veteran center Ivica Zubac has been a force inside. In the Game 5 loss to the Nuggets, he poured in 27 points, while adding five rebounds and two blocks. He registered a double-double with 19 points, 12 rebounds and six assists in a 101-99 loss in Game 4. In five postseason starts, he is averaging 20.4 points, 10.2 rebounds and 2.8 assists in 38.2 minutes. See which team to back at SportsLine.

Why the Nuggets can cover

Center Nikola Jokic has dominated and is averaging a triple-double in postseason play. In five starts, he is averaging 25.4 points, 12.8 rebounds and 11.0 assists in 41.2 minutes. In a 101-99 win in Game 4, Jokic poured in 36 points and grabbed 21 rebounds with eight assists. He is coming off a 13-point, 12-assist, 10-rebound and two-block performance in Game 5.

Point guard Jamal Murray went off on the Clippers in Game 5. He poured in 43 points, while recording seven assists, five rebounds and three steals in 40 minutes. He had 23 points, six assists and three rebounds in a 105-102 loss in Game 2. In five postseason starts, Murray is averaging 24.6 points, 6.2 assists, 4.8 rebounds and 1.6 steals in 41.8 minutes. See which team to back at SportsLine

How to make Clippers vs. Nuggets picks

SportsLine’s model has simulated Clippers vs. Nuggets 10,000 times and is leaning Over the total, projecting 214 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations. You can head to SportsLine to see the model’s NBA picks

So who wins Nuggets vs. Clippers, and which side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Nuggets vs. Clippers spread to back, all from the model that has returned well over $10,000 on top-rated NBA picks, and find out.

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