It’s no surprise that the Oklahoma City Thunder offense moves through Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. In Game 1 of the Western Conference Finals on Tuesday, Gilgeous-Alexander shot just 2-of-13 from the field in the first half, which resulted in just 44 total points for the Thunder and a four-point halftime deficit. In the second half, SGA dominated with 20 points as Oklahoma City pulled away to a 114-88 Game 1 win. The Western Conference Finals continue on Thursday with the Oklahoma City Thunder hosting Anthony Edwards and the Minnesota Timberwolves for Game 2 at 8:30 p.m. ET. Gilgeous-Alexander has a total points over/under of 31.5 in Thursday NBA player props and whether it’s his points, rebounds, assists or steals, he’ll be a popular option on betting apps in Thursday NBA props bets. SportsLine’s model is also back on the SGA bandwagon, this time with a plus-money bet, for a Thunder vs. Timberwolves same-game parlay at online betting sites.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past six-plus seasons. One of the Data Scientists behind the model, Stephen Oh (@StephenOhCBS), analyzed the sim results and broke down the supporting evidence to reveal which player props have the best value for today’s slate. The NBA odds could change, so act now for maximum value. You can find more analysis from Oh and other SportsLine data analysts on their Inside The Lines blog.
Best Thunder vs. Timberwolves Game 2 NBA props:
- Isaiah Hartenstein Over 2.5 assists (+120)
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Under 6.5 assists (+114)
- Donte DiVincenzo Under 15.5 points + rebounds + assists (-105)
Isaiah Hartenstein Over 2.5 assists (+120)
Hartenstein didn’t record an assist in Game 1, but he was effective offensively with 12 points over 20 minutes and the 7-foot center created assist opportunities, only his teammates failed to connect on open looks. He shot 6 of 8 from the field by scoring near the basket, and Oh believes that scoring will create assist opportunities in Game 2. The 27-year-old averaged 3.8 assists per game during the regular season, and the model projects him at 2.9 assists for Thursday, which results in a strong plus-money opportunity for Thursday.
“That scoring success is likely to draw more defensive attention in Game 2, opening up passing lanes,” Oh said. “Hartenstein is a capable facilitator when defenses try to get in his face, and we expect him to generate at least five assist opportunities. … The over has hit in 48 of 70 games this season, and after four straight unders with just three total assists, he’s due for a bounce-back.” DraftKings Sportsbook is currently offering the best odds at +120, and signing up using a DraftKings promo code can limit your risk on a first wager.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Under 6.5 assists (+114)
Gilgeous-Alexander is a capable creator for others, but scoring and finishing himself is truly where he excels after leading the NBA at 32.7 points per game this season. The 26-year-old takes the court for the first time since officially winning the NBA MVP Award, and the score-first point guard may look to put together another epic scoring performance worthy of that honor. SGA had nine assists in Game 1, but he finished Under this total in the final two games against Denver and averaged 6.4 assists per game over the first two rounds of the playoffs.
The model projects Gilgeous-Alexander for 6.1 assists and he averaged 6.4 assists per game during the regular season. His year-long averages put him right around the 6.5 over/under total, but given the chance to play this at plus-money after finishing below this assist total in three of his first five home playoff games, the model sees value here. FanDuel is offering the best odds at +114, and new users can take advantage of the latest FanDuel promo code.
Donte DiVincenzo Under 15.5 points + rebounds + assists (-105)
DiVincenzo is coming off a rough shooting performance where he shot 3 of 14, including 3 of 12 from beyond the arc, and was largely a non-factor offensively with nine points, one rebound and two assists in Game 1. He’s averaging just 8.1 points per game this postseason on 31.7% shooting, including shooting 33.3% or worse in nine of 11 postseason games. The model expects his shooting woes to continue, projecting him for 6.8 points on Thursday with a PRA total of 11.1.
The Thunder had the No. 3 scoring defense in the league this season and held the Timberwolves to just 88 points in Game 1. Given the 28-year-old guard’s struggles against even the Lakers and Warriors in the first two rounds, the model doesn’t project much confidence in him to turn that around on Thursday. A bet365 bonus code for new users or anyone with an account already can make this play at -105 odds, the best odds currently available on the market.
