The New York Knicks and Indiana Pacers have had their fair share of epic comebacks this postseason, but nothing is likely to top what the Pacers did in the series-opener. The Pacers became the first team in NBA postseason history to win a game in which they trailed by at least nine points in the final minute, as teams were 0-1414 in that scenario before Game 1. The Knicks will host the Pacers on Friday for Game 2 of the 2025 NBA Eastern Conference Finals at 8 p.m. ET. Jalen Brunson (43), Karl-Anthony Towns (35), Tyrese Haliburton (31) and Aaron Nesmith (30) each had at least 30 points on Wednesday and could be popular selections for same-game parlay bets, but our model isn’t backing any of them individually in its Knicks vs. Pacers SGP. The Knicks are favored by 6 points, and the over/under is 225.5 points in the latest Knicks vs. Pacers odds from DraftKings, and the latest DraftKings promo code gives users $300 in bonus bets if your first $5 bet wins. See more Pacers vs. Knicks props here.
SportsLine data scientist Stephen Oh is the expert behind the SportsLine Projection Model, which simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in betting profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past six-plus seasons. The model is 23-11 (68%) on top-rated NBA against-the-spread picks this season. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen huge returns. You can find more analysis from Oh and other SportsLine data analysts on their Inside The Lines blog.
Here are the model’s top-three picks in the Knicks vs. Pacers SGP on Friday:
- Indiana +6 (-110)
- Josh Hart Under 10.5 rebounds (-135)
- Myles Turner Over 21.5 points + rebounds (-105)
- SGP pays out +420 at DraftKings (odds subject to change)
Indiana +6 (-110)
The Pacers won Game 1 as the underdog and despite reaching the Eastern Conference Finals, the Knicks have been a losing team in their home arena. The Knicks are 3-4 straight up and against the spread at Madison Square Garden this postseason. Meanwhile, the Pacers are 5-1 straight up on the road, including winning their last five road playoff contests. The Pacers are 24-6, including 9-2 in the postseason, since March 11 as they’ve become one of the most dominant teams in the league. Indiana forced 15 turnovers, compared to turning the ball over only seven times itself, and made 15 3-pointers at 40.5% compared to the Knicks making 11 triples at 32.4% from beyond the arc in Game 1. The Knicks may be the more desperate team, but that doesn’t mean they are the better play for Friday. The model projects the Pacers to cover the spread in almost 60% of simulations.
Josh Hart Under 10.5 rebounds (-135)
Despite having 13 rebounds in Game 1, the model projects Hart for 9.1 rebounds on Friday, which is even below his season average of 9.6 rebounds per game. Part of the reason is that despite the Knicks scoring 135 points in Game 1, they lost. So New York may change its game plan for Game 2. Mitchell Robinson, a 7-foot center, played just 21 minutes in Wednesday’s overtime contest and the Knicks were often at their best against the Celtics with him on the court. Robinson han average plus-minus of plus 7.7 points per game in the Celtics series. Many of New York’s starters averaged a negative plus-minus despite winning the series, so if the Knicks play Robinson more on Friday, that signals fewer rebounding opportunities for Hart.
Myles Turner Over 21.5 points + rebounds (-105)
Turner had 14 points and five rebounds in Game 1 to finish below this total, but the Pacers center went Over this number in three of five games against Cleveland, including two of three road contests. The model projects Turner for a 23.8 points + rebounds total on Friday. He had 26 points and six rebounds in Indiana’s final regular-season contests against New York and he averaged 15.6 points and 6.5 rebounds per game this season.
Want more NBA picks for today?
You’ve seen some of the model’s top NBA playoff best bets for Friday. Now, get spread, total and money-line picks for every game here, all from the model that’s simulated every game 10,000 times.
Also at SportsLine:
You can also see today’s top NBA picks from expert Mike Barner, who’s on a sizzling 219-162-2 (+3104) roll on his last 383 NBA picks, which includes a play on one of Indiana’s key players. Visit SportsLine to see his best plays for today, all from the expert who’s up more than 31 units in his last 383 NBA bets.
