The 1-seed Oklahoma City Thunder and the 6-seed Minnesota Timberwolves are slated to link up in Game 1 of the 2025 NBA Western Conference finals on Monday. Minnesota took care of the Golden State Warriors in five games in the semifinals. On May 14, the Wolves topped Golden State 121-110. On the other side, OKC took down the Denver Nuggets in seven games. In Game 7, the Thunder torched the Nuggets 125-93 on Sunday.
Tipoff is at 8:30 p.m. ET from the Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, where the home team went 35-6 in the regular season. OKC is a 7.5-point favorite in the latest Thunder vs. Timberwolves odds from DraftKings Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is 216. Before locking in any Timberwolves vs. Thunder picks, make sure to check out the NBA predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in betting profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past six-plus seasons. The model enters the conference finals of the 2025 NBA playoffs on a sizzling 159-117 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning nearly $4,000. It is also 23-11 (68%) on top-rated NBA against-the-spread picks this season. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen huge returns.
Now, the model has simulated Timberwolves vs. Thunder 10,000 times and just revealed its coveted NBA picks and betting predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NBA odds and NBA betting lines for Timberwolves vs. Thunder:
- Timberwolves vs. Thunder spread: Oklahoma City -7.5 at DraftKings. See the latest DraftKings promo code here.
- Timberwolves vs. Thunder over/under: 216 points
- Timberwolves vs. Thunder money line: Oklahoma City -309, Minnesota +249
- OKC: Thunder are 56-30-4 against the spread this season
- DEN: Nuggets are 43-47-2 against the spread this season
- Timberwolves vs. Thunder picks: See picks at SportsLine
- Timberwolves vs. Thunder streaming: Fubo (Try for free)
Why the Thunder can cover
The Thunder are looking to get off to a fast in the Western Conference finals. OKC is 31-14-2 as the home favorite against the spread and 46-26-3 ATS after a win. Guard Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is a reliable shot creator and playmaker for the Thunder. In the 2025 NBA playoffs, he’s averaging team-highs in points (29) and assists (6.4). The 26-year-old has gone over 30 points in three straight games. In Sunday’s win over the Nuggets, Gilgeous-Alexander had 35 points and four dimes.
The 26-year-old has gone over 30 points in three straight games. In Sunday’s win over the Nuggets, Gilgeous-Alexander had 35 points and four dimes. Forward Chet Holmgren is a two-way threat in the frontcourt. This postseason, he’s logged 15.7 points, 9.7 rebounds and 2.2 blocks per game. Holmgren has recorded two straight double-doubles. See which team to back at SportsLine.
Why the Timberwolves can cover
Guard Anthony Edwards owns outstanding athleticism with the ability to score from all three levels on the court. Edwards is averaging a team-high 26.5 points with eight rebounds and 5.9 assists per game. The 23-year-old has scored more than 30 points in two of his last three games. In Game 4 against Denver, Edwards had 30 points and five dimes.
Forward Julius Randle has been a great second option for the Wolves. Randle logs 23.9 points, 4.3 rebounds and a team-high 5.9 assists per game. The Kentucky product has tallied at least 29 points in consecutive games. In his last outing, Randle had 29 points, eight boards and five assists. See which team to back at SportsLine.
How to make Timberwolves vs. Thunder picks
SportsLine’s model has simulated Timberwolves vs. Thunder and is leaning Under the total, projecting 214 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in well over 60% of simulations You can head to SportsLine to see the model’s NBA picks.
So who wins Timberwolves vs. Thunder, and which side of the spread hits in well over 60% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Timberwolves vs. Thunder spread to back, all from the model that has returned well over $10,000 on top-rated NBA picks, and find out.
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