This news was originally published on this post .
About the author
Blackhawks hire Jeff Blashill as head coach: Why he’s getting another shot
CHICAGO — Jeff Blashill was never given the chance to see a rebuild through with the Detroit Red Wings.The Chicago Blackhawks now present Blashill a second chance at doing just that.Blashill, 51, has been hired as the Blackhawks’ head coach, a league source said, making him the 42nd head coach in franchise history. He replaces Anders Sörensen, whom the Blackhawks promoted to interim head coach after firing Luke Richardson early last season. Sörensen was considered to be among the Blackhawks’ candidates for the permanent opening. The Chicago Blackhawks have hired Jeff Blashill as head coach, as had been speculated over the past week. Announcement today. — Pierre LeBrun (@PierreVLeBrun) May 22, 2025Blashill wasn’t the Blackhawks’ first choice — they took a run at David Carle and inquired about Mike Sullivan, as nearly every team with a coaching opening did — […]
Transfer-Experte Romano berichtet – Liverpool schnappt Real Abwehr-Star weg
Die Königlichen gehen leer aus! Real Madrid hat sich die vergangenen Wochen verstärkt um Milos Kerkez (21) bemüht – doch den Zuschlag bekommt ein anderer Top-Klub. Wie Transfer-Experte Fabrizio Romano berichtet, arbeitet der FC Liverpool auf Hochtouren an der Verpflichtung des Abwehr-Stars vom AFC Bournemouth. Lesen Sie auch<!-->[-->Demnach hat der bereits feststehende englische Meister ihren Premier-League-Konkurrenten kontaktiert und die Verhandlungen schreiten gut voran. Angeblich soll der Ungar einen Vertrag bis 2024 bekommen. Auch Kerkez selbst soll ganz heiß auf einen Wechsel an die Anfield Road sein.Heißt: Kerkez wird wahrscheinlich der erste Sommertransfer der „Reds“. Nur über die Ablösesumme wird aktuell noch diskutiert. Bournemouth soll etwa 52 Millionen Euro fordern.Kerkez soll in der Mannschaft von Meister-Trainer Arne Slot (46) als Nachfolger oder zumindest Konkurrent für Andy Robertson fungieren. Der Schotte hat sich auf der linken Verteidigerseite zwar zum Stammspieler etabliert, ist […]
Bat speed risers and fallers and their fantasy baseball outlooks
Bat speed is just one part of what makes a hitter who they are, but it’s a key profile component. Most results-oriented stats are still quite noisy at this point in the season, but changes in bat speed tend to stick.Let’s look at which players have gained and lost the most bat speed since last year. I’ll start with some general notes on bat speed so we can get to know the stat better, but feel free to scroll down to the player analysis if that’s what you’re here for.View The Athletic‘s guide to commonly used baseball abbreviations. AdvertisementLeague-wide bat speed is stable month-to-monthBefore making any claims about individual players, I wanted to see if bat speed changes naturally over the course of the season. It doesn’t. Last year, league bat speed stayed flat at 71.5 miles per hour from month […]
Bills arrive as content darlings, but ‘Hard Knocks’ a spotlight they’ve long wanted to avoid
The Buffalo Bills do not want to be on “Hard Knocks.” They are not proud to be chosen for “Hard Knocks.” They did not seek to be featured on “Hard Knocks.” They loathe the idea of “Hard Knocks.”Nobody from One Bills Drive told me this Wednesday because they didn’t have to. I’ve covered the entirety of this administration and have had myriad conversations with coach Sean McDermott and general manager Brandon Beane about the HBO show since they arrived eight years ago.AdvertisementMcDermott and Beane always have been in lockstep on the topic: “Hard Knocks” is, at best, a distraction while creating the possibility of a public relations disaster.The Bills have become content darlings with “Hard Knocks” and the ongoing Hallmark Channel production, “Holiday Touchdown: A Bills Love Story.” But any contributions being made for the schmaltzy, made-for-TV movie — McDermott, […]
