Joey Logano captured his first win of the season last week in Texas. Now, the defending NASCAR Cup Series champion will try to continue building momentum on Sunday in the 2025 Advent Health 400 at Kansas Speedway. However, you can still find value betting Logano to win, with BetMGM Sportsbook offering +2000 for a victory in its latest 2025 Advent Health 400 odds. Meanwhile, Kyle Larson is the +375 favorite in the 2025 NASCAR at Kansas odds and a top-three finish could be worth a +110 payout at DraftKings.
The green flag drops at 3 p.m. ET on Sunday and the race is scheduled for 267 laps around the 1.5-mile tri-oval. Before entering any 2025 Advent Health 400 picks, NASCAR DFS lineups on sites like DraftKings and FanDuel, or locking in NASCAR props on sites like PrizePicks, Sleeper Fantasy, and Underdog Fantasy, be sure to see the latest 2025 NASCAR at Kansas predictions from SportsLine’s proven projection model.
Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking into account factors such as track history and recent results.
The model began its 2025 season by calling Chase Elliott to win for a +300 payout at the Clash at Bowman Gray and was also high on Byron as a +2000 longshot at Daytona. Then it predicted Kyle Larson’s win in Miami for a +350 payout, hit top-five finish at Talladega (+225) and Ryan Blaney’s top five in Texas (+130). In 2024, it nailed Larson to win in Las Vegas for a 21-5 sports betting payout and predicted Denny Hamlin’s wins in Bristol at 5-1 and Richmond at 17-4.
It also impressively nailed five of Larson’s wins during his historic season in 2021. All told, the model has nailed a whopping 20 winners since 2021, including nine in 2023 and three in the first seven races last season. Anyone who followed its lead on betting apps and sportsbooks on those NASCAR picks could have seen huge returns.
Now, the model simulated the Advent Health 400 2025 10,000 times. Head to SportsLine to see the complete projected NASCAR at Kansas leaderboard.
Top 2025 Advent Health 400 predictions
For the 2025 Advent Health 400, we can tell you the model is high on Chase Elliott, even though he’s a huge +2200 longshot in the latest 2025 NASCAR at Kansas odds at Caesars Sportsbook. The 2020 NASCAR Cup Series champion is still chasing his first victory of the season, but he sits fourth in the NASCAR standings entering the week after recording six top-10 finishes over the first 11 races of the season.
Elliott is a 19-time winner in the Cup series and he’s been very strong at Kansas Speedway throughout his career. In 18 career Cup starts on the 1.5-mile tri-oval, he has 12 top 10s, seven top fives and won the 2018 Hollywood Casino 400. He finished third in the 2024 Advent Health 400 and also finished ninth in the fall race at Kansas despite starting the race in 38th position.
The model has also revealed a shocking NASCAR prop for Sunday: Kyle Busch finishes top 10 for a +110 payout at the 1.5-mile speedway. Busch just turned 40 and he’s one of the most decorated drivers in the history of stock car racing. He’s a two-time NASCAR Cup Series champion and has 63 wins at the top level while adding 102 wins in the NASCAR Xfinity Series and 67 wins in the NASCAR Craftsman Truck Series.
Busch missed the NASCAR playoffs for the first time since 2005 last season, but he’s in a playoff position heading into the 2025 Advent Health 400 (16th) and he does have four top-10 finishes this season. He’s a two-time Cup winner at Kansas Speedway and both of those victories came in the spring race. Busch also has four Xfinity wins in Kansas and three Truck Series wins. Caesars and BetMGM both have this NASCAR at Kansas prop priced at +110. See which other drivers to avoid and the rest of the projected NASCAR leaderboard at SportsLine.
How to make 2025 NASCAR at Kansas picks
The model is also targeting three other drivers with Kansas NASCAR odds of 18-1 or longer to make a serious run at the checkered flag. Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it big. You can see all of the model’s NASCAR picks, props, and projected leaderboard over at SportsLine.
So who wins the NASCAR Advent Health 400 2025, and which longshots are must-backs? Check out the latest 2025 NASCAR at Kansas odds below, then visit SportsLine now to see the full NASCAR Kansas projected leaderboard, all from the model that has nailed 20 winners, and find out.
2025 NASCAR Kansas odds (via BetMGM), drivers, lineup
See the full NASCAR at Kansas picks at SportsLine
Kyle Larson +375
Ryan Blaney +650
Tyler Reddick +700
Denny Hamlin +800
William Byron +800
Christopher Bell +900
Ross Chastain +1800
Bubba Wallace +1800
Joey Logano +2000
Chase Elliott +2000
Alex Bowman +2200
Chris Buescher +2200
Ty Gibbs +2200
Chase Briscoe +2500
Josh Berry +3000
Kyle Busch +3000
Brad Keselowski +4000
Carson Hocevar +4000
Austin Cindric +5000
Ryan Preece +6000
Michael McDowell +6000
Daniel Suarez +8000
Corey Heim +8000
Erik Jones +10000
Noah Gragson +10000
Zane Smith +15000
Ricky Stenhouse +15000
Austin Dillon +20000
AJ Allmendinger +20000
John Hunter Nemechek +25000
Todd Gilliland +25000
Justin Haley +25000
Jesse Love +50000
Cole Custer +50000
Ty Dillon +75000
Shane Van Gisbergen +100000
Cody Ware +200000
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