Rory McIlroy broke through with his first Masters victory last month, becoming the sixth golfer to complete the career grand slam. He will try to keep the calendar grand slam alive when he plays in the 2025 PGA Championship beginning on Thursday, May 15. Quail Hollow Club will host the second major of the season for the second time, and McIlroy won his maiden title there in 2010. He is a +500 co-favorite with Scottie Scheffler in the 2025 PGA Championship odds, while Bryson DeChambeau is 10-1.
Scheffler posted an eight-stroke win at the CJ Cup Byron Nelson, equaling the PGA Tour 72-hole scoring record. Should you look past McIlroy and Scheffler with your 2025 PGA Championship bets? Before locking in any 2025 PGA Championship picks of your own, or entering any 2025 PGA Championship DFS picks and prop bets on sites like FanDuel, DraftKings, and PrizePicks, be sure to see the early golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
SportsLine’s proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June 2020. In fact, the model is up nearly $9,000 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.
This same model has also nailed a whopping 14 majors entering the weekend, including the 2025 Masters (its fourth Masters in a row) and last year’s PGA Championship and U.S. Open. Anyone who has followed its sports betting picks could have seen massive returns on betting apps like FanDuel, DraftKings and Fanatics.
Now that the 2025 PGA Championship field is taking shape, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.
2025 PGA Championship predictions
One major surprise the model is calling for at the PGA Championship 2025: Xander Schauffele, the defending champion and a two-time major winner, stumbles and barely cracks the top 10. Schauffele has racked up nine career wins on the PGA Tour and has made the cut in 62 consecutive tournaments the longest such streak since Tiger Woods’ historic run (142 straight) from 1998 to 2005.
However, Schauffele has recorded just one top-10 finish this season after dealing with rib injury earlier in the year. The 31-year-old has struggled mightily with a putter in his hands, ranking 142nd in putting average (1.772), 156th in one-putt percentage (38.19%) and 161st in strokes gained: putting (-0.475). He’s also been ineffective off the tee, ranking 148th in total driving (228) and 162nd in strokes gained: off the tee (-0.439). He’s not a strong pick to win it all, and there are far better values in the 2025 PGA Championship field.
Another surprise: Joaquin Niemann, a 35-1 longshot, makes a strong run at the title. He’s a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. Niemann was recently added to the U.S. Open field, so he is now set to play in all of this year’s majors. The 26-year-old won his third title of the season in Mexico City at the end of April, taking home the title by three strokes.
He has never won a major championship, but he has 18 professional wins and has been getting closer in the biggest tournaments. Niemann has made the cut in 15 of his last 17 majors, including a T29 finish at the Masters in April. He has cracked the top 40 in three of his last four appearances in the PGA Championship, and the model has identified him as a valuable longshot. See who else to pick here.
How to make 2025 PGA Championship picks
The model is also targeting three other golfers with odds longer than 20-1 who will make a strong run at the title. Anyone who backs these longshots could hit it big. You can only see the model’s picks here.
Who will win the 2025 PGA Championship, and which longshots will stun the golfing world? Check out the 2025 PGA Championship odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected leaderboard, all from the model that’s nailed 14 golf majors, including the last four Masters and three majors in 2024.
2025 PGA Championship odds, favorites
Get full 2025 PGA Championship picks, best bets and predictions here.
Scottie Scheffler +500
Rory McIlroy +500
Bryson DeChambeau +1000
Ludvig Aberg +1200
Xander Schauffele +1200
Collin Morikawa +1400
Jon Rahm +1800
Justin Thomas +2000
Brooks Koepka +2000
Viktor Hovland +2500
Patrick Cantlay +2800
Tyrrell Hatton +2800
Hideki Matsuyama +3000
Joaquin Niemann +35000
Tommy Fleetwood +4000
Will Zalatoris +4000
Corey Conners +4000
Wyndham Clark +4000
Jordan Spieth +4000
Sungjae Im +4000
Cameron Smith +4000
Shane Lowry +4500
Tony Finau +4500
Cameron Young +5000
Russell Henley +5000
Min Woo Lee +5000
Jason Day +5500
Sahith Theegala +5500
Justin Rose +5500
Tom Kim +6000
Sepp Straka +6000
Max Homa +6000
Sam Burns +6000
Matt Fitzpatrick +6000
Dustin Johnson +6000
Akhshay Bhatia +6500
Byeong-Hun An +6600
Patrick Reed +7500
Si Woo Kim +8000
Talor Gooch +8000
Nick Dunlap +8000
Adam Scott +10000
Keegan Bradley +12500
Brian Harman +12500
Rickie Fowler +12500
Kurt Kitayama +15000
Tiger Woods +15000
Cam Davis +15000
Nicolai Hojgaard +15000
Stephan Jaeger +15000
Christiaan Bezuidenhout +15000
Harris English +15000
Doug Ghim +17500
Keith Mitchell +17500
Denny McCarthy +20000
Lucas Glover +20000
Eric Cole +20000
Jake Knapp +20000
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