Milton Neves sugere dois jogadores do Palmeiras para seleção brasileira de Ancelotti
Milton Neves e Carlo Ancelotti (Reprodução/Band e Antonio Villalba/Real Madrid) Milton Neves repercutiu a divulgação de alguns dos 50 nomes da pré-lista de Carlo Ancelotti para os próximos compromissos da seleção brasileira. Para o jornalista, chamou atenção a ausência inicial de jogadores do Palmeiras na relação prévia do novo técnico do escrete canarinho. Em sua coluna na Revista Oeste, o comunicador confessou ter estranhado não aparecer nenhum representante alviverde na lista preliminar de Ancelotti. “Será que é preciso lembrar que o Verdão, há anos, o time mais competitivo do país?”, sublinhou. PUBLICIDADE PUBLICIDADE Ao repercutir a presença de seis jogadores do Flamengo entre os possíveis convocados pelo italiano, Milton Neves opinou que vários dos pré-convocados são inferiores a muitos jogadores do Palmeiras. Assim, Miltão mencionou Weverton e Estêvão como dois nomes injustiçados por Carlo Ancelotti. Para o colunista, não há […]
WATCH: Tyrese Haliburton’s dad also recreates Reggie Miller’s choke gesture after Pacers’ historic comeback
Imagn Images Tyrese Haliburton's father may not have been inside Madison Square Garden for the Indiana Pacers' stunning comeback win over the New York Knicks in Game 1 of the Eastern Conference Finals, but John Haliburton still found a way to celebrate. Just as Tyrese flashed Reggie Miller's iconic choke gesture after burying the game-tying shot at the buzzer to force overtime, a video posted to social media showed John soaking in the moment from a bar — matching his son's animated energy following a 138-135 Pacers' win. John has been out of the postseason spotlight since a heated exchange with Milwaukee Bucks star Giannis Antetokounmpo at the end of Indiana's first-round series in April led to a decision that he would not attend the Pacers' playoff run moving forward.The video didn't reveal where John was watching from as Tyrese and the […]
Related
Blackhawks hire Jeff Blashill as head coach: Why he’s getting another shot
CHICAGO — Jeff Blashill was never given the chance to see a rebuild through with the Detroit Red Wings.The Chicago Blackhawks now present Blashill a second chance at doing just that.Blashill, 51, has been hired as the Blackhawks’ head coach, a league source said, making him the 42nd head coach in franchise history. He replaces Anders Sörensen, whom the Blackhawks promoted to interim head coach after firing Luke Richardson early last season. Sörensen was considered to be among the Blackhawks’ candidates for the permanent opening. The Chicago Blackhawks have hired Jeff Blashill as head coach, as had been speculated over the past week. Announcement today. — Pierre LeBrun (@PierreVLeBrun) May 22, 2025Blashill wasn’t the Blackhawks’ first choice — they took a run at David Carle and inquired about Mike Sullivan, as nearly every team with a coaching opening did — […]
Transfer-Experte Romano berichtet – Liverpool schnappt Real Abwehr-Star weg
Die Königlichen gehen leer aus! Real Madrid hat sich die vergangenen Wochen verstärkt um Milos Kerkez (21) bemüht – doch den Zuschlag bekommt ein anderer Top-Klub. Wie Transfer-Experte Fabrizio Romano berichtet, arbeitet der FC Liverpool auf Hochtouren an der Verpflichtung des Abwehr-Stars vom AFC Bournemouth. Lesen Sie auch<!-->[-->Demnach hat der bereits feststehende englische Meister ihren Premier-League-Konkurrenten kontaktiert und die Verhandlungen schreiten gut voran. Angeblich soll der Ungar einen Vertrag bis 2024 bekommen. Auch Kerkez selbst soll ganz heiß auf einen Wechsel an die Anfield Road sein.Heißt: Kerkez wird wahrscheinlich der erste Sommertransfer der „Reds“. Nur über die Ablösesumme wird aktuell noch diskutiert. Bournemouth soll etwa 52 Millionen Euro fordern.Kerkez soll in der Mannschaft von Meister-Trainer Arne Slot (46) als Nachfolger oder zumindest Konkurrent für Andy Robertson fungieren. Der Schotte hat sich auf der linken Verteidigerseite zwar zum Stammspieler etabliert, ist […]
