Scottie Scheffler has never won a major other than the Masters, but that very well could change on Sunday. Scheffler is 11 under and in solo first on the 2025 PGA Championship leaderboard entering Round 4 after shooting a third-round 65 on Saturday, the lowest score of any golfer in Round 3. Alex Noren (-8), J.T. Poston (-7), Davis Riley (-6), Jhonattan Vegas (-6), Jon Rahm (-6) and Si Woo Kim (-6) are the only golfers within five strokes of Scheffler.
Scheffler is the -450 favorite (risk $450 to win $100) in the 2025 PGA Championship odds entering Sunday. He’s followed on the odds board by Noren (+1800), Rahm (+2200), Poston (+3000) and Bryson DeChambeau, who is 5 under for the tournament, at +3300. Before locking in any 2025 PGA Championship Sunday picks, be sure to see the 2025 PGA Championship predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
SportsLine’s proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June 2020. In fact, the model is up nearly $9,000 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.
This same model has also nailed a whopping 14 majors entering the weekend, including the 2025 Masters (its fourth Masters in a row) and last year’s PGA Championship and U.S. Open. Anyone who has followed its sports betting picks could have seen massive returns on betting apps like FanDuel, DraftKings and Fanatics.
Now that three rounds are in the books at the 2025 PGA Championship, SportsLine simulated the final round 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected 2025 PGA Championship leaderboard.
Top 2025 PGA Championship predictions
One surprise the model is calling for at the 2025 PGA Championship: Noren, who is in solo second and the only golfer within three strokes of Scheffler entering Round 4, struggles and falls out of the top three. He’s one of the 2025 PGA Championship Sunday favorites to avoid. Outside of Scheffler, nobody played as well as Noren in Round 3 as he shot a 66 to vault into second.
The veteran Swedish golfer, however, doesn’t have any track record of finishing well in PGA majors. He’s never recorded a top-five major finish and hasn’t been in the top 10 since 2017. Catching Scheffler, who has been extremely steady at Quail Hollow this weekend, is enough of a challenge, but he also has big names like Rahm and DeChambeau not far behind who could pass him as well. The model is recommending other golfers to back in PGA Championship bets on Sunday. See who else to fade at SportsLine.
How to make 2025 PGA Championship picks
The model is targeting a longshot who is more than five shots off the lead but is set to surge into contention on Sunday. Anyone who backs this golfer could hit it big. You can only see the model’s PGA Championship picks here.
So, who will win the PGA Championship 2025, and which longshot will stun the golfing world? Check out the 2025 PGA Championship odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected 2025 PGA Championship leaderboard, all from the model that’s nailed 14 golf majors, including four straight Masters.
2025 PGA Championship odds, Sunday contenders
See full PGA Championship 2025 picks, best bets, and predictions here.
Scottie Scheffler -450
Alex Noren +1800
Jon Rahm +2200
J.T. Poston +3000
Bryson DeChambeau +3300
Davis Riley +4000
Jhonattan Vegas +5000
Si Woo Kim +5500
Tony Finau +11000
Keegan Bradley +12000
Matt Fitzpatrick +11000
Matthieu Pavon +27000
Adam Scott +30000
Garrick Higgo +50000
Matt Wallace +50000
Joe Highsmith +60000
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