2025 Kentucky Derby predictions, odds, horses, date, post positions: Surprising picks by Triple Crown expert

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The wait is finally over as 19 three-year-old thoroughbreds will descend on Churchill Downs for the 2025 Kentucky Derby on Saturday, May 3. The excitement couldn’t be higher surrounding Journalism, winner of four straight races and the 3-1 betting favorite in the 2025 Kentucky Derby odds. The is fierce competition with Fountain of Youth Stakes winner Sovereignty (5-1) and Arkansas Derby winner Sandman (6-1) looking for victory under the Twin Spires as well. Since the last four runnings of the Kentucky Derby have been won by a longshot, competitors like Luxor Cafe (15-1) and Tiztastic (20-1) could be considered when placing Kentucky Derby betting picks. Post time for the Run for the Roses is 6:57 p.m. ET. Before locking in any 2025 Kentucky Derby bets, you’ll want to see what longtime horse racing guru Jeff Hochman has to say.

Hochman’s knowledge in horse racing is second to none, having grown up into the sport. He covered horse racing for Picks PAL from 2005 to 2007 and specializes in graded stakes races. Hochman has shown a profit in 22 of the past 36 Triple Crown races. One example of his best picks was Big Brown in the 2008 Kentucky Derby. More recently, he swept the 2022 Triple Crown, capped off by Mo Donegal’s easy win in the Belmont Stakes. In 2023, he cashed the Preakness with National Treasure. Anyone who has followed him on those picks on betting sites like FanDuel RacingTwinSpires and 1/ST BET could be up huge.

Now, with the 2025 Kentucky Derby post positions set and odds on the board, Hochman is sharing his 2025 Kentucky Derby betting picks and 2025 Kentucky Derby predictions over at SportsLine. You can head to SportsLine now to see them.

Top 2025 Kentucky Derby predictions

One surprise: Hochman is high on Coal Battle, even though he is a 30-1 longshot in the 2025 Kentucky Derby odds. The expert likens Coal Battle to 2024 Kentucky Derby winner Mystik Dan, a 20-1 longshot himself, because of his slender build and pace.

This son of Coal Front has five first-place finishes in eight career starts including a win in the Rebel Stakes in February. He won four consecutive stakes races before finishing third in the Arkansas Derby. Hochman likes Coal Battle’s “tactical speed, where he can sit mid-pack and make his run down the lane using his slender frame to navigate through traffic.” See which other 2025 Kentucky Derby horses to consider at SportsLine.

How to make 2025 Kentucky Derby picks

Hochman is also high on another double-digit longshot who “is coming into his own at the right time.” He is including this horse in his 2025 Kentucky Derby bets, and so should you. He’s sharing which 2025 Kentucky Derby horses to back at SportsLine.

So who wins the 2025 Kentucky Derby? And which double-digit longshot is a must-back? Visit SportsLine to see Hochman’s picks for the Kentucky Derby from the expert who has profited in 22 of the past 36 Triple Crown races, and find out.

2025 Kentucky Derby odds, post positions

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