Bat speed risers and fallers and their fantasy baseball outlooks
Bat speed is just one part of what makes a hitter who they are, but it’s a key profile component. Most results-oriented stats are still quite noisy at this point in the season, but changes in bat speed tend to stick.Let’s look at which players have gained and lost the most bat speed since last year. I’ll start with some general notes on bat speed so we can get to know the stat better, but feel free to scroll down to the player analysis if that’s what you’re here for.View The Athletic‘s guide to commonly used baseball abbreviations. AdvertisementLeague-wide bat speed is stable month-to-monthBefore making any claims about individual players, I wanted to see if bat speed changes naturally over the course of the season. It doesn’t. Last year, league bat speed stayed flat at 71.5 miles per hour from month […]
Bills arrive as content darlings, but ‘Hard Knocks’ a spotlight they’ve long wanted to avoid
The Buffalo Bills do not want to be on “Hard Knocks.” They are not proud to be chosen for “Hard Knocks.” They did not seek to be featured on “Hard Knocks.” They loathe the idea of “Hard Knocks.”Nobody from One Bills Drive told me this Wednesday because they didn’t have to. I’ve covered the entirety of this administration and have had myriad conversations with coach Sean McDermott and general manager Brandon Beane about the HBO show since they arrived eight years ago.AdvertisementMcDermott and Beane always have been in lockstep on the topic: “Hard Knocks” is, at best, a distraction while creating the possibility of a public relations disaster.The Bills have become content darlings with “Hard Knocks” and the ongoing Hallmark Channel production, “Holiday Touchdown: A Bills Love Story.” But any contributions being made for the schmaltzy, made-for-TV movie — McDermott, […]
Milton Neves sugere dois jogadores do Palmeiras para seleção brasileira de Ancelotti
Milton Neves e Carlo Ancelotti (Reprodução/Band e Antonio Villalba/Real Madrid) Milton Neves repercutiu a divulgação de alguns dos 50 nomes da pré-lista de Carlo Ancelotti para os próximos compromissos da seleção brasileira. Para o jornalista, chamou atenção a ausência inicial de jogadores do Palmeiras na relação prévia do novo técnico do escrete canarinho. Em sua coluna na Revista Oeste, o comunicador confessou ter estranhado não aparecer nenhum representante alviverde na lista preliminar de Ancelotti. “Será que é preciso lembrar que o Verdão, há anos, o time mais competitivo do país?”, sublinhou. PUBLICIDADE PUBLICIDADE Ao repercutir a presença de seis jogadores do Flamengo entre os possíveis convocados pelo italiano, Milton Neves opinou que vários dos pré-convocados são inferiores a muitos jogadores do Palmeiras. Assim, Miltão mencionou Weverton e Estêvão como dois nomes injustiçados por Carlo Ancelotti. Para o colunista, não há […]
WATCH: Tyrese Haliburton’s dad also recreates Reggie Miller’s choke gesture after Pacers’ historic comeback
Imagn Images Tyrese Haliburton's father may not have been inside Madison Square Garden for the Indiana Pacers' stunning comeback win over the New York Knicks in Game 1 of the Eastern Conference Finals, but John Haliburton still found a way to celebrate. Just as Tyrese flashed Reggie Miller's iconic choke gesture after burying the game-tying shot at the buzzer to force overtime, a video posted to social media showed John soaking in the moment from a bar — matching his son's animated energy following a 138-135 Pacers' win. John has been out of the postseason spotlight since a heated exchange with Milwaukee Bucks star Giannis Antetokounmpo at the end of Indiana's first-round series in April led to a decision that he would not attend the Pacers' playoff run moving forward.The video didn't reveal where John was watching from as Tyrese and the […]
Be the first to leave a comment