This news was originally published on this post .
About the author
Reds pitcher Rhett Lowder’s rehab assignment paused due to oblique strain
CINCINNATI — Cincinnati Reds pitcher Rhett Lowder’s rehab assignment has been paused after an MRI showed a left oblique strain following his shortened outing Thursday night for Triple-A Louisville.Lowder, 23, dealt with elbow soreness in spring training and was making his fourth rehab start when he left Thursday night’s game after just one pitch in the second inning.AdvertisementLowder threw 11 pitches in a scoreless first inning versus the Gwinnett Stripers, giving up a walk to Jarred Kelenic before retiring the next three batters on five total pitches. The seventh pick in the 2023 draft out of Wake Forest, Lowder made six starts for the Reds last season, going 2-2 with a 1.17 ERA. After starts in Arizona and at High-A Dayton, Lowder didn’t make it out of the first inning in his first start for Louisville, giving up four runs on four […]
První etapu Rallye Český Krumlov vyhrál rekordman Kopecký
Kopecký vyhrál čtyři z dnešních pěti erzet, po třetím testu se dostal do čela průběžného pořadí. Po defektech ve třetí rychlostní zkoušce skončila rallye pro Václava Pecha. Technické problémy v posledním testu vyřadily ze hry o vítězství Rakušana Simona Wagnera, který ovládl úvodní Rallye Šumava Klatovy.Českokrumlovská rallye pokračuje sedmi rychlostními zkouškami v sobotu.Rallye Český Krumlov, závod mistrovství České republiky v automobilových soutěžích - po 1. etapě:1. Kopecký, Hovorka (Škoda Fabia RS Rally2) 36:00,22. Mareš, Bucha (Toyota GR Yaris Rally2) -21,13. Cais, Trunkát (Hyundai i20 N Rally2) -26,84. Stříteský, Bacigál (Škoda Fabia RS Rally2) -52,25. Kundlák, Baran (Škoda Fabia R5) -1:03,3,
Júlio Baptista, ex-São Paulo, será treinador na base do Real Madrid
Mais um brasileiro terá a chance de comandar o Real Madrid. Segundo informação do GE, o ex-meio-campista Júlio Baptista assumirá o cargo de treinador da equipe juvenil dos espanhóis para a próxima temporada. Mais um trabalho na Espanha O ex-jogador do São Paulo foi chamado para o cargo depois de uma passagem pelo Valladolid, quanto Ronaldo Fenômeno era gestor do clube. Entre 2019 e 2023, o ex-meio-campista também trabalhou juntamente às categorias de base dos pucelas. PUBLICIDADE PUBLICIDADE A chegada de Júlio Baptista vem em meio a uma série de mudanças na esteira da saída de Carlo Ancelotti da equipe principal, para que o italiano assuma a seleção brasileira. A base do Real Madrid também terá diversas alterações, a começar com a saída de um dos grandes ídolos do time de Santiago Bernabeu, Raúl. Mudanças no Real O ex-atacante comandava […]
Júlio Baptista, ex-São Paulo, será treinador na base do Real Madrid
Mais um brasileiro terá a chance de comandar o Real Madrid. Segundo informação do GE, o ex-meio-campista Júlio Baptista assumirá o cargo de treinador da equipe juvenil dos espanhóis para a próxima temporada. Mais um trabalho na Espanha O ex-jogador do São Paulo foi chamado para o cargo depois de uma passagem pelo Valladolid, quanto Ronaldo Fenômeno era gestor do clube. Entre 2019 e 2023, o ex-meio-campista também trabalhou juntamente às categorias de base dos pucelas. PUBLICIDADE PUBLICIDADE A chegada de Júlio Baptista vem em meio a uma série de mudanças na esteira da saída de Carlo Ancelotti da equipe principal, para que o italiano assuma a seleção brasileira. A base do Real Madrid também terá diversas alterações, a começar com a saída de um dos grandes ídolos do time de Santiago Bernabeu, Raúl. Mudanças no Real O ex-atacante comandava […]
