MLB HR betting is all about spotting value, and Nationals outfielder James Wood has been one of the best options early in the 2025 season for MLB HR picks. A former top-20 prospect, Wood was projected to supply significant power at 6-foot-7 and 234 pounds, but he seemingly lulled oddsmakers to sleep with nine home runs over 79 games in his rookie season. However, he’s managed to take a major step forward as a slugger this season, smashing 18 home runs over his first 72 games after going yard on Monday night against the Rockies, making him a coveted option in MLB home run picks on the Tuesday MLB schedule.
Wood and the Nationals will take on the Rockies again on Tuesday, and he’ll have a juicy matchup against Colorado righty Antonio Senzatela (7.23 ERA), yet he’s still fetching +440 in the latest MLB home run odds from FanDuel. He’s one of the best values in our MLB HR parlay picks for Tuesday, and you can potentially make a payoff even sweeter with the latest FanDuel promo code. MLB home run props are available for almost every player in every game at various sportsbooks, and SportsLine’s proven computer model can help you find value to add to your MLB home run picks on betting sites.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. It’s up 37.85 units on its MLB HR picks during the last 70 days. Now, the model and SportsLine’s team of Data Scientists have revealed their projections for some of the most-bet MLB HR prop bets on Tuesday. You can find even more picks in their daily blog, and you can view Tuesday MLB props here.
Best MLB home run picks for Tuesday, June 17:
James Wood, Nationals (+440)
With four multi-hit contests in his last six games, Wood is now slashing .284/.378/.550 on the season and his peripherals paint a pretty clear picture that this productivity isn’t a fluke. His bat speed (76.0 mph), average exit velocity (93.9 mph), hard-hit contact rate (56.8%) and barrel rate (17.9%) are all 96th percentile or better among MLB hitters.
“Wood has a .957 OPS against right-handed pitchers this season, and he has a 1.110 OPS in games at night compared to a .701 OPS in day games,” SportsLine data analyst Jacob Fetner said. “We set the line at +375 for Wood to hit a HR.” FanDuel is offering the best price here with the consensus line hovering closer to +400.
Isaac Paredes, Astros (+450)
The 26-year-old was an all-star for the first time last season and has hit 80 home runs over the last three seasons. He’s already up to 15 homers in 2025 and 11 of those have come since the start of May. He’s by far the biggest power threat in Houston’s lineup so far this season and he has a strong matchup on Tuesday. DraftKings is offering the best price on this MLB HR prop and you can also get $300 in bonus bets if your first bet of $5 or more wins with the latest DraftKings promo code.
“Paredes is off to a slow start against LHPs- just 4-26 but two of those four hits have been HRs. Paredes hit nearly .300 against LHPs last season, so we expect some positive regression when facing lefties,” Fetner said. “JP Sears has already allowed 15 HRs this season and 13 of the 15 have come against right-handed bats. In five home starts this season, Sears has given up nine HRs in just 24 innings.”
Gunnar Henderson, Orioles (+340)
One of the game’s most exciting talents, Henderson hasn’t been as productive in 2025 as he was over his first two full seasons. However, his profile is screaming for a power surge at some point in the near future. His 92.6 mph average exit velocity, 50.8% hard-hit contact rate and 75.5 mph average bat speed are all 87th percentile or better among MLB hitters. He just needs to dial in a few variables to start driving the ball more regularly after hitting 65 home runs the last two years.
“This line is as low as +220 on DraftKings, so it’s not just our model that loves Henderson today,” Fetner noted. “Littell has given up seven HRs over his last three starts and has to deal with playing in very hitter friendly conditions in Tampa today.” The model sets the line at +320 for Henderson to homer and you can get +340 at FanDuel for our MLB home run parlay.
More MLB picks for Tuesday
You’ve seen the model’s MLB HR prop picks for several players on Tuesday. Now, get MLB projections for every player prop at SportsLine.
Need more from SportsLine? See today’s best MLB picks from SportsLine’s Matt Severance, who is on a 163-83 roll (+2366.75) on baseball picks. SportsLine’s Bob Konarski is also 21-14-2 (+598) over his last 37 MLB picks, and you can catch all his latest picks here.
