The Florida Panthers look to get out of a two-game hole when they host the Toronto Maple Leafs in Game 3 of their 2025 Stanley Cup playoffs conference semifinal battle on Friday. The Leafs rallied from scoring deficits in Games 1 and 2 to defeat the reigning Stanley Cup champions, winning both matchups in Toronto by one goal. Puck drop at Amerant Bank Arena in Sunrise, Fla. is 7 p.m. ET.
Florida is a -238 favorite on the money line (risk $238 to win $100) in the latest Panthers vs. Maple Leafs odds, while Toronto is a +193 underdog (risk $100 to win $193). The over/under for total goals scored is 6, and the Panthers are also -1.5 (+115) on the puck line. Before making any Maple Leafs vs. Panthers picks, be sure to see the NHL predictions from SportsLine’s proven model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NHL game 10,000 times. It enters the conference semifinals of the 2025 NHL playoffs a combined 78-55 on top-rated NHL puck-line and over/under betting picks, returning more than $1,500 for $100 players. Anybody following at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen strong returns.
Now, here are its best bets for Panthers vs. Maple Leafs on Friday:
Maple Leafs +1.5 (-137)
Four of the last five games between these two teams, including both regular season and playoff meetings, have been decided by one goal. Five of the eight games Toronto has played in these playoffs have been decided by one goal, with three of those games going into overtime. The SportsLine model projects the Maple Leafs will keep Game 3 close and cover the puck line at +1.5 in almost 80% of simulations.
You’ve seen one of the best bets for Panthers vs. Maple Leafs on Friday. Now, get picks for every game from the model that enters the conference semifinals of the 2025 NHL playoffs a combined 78-55 on top-rated NHL puck-line and over/under betting picks.
Brad Marchand 1+ points (+105)
The veteran forward has registered seven points (one goal, six assists) in seven playoff games, tallying at least one point in four straight. That includes three points in two playoff games against the Maple Leafs, who he tallied six points against (two goals, four assists) in six regular-season games this year.
DraftKings Sportsbook lists Marchand to register 1+ points at +105 odds. Bet it now and get $200 in Bonus Bets with a winning $5 bet.
Want more NHL picks for Friday? Matt Severance is SportsLine’s No. 1 NHL expert, entering the NHL playoffs on a 120-62 roll on NHL sides picks, returning $2,490 for $100 players. See his best bet for this matchup at SportsLine.
Auston Matthews Over 3.5 shots on goal (-105)
Matthews is tied with Dallas Stars forward Mikko Rantanen with 29 shots on goal through eight games, leading all players still in the playoffs. (Only Colorado Avalanche center Nathan MacKinnon tops that number, with 39 SOGs in seven games before the Avs’ postseason exit.) Plus, the Leafs forward has tallied three or more shots in seven of those eight games.
Matthews to log Over 3.5 shots on goal is listed at -105 at BetMGM Sportsbook, where you can get up to $1,500 in bonus bets if your first bet loses.
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