Why the Indy 500 scandal resonates with F1. Plus, the key to staying dry in Monaco
Prime Tire Newsletter | This is The Athletic’s twice-weekly F1 newsletter. Sign up here to receive Prime Tire directly in your inbox on Tuesday and Friday.Welcome back to Prime Tire, where today, not only do you have a new author, but we’re going to start with an entirely different motor racing category. (I’ll be your host on Fridays, and Pat will still be your Tuesday host.)Don’t worry; we’ve still got all the latest from Monaco coming later, plus some very special behind-the-scenes insight from that Sunny Place for Shady People. I’m Alex, and Luke Smith will be along later, plus a special guest.Penske ProblemsWhy the IndyCar scandal mattersI learned a new word this week: attenuator.Google’s AI wasn’t much help defining this amid the scandal surrounding Sunday’s 2025 Indianapolis 500, but for those that may have missed it, we’re talking about […]
Fotbalisté Neapole jsou počtvrté italskými mistry
Online magazín deníku Právo & Seznam.czCopyright © 1996–2025, Seznam.cz, a.s., Borgis, a.s., ČTK, DPA, Reuters, fotobanka Profimedia.Publikování nebo další šíření obsahu serveru Sport.cz je bez písemného souhlasu společnosti Borgis, a.s. zakázáno. RSS kanály serveru Sport.cz jsou určeny pouze pro osobní užití. Jakékoli kopírování, šíření nebo využívání obsahu RSS kanálů serveru Sport.cz bez předchozího písemného souhlasu společnosti Borgis a.s. není dovoleno. Dodavatelem obsahu serveru Sport.cz a osobou vykonávající redakční odpovědnost je společnost BORGIS a.s. Šiřitelem reklamy na serveru Sport.cz je společnost Seznam.cz, a.s., IČO 26168685.
Related
Reds pitcher Rhett Lowder’s rehab assignment paused due to oblique strain
CINCINNATI — Cincinnati Reds pitcher Rhett Lowder’s rehab assignment has been paused after an MRI showed a left oblique strain following his shortened outing Thursday night for Triple-A Louisville.Lowder, 23, dealt with elbow soreness in spring training and was making his fourth rehab start when he left Thursday night’s game after just one pitch in the second inning.AdvertisementLowder threw 11 pitches in a scoreless first inning versus the Gwinnett Stripers, giving up a walk to Jarred Kelenic before retiring the next three batters on five total pitches. The seventh pick in the 2023 draft out of Wake Forest, Lowder made six starts for the Reds last season, going 2-2 with a 1.17 ERA. After starts in Arizona and at High-A Dayton, Lowder didn’t make it out of the first inning in his first start for Louisville, giving up four runs on four […]
První etapu Rallye Český Krumlov vyhrál rekordman Kopecký
Kopecký vyhrál čtyři z dnešních pěti erzet, po třetím testu se dostal do čela průběžného pořadí. Po defektech ve třetí rychlostní zkoušce skončila rallye pro Václava Pecha. Technické problémy v posledním testu vyřadily ze hry o vítězství Rakušana Simona Wagnera, který ovládl úvodní Rallye Šumava Klatovy.Českokrumlovská rallye pokračuje sedmi rychlostními zkouškami v sobotu.Rallye Český Krumlov, závod mistrovství České republiky v automobilových soutěžích - po 1. etapě:1. Kopecký, Hovorka (Škoda Fabia RS Rally2) 36:00,22. Mareš, Bucha (Toyota GR Yaris Rally2) -21,13. Cais, Trunkát (Hyundai i20 N Rally2) -26,84. Stříteský, Bacigál (Škoda Fabia RS Rally2) -52,25. Kundlák, Baran (Škoda Fabia R5) -1:03,3,