This news was originally published on this post .
About the author
Shohei Ohtani Hit by Pitch; Dodgers Manager Dave Roberts Gets Ejected in 3rd
<!--> Shohei Ohtani was hit by a pitch from San Diego Padres starter Randy Vasquez in the third inning Tuesday night, and Los Angeles Dodgers manager Dave Roberts was ejected after arguing on the field.In the top of the inning, Dodgers reliever Lou Trivino plunked Fernando Tatis Jr., the second time the slugger has been hit by the Dodgers this season.In apparent retaliation, Ohtani was hit in the right leg near his knee, drawing heavy boos from the crowd.The umpires warned both benches. Roberts came out of the dugout for an animated discussion with crew chief Marvin Hudson along the third base line. Apparently upset that his team had been warned, Roberts grew increasingly angry while gesturing sharply.Third base umpire Tripp Gibson joined in and soon tossed Roberts. It was the manager’s first ejection this season and the 13th of […]
Why is everyone obsessed with Shedeur Sanders? ft. Bomani Jones + Top 10 NFL defenders in 2025 | Football 301
Why is Shedeur Sanders still such a hot topic in the sports world? Special guest Bomani Jones joins Charles McDonald on this episode of Football 301 to discuss the Cleveland Browns QB situation, whether Aaron Rodgers makes the Pittsburgh Steelers more interesting and more! Later on in the show, Nate Tice, Matt Harmon and C Mac count down their top 10 defenders in the league entering the 2025 NFL season.AdvertisementAdvertisementAdvertisement(00:20) - Bomani Jones joins the show(31:00) - Defenders 10-8(41:40) - Defenders 7 & 6(49:30) - Defenders 5 & 4(1:01:20) - Top 3 defendersWhy do people get so worked up about Shedeur Sanders? (Photo by Nick Cammett/Getty Images) (Photo by Nick Cammett/Getty Images)🖥️ Watch this full episode on YouTubeCheck out the rest of the Yahoo Sports podcast family at https://apple.co/3zEuTQj or at Yahoo Sports Podcasts
UFL 2025: Every Touchdown from Defenders-Panthers Championship Game
<!--> The 2025 UFL Championship Game had a little bit of everything and a lot of scoring. In the end, the DC Defenders took down the Michigan Panthers at The Dome at America's Center in St. Louis on Saturday in an action-packed game that featured 13 touchdowns and three field goals.Jordan Ta'amu and the Defenders' offense put on a show, scoring a UFL record 58 points.Let's take a look at every touchdown scored in Saturday's title game!Michigan got on the board first, going 67 yards in six plays on the game's opening drive to kick things off with a bang. Nate McCrary broke through a huge crease, beat his opponents to the sideline and turned on the jets for a 35-yard touchdown in the first few minutes of regulation. Just like that, the Panthers jumped out to a 6-0 lead.The Defenders […]
Stanley Cup zůstává na Floridě. Vítěznou jízdu Panthers jistily Reinhartovy čtyři góly
Panthers se povedlo po roce opět získat trofej, což v NHL naposledy zvládli jejich sousedé z Tampy Bay v roce 2021. Nejužitečnějším hráčem play off byl vyhlášen autor 15 branek ve vyřazovací části Sam Bennett, který převzal Conn Smythe Trophy. A kapitánovi Oilers Connoru McDavidovi a jeho spoluhráčům znovu zbyly jen oči pro pláč.„Vyhrát Stanley Cup dvakrát v řadě je takřka nemožné,“ gratuloval vítězům ze ‚Slunečního státu‘ komisionář NHL Gary Bettman. Radují se i centr čtvrté floridské lajny Tomáš Nosek a náhradní gólman Vítek Vaněček. Kapitán vítězů Aleksander Barkov pak vjel s trofejí mezi křepčící hrozen spoluhráčů.„V sérii jsme ještě nepředvedli náš nejlepší výkon, teď je ideální chvíle, abychom se s ním vytasili,“ řekl před utkáním edmontonský útočník Leon Draisaitl. Ale zůstalo jen u zbožného přání. Počáteční aktivita hostů nebyla odměněna, a už v páté minutě tak zahřmělo před brankou Oilers.Do kostrbaté rozehrávky obranné dvojice Evan Bouchard, Mattias Ekholm vletěl Reinhart a střelou k tyči nedal šanci […]
