Caitlin Clark, no longer a rookie, is the favorite to win the WNBA MVP at +195 odds.
Barely a hair’s breadth behind her is three-time MVP A’ja Wilson (+200) and the Unrivaled league’s inaugural MVP, Napheesa Collier (+250). After that, it’s a lot of daylight before the next contender, Breanna Stewart at +1200. Liberty teammate Sabrina Ionescu rounds out the top five at +2500.
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While odds reflect bookmakers’ careful analysis of league stats, headlines, history and player analytics, the sway of public opinion can move betting lines, too, and Clark is like a public-opinion gravity field.
“Bettors are all over Caitlin Clark and the Indiana Fever,” Hannah Luther, a trader at BetMGM, said. “The Fever … currently hold roughly 80 percent of the WNBA futures handle at BetMGM. Similarly, Caitlin Clark holds over half the MVP tickets and is the odds-on favorite to win the award in her second season.”
Collier has the next-largest ticket percentage with 13 percent. Wilson has 9.5 percent.
Are Clark’s odds inflated by public interest? Will Collier get her first WNBA MVP award, or Wilson her fourth? What about a winner outside the early big three? We’ve got odds, analysis and picks from our WNBA experts Ben Pickman and Sabreena Merchant.
2025 WNBA MVP odds
Clark was 2024’s Rookie of the Year, receiving 66 of 67 votes. Her team, the Indiana Fever, notched a playoff berth but was shut out in the first round against the Connecticut Sun. Barely more than a month later, the Fever had hired the Sun’s coach, Stephanie White, a former Indiana player and coach, who was the 2023 Coach of the Year.
But Clark didn’t open as the betting favorite. That was Wilson, whose odds have held steady around +200. (Clark opened at +250.) This early in the year, it’s an insignificant difference.
Wilson was voted the league MVP for the third time in 2024, becoming the second unanimous MVP in league history. Her performance last year included averaging 26.9 points and 11.9 rebounds, while also setting single-season records for both points (1,021) and rebounds (451).
Collier rounds out the top trio in the odds, and she is one of our experts’ picks to win it (more on that below). Collier was second in MVP voting last year and led the league in points, rebounds, steals, blocks and free throws during the 2024 postseason. The Lynx are expected to have another dominant season, fourth in the odds to win the title and with an over/under of 30.5 for regular-season wins in a 44-game season.
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Collier’s odds have improved since they opened after the end of last season, moving from +650 to +250. On the way, she leapfrogged Stewart, who opened at +600 after the Liberty’s title win, but whose odds have since lengthened to +1200. Ionescu’s odds also lengthened somewhat, from +1900 to +2500.
“These changes were due to a combination of factors, including some public interest on Collier and our own evaluation of the market,” Luther said. “Betting during the offseason can be highly speculative, as we don’t know how trades, coaching changes and draft picks will shake out. So, we opened up with shorter odds on players like Stewart and Ionescu, who have historically been most popular, and waited to see more information about each team’s roster before reevaluating.”
Expert picks for WNBA MVP
Sabreena Merchant: Napheesa Collier (+250). Collier was the league leader in points, rebounds, steals, blocks and free throws during the WNBA postseason. She followed that playoff performance by winning MVP of Unrivaled and the league’s 1-on-1 competition. Now that she’s back in 5-on-5, expect Collier to continue adding trophies, especially if the Lynx continue to rack up wins in the process.
Ben Pickman: A’ja Wilson (+200). Wilson recorded arguably the league’s most dominant season last year en route to winning her third MVP. While the Aces retooled their backcourt this offseason, adding Jewell Loyd in place of Kelsey Plum, Wilson will remain the Las Vegas centerpiece. Assuming the Aces continue to be among the league’s top teams, there’s no reason to think Wilson couldn’t win a record fourth MVP.
(Photo of Caitlin Clark: Joe Buglewicz / Getty Images)
This news was originally published on this post .
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