The 2025 NBA Draft lottery will be different from all the ones before it. Yes, there will still be 14 ping-pong balls for each lottery spot, and certain teams have better odds than others to land the No. 1 pick.
But this year, the draft lottery winner will get dibs on phenom Cooper Flagg. The 18-year-old forward from Duke, a potential generational prospect, will almost certainly be the top overall pick when the 2025 NBA Draft rolls around on June 25.
Before that, though, the draft order still needs to be set. The NBA Draft lottery, which begins at 7 p.m. ET, will determine which teams get the first 14 picks in the draft.
Follow along with us as the results come in from Chicago on Monday night.
Which NBA teams have a chance of getting the No. 1 pick?
Although the lottery consists of 14 spots, only 13 teams have a shot at the No. 1 pick this year. That’s because the Atlanta Hawks‘ pick goes to the San Antonio Spurs, who are already in the lottery pool.
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The Utah Jazz, Washington Wizards and Charlotte Hornets lead the way with the best odds to win the lottery at 14% each. The New Orleans Pelicans have the fourth-best odds, at 12.5%. The Philadelphia 76ers have probability of getting the top pick is 10.5%, but if two teams with a lower probability jump them, they lose the pick to Oklahoma City.
The Brooklyn Nets have a 9.0% chance and the Toronto Raptors have a 7.5% chance at winning the lottery. The Spurs, who won the lottery in 2023 to select Victor Wembanyama, have a 6.0% chance at getting the first pick with their own first-rounder.
Next is the Houston Rockets at 3.8%. Despite ending 52-30, with the second-best record in the Western Conference, they have the rights to the Phoenix Suns‘ first-round draft pick regardless of where it lands. The Portland Trail Blazers sit just below the Rockets at 3.7%, and while neither of them are expecting to win Monday’s lottery, there is some hope as the Hawks carried a 3% chance into the 2024 NBA Draft lottery, and won it.
The Dallas Mavericks find themselves in the lottery a year after making the Western Conference Finals for obvious reasons — the Luka Doncic trade — and have a 1.8% chance at winning the lottery, and with it, their fanbase’s support.
The Chicago Bulls‘ probability of winning the lottery is 1.7%, while the Sacramento Kings have a 0.8% chance. The Spurs’ second first-rounder, which they acquired from Atlanta in the Dejounte Murray trade, has the worst odds of jumping to No. 1, at 0.7%.
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