Panthers win 2025 Stanley Cup: Florida’s Sam Bennett earns Conn Smythe Trophy as playoff MVP
Getty Images Sam Bennett has won the 2025 Conn Smythe Trophy as the MVP of the Stanley Cup Playoffs. Bennett was a force for the Panthers all postseason, and his 15 postseason goals led the league.Bennett's win marks the first time a Panther has won the Conn Smythe Trophy despite their Cup win in 2024. Last year, Connor McDavid became just the sixth player ever to win the award as a member of the losing team.With the Panthers marching to their second consecutive Stanley Cup victory, there were plenty of worthy Conn Smythe candidates, but Bennett stood out among the rest. Few players have the ability to elevate their game in the playoffs quite like Bennett, and he showed that this spring.The 2024-25 campaign was the first time Bennett ever broke 50 points in the regular season, and he's never […]
Last time a Canadian team won the Stanley Cup? Oilers fall two wins short of ending drought with Game 6 loss
Getty Images Hockey fans in Canada have exhibited quite a bit of patience waiting for the Stanley Cup to make its return north of the border. But following the Edmonton Oilers' Game 6 loss to the Florida Panthers, those fans will have to wait at least one more year.On June 9, 1993, the Montreal Canadiens passed around the Stanley Cup after beating the Los Angeles Kings in five games. Jurassic Park was mauling its competition at the box office. Roseanne and Home Improvement were on just about every TV in America. Janet Jackson's "That's the Way Love Goes" was topping the billboard charts.Since then, the Stanley Cup has now taken up residence in the United States for 32 straight years following the Panthers' latest championship. Edmonton looked poised to end the drought on a couple different occasions. It took a […]
Related
Shohei Ohtani Hit by Pitch; Dodgers Manager Dave Roberts Gets Ejected in 3rd
<!--> Shohei Ohtani was hit by a pitch from San Diego Padres starter Randy Vasquez in the third inning Tuesday night, and Los Angeles Dodgers manager Dave Roberts was ejected after arguing on the field.In the top of the inning, Dodgers reliever Lou Trivino plunked Fernando Tatis Jr., the second time the slugger has been hit by the Dodgers this season.In apparent retaliation, Ohtani was hit in the right leg near his knee, drawing heavy boos from the crowd.The umpires warned both benches. Roberts came out of the dugout for an animated discussion with crew chief Marvin Hudson along the third base line. Apparently upset that his team had been warned, Roberts grew increasingly angry while gesturing sharply.Third base umpire Tripp Gibson joined in and soon tossed Roberts. It was the manager’s first ejection this season and the 13th of […]
Why is everyone obsessed with Shedeur Sanders? ft. Bomani Jones + Top 10 NFL defenders in 2025 | Football 301
Why is Shedeur Sanders still such a hot topic in the sports world? Special guest Bomani Jones joins Charles McDonald on this episode of Football 301 to discuss the Cleveland Browns QB situation, whether Aaron Rodgers makes the Pittsburgh Steelers more interesting and more! Later on in the show, Nate Tice, Matt Harmon and C Mac count down their top 10 defenders in the league entering the 2025 NFL season.AdvertisementAdvertisementAdvertisement(00:20) - Bomani Jones joins the show(31:00) - Defenders 10-8(41:40) - Defenders 7 & 6(49:30) - Defenders 5 & 4(1:01:20) - Top 3 defendersWhy do people get so worked up about Shedeur Sanders? (Photo by Nick Cammett/Getty Images) (Photo by Nick Cammett/Getty Images)🖥️ Watch this full episode on YouTubeCheck out the rest of the Yahoo Sports podcast family at https://apple.co/3zEuTQj or at Yahoo Sports Podcasts