Júlio Baptista, ex-São Paulo, será treinador na base do Real Madrid
Mais um brasileiro terá a chance de comandar o Real Madrid. Segundo informação do GE, o ex-meio-campista Júlio Baptista assumirá o cargo de treinador da equipe juvenil dos espanhóis para a próxima temporada. Mais um trabalho na Espanha O ex-jogador do São Paulo foi chamado para o cargo depois de uma passagem pelo Valladolid, quanto Ronaldo Fenômeno era gestor do clube. Entre 2019 e 2023, o ex-meio-campista também trabalhou juntamente às categorias de base dos pucelas. PUBLICIDADE PUBLICIDADE A chegada de Júlio Baptista vem em meio a uma série de mudanças na esteira da saída de Carlo Ancelotti da equipe principal, para que o italiano assuma a seleção brasileira. A base do Real Madrid também terá diversas alterações, a começar com a saída de um dos grandes ídolos do time de Santiago Bernabeu, Raúl. Mudanças no Real O ex-atacante comandava […]
Júlio Baptista, ex-São Paulo, será treinador na base do Real Madrid
Mais um brasileiro terá a chance de comandar o Real Madrid. Segundo informação do GE, o ex-meio-campista Júlio Baptista assumirá o cargo de treinador da equipe juvenil dos espanhóis para a próxima temporada. Mais um trabalho na Espanha O ex-jogador do São Paulo foi chamado para o cargo depois de uma passagem pelo Valladolid, quanto Ronaldo Fenômeno era gestor do clube. Entre 2019 e 2023, o ex-meio-campista também trabalhou juntamente às categorias de base dos pucelas. PUBLICIDADE PUBLICIDADE A chegada de Júlio Baptista vem em meio a uma série de mudanças na esteira da saída de Carlo Ancelotti da equipe principal, para que o italiano assuma a seleção brasileira. A base do Real Madrid também terá diversas alterações, a começar com a saída de um dos grandes ídolos do time de Santiago Bernabeu, Raúl. Mudanças no Real O ex-atacante comandava […]
Why the Indy 500 scandal resonates with F1. Plus, the key to staying dry in Monaco
Prime Tire Newsletter | This is The Athletic’s twice-weekly F1 newsletter. Sign up here to receive Prime Tire directly in your inbox on Tuesday and Friday.Welcome back to Prime Tire, where today, not only do you have a new author, but we’re going to start with an entirely different motor racing category. (I’ll be your host on Fridays, and Pat will still be your Tuesday host.)Don’t worry; we’ve still got all the latest from Monaco coming later, plus some very special behind-the-scenes insight from that Sunny Place for Shady People. I’m Alex, and Luke Smith will be along later, plus a special guest.Penske ProblemsWhy the IndyCar scandal mattersI learned a new word this week: attenuator.Google’s AI wasn’t much help defining this amid the scandal surrounding Sunday’s 2025 Indianapolis 500, but for those that may have missed it, we’re talking about […]
Fotbalisté Neapole jsou počtvrté italskými mistry
Online magazín deníku Právo & Seznam.czCopyright © 1996–2025, Seznam.cz, a.s., Borgis, a.s., ČTK, DPA, Reuters, fotobanka Profimedia.Publikování nebo další šíření obsahu serveru Sport.cz je bez písemného souhlasu společnosti Borgis, a.s. zakázáno. RSS kanály serveru Sport.cz jsou určeny pouze pro osobní užití. Jakékoli kopírování, šíření nebo využívání obsahu RSS kanálů serveru Sport.cz bez předchozího písemného souhlasu společnosti Borgis a.s. není dovoleno. Dodavatelem obsahu serveru Sport.cz a osobou vykonávající redakční odpovědnost je společnost BORGIS a.s. Šiřitelem reklamy na serveru Sport.cz je společnost Seznam.cz, a.s., IČO 26168685.
Be the first to leave a comment