Após quatro rodadas da fase de grupos da Libertadores, apenas um time brasileiro está matematicamente classificado às oitavas de final, enquanto os outros seis ainda brigam por um lugar no mata-mata. Com 100% de aproveitamento, o Palmeiras já garantiu uma das vagas do Grupo G do torneio.
O São Paulo é outro time brasileiro praticamente garantido nas oitavas de final, apesar de não estar matematicamente classificado. Com 10 pontos conquistados — seis a mais que o Alianza Lima, terceiro colocado —, o Tricolor Paulista tem 99,9% de chances de ir ao mata-mata, segundo os cálculos da Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais (UFMG).
Fortaleza e Bahia, ambos com sete pontos na competição, não estão classificados, mas têm a vida um pouco mais tranquila. O Leão do Pici tem um confronto direto contra o Atlético Bucaramanga na próxima terça-feira e, inclusive, pode garantir sua classificação. Já o tricolor, líder de seu grupo, terá dois jogos fora de casa para tentar se manter entre os dois primeiros.
Por outro lado, o atual campeão Botafogo vive uma situação delicada na competição. Com 56,7% de chances de se classificar para as oitavas, o time alvinegro pode terminar a próxima rodada na liderança do grupo ou, até mesmo, ser eliminado, em caso de combinação de resultados. O ponto positivo é que as duas próximas partidas serão disputadas no estádio Nilton Santos.
O Internacional, que perdeu ontem para o Atlético Nacional, da Colômbia, caiu de 71% de chances de classificação para 51%. Atualmente, o time está em terceiro, com um ponto a menos que o rival colombiano, mas encara o Nacional, do Uruguai, fora de casa, e fecha a fase de grupos com o Bahia, no Beira Rio, para tentar, ao menos, o segundo lugar.
O Flamengo, no entanto, é o brasileiro com a menor probabilidade de se classificar às oitavas. Com cinco pontos, o time rubro-negro está na terceira colocação e com somente 35% de chance de avançar ao mata-mata. A equipe de Filipe Luís, inclusive, pode ser eliminada na próxima rodada, caso perca para a LDU e o Central Córdoba empate com o Deportivo Táchira.
Veja as chances dos times brasileiros de se classificarem às oitavas
- Palmeiras – 100%
- São Paulo – 99,9%
- Fortaleza – 73,7%
- Bahia – 64,1%
- Botafogo – 56,7%
- Internacional – 51%
- Flamengo – 35%
This news was originally published on this post .
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