UFL 2025: Every Touchdown from Defenders-Panthers Championship Game
<!--> The 2025 UFL Championship Game had a little bit of everything and a lot of scoring. In the end, the DC Defenders took down the Michigan Panthers at The Dome at America's Center in St. Louis on Saturday in an action-packed game that featured 13 touchdowns and three field goals.Jordan Ta'amu and the Defenders' offense put on a show, scoring a UFL record 58 points.Let's take a look at every touchdown scored in Saturday's title game!Michigan got on the board first, going 67 yards in six plays on the game's opening drive to kick things off with a bang. Nate McCrary broke through a huge crease, beat his opponents to the sideline and turned on the jets for a 35-yard touchdown in the first few minutes of regulation. Just like that, the Panthers jumped out to a 6-0 lead.The Defenders […]
Stanley Cup zůstává na Floridě. Vítěznou jízdu Panthers jistily Reinhartovy čtyři góly
Panthers se povedlo po roce opět získat trofej, což v NHL naposledy zvládli jejich sousedé z Tampy Bay v roce 2021. Nejužitečnějším hráčem play off byl vyhlášen autor 15 branek ve vyřazovací části Sam Bennett, který převzal Conn Smythe Trophy. A kapitánovi Oilers Connoru McDavidovi a jeho spoluhráčům znovu zbyly jen oči pro pláč.„Vyhrát Stanley Cup dvakrát v řadě je takřka nemožné,“ gratuloval vítězům ze ‚Slunečního státu‘ komisionář NHL Gary Bettman. Radují se i centr čtvrté floridské lajny Tomáš Nosek a náhradní gólman Vítek Vaněček. Kapitán vítězů Aleksander Barkov pak vjel s trofejí mezi křepčící hrozen spoluhráčů.„V sérii jsme ještě nepředvedli náš nejlepší výkon, teď je ideální chvíle, abychom se s ním vytasili,“ řekl před utkáním edmontonský útočník Leon Draisaitl. Ale zůstalo jen u zbožného přání. Počáteční aktivita hostů nebyla odměněna, a už v páté minutě tak zahřmělo před brankou Oilers.Do kostrbaté rozehrávky obranné dvojice Evan Bouchard, Mattias Ekholm vletěl Reinhart a střelou k tyči nedal šanci […]
Panthers win 2025 Stanley Cup: Florida’s Sam Bennett earns Conn Smythe Trophy as playoff MVP
Getty Images Sam Bennett has won the 2025 Conn Smythe Trophy as the MVP of the Stanley Cup Playoffs. Bennett was a force for the Panthers all postseason, and his 15 postseason goals led the league.Bennett's win marks the first time a Panther has won the Conn Smythe Trophy despite their Cup win in 2024. Last year, Connor McDavid became just the sixth player ever to win the award as a member of the losing team.With the Panthers marching to their second consecutive Stanley Cup victory, there were plenty of worthy Conn Smythe candidates, but Bennett stood out among the rest. Few players have the ability to elevate their game in the playoffs quite like Bennett, and he showed that this spring.The 2024-25 campaign was the first time Bennett ever broke 50 points in the regular season, and he's never […]
Last time a Canadian team won the Stanley Cup? Oilers fall two wins short of ending drought with Game 6 loss
Getty Images Hockey fans in Canada have exhibited quite a bit of patience waiting for the Stanley Cup to make its return north of the border. But following the Edmonton Oilers' Game 6 loss to the Florida Panthers, those fans will have to wait at least one more year.On June 9, 1993, the Montreal Canadiens passed around the Stanley Cup after beating the Los Angeles Kings in five games. Jurassic Park was mauling its competition at the box office. Roseanne and Home Improvement were on just about every TV in America. Janet Jackson's "That's the Way Love Goes" was topping the billboard charts.Since then, the Stanley Cup has now taken up residence in the United States for 32 straight years following the Panthers' latest championship. Edmonton looked poised to end the drought on a couple different occasions. It took a […]
Be the first to leave a comment