2025 Open Championship picks, odds, futures: Surprising predictions by computer that’s nailed 15 majors

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The Open Championship has been held at 14 different courses throughout the UK over its 153-year history. All of the courses are located in either England or Scotland, except for one, and that lone Northern Ireland course will host the 2025 Open Championship. Royal Portrush’s Dunluce Links will host the British Open for the third time ever, with this year’s event beginning on Thursday, July 17. Shane Lowry prevailed when the event was last at Royal Portrush in 2019, but the Republic of Ireland native is among the 2025 Open Championship longshots at +4100. 

The betting favorite is Scottie Scheffler, who has three victories over his last six starts but is seeking his first win at The Open. Scheffler is the +380 favorite, according to the latest 2025 Open Championship odds at FanDuel, followed by Northern Irishman Rory McIlroy (+750). Bryson DeChambeau (+900), Jon Rahm (+1200) and reigning British Open champion Xander Schauffele (+2000) are among the other top Open Championship contenders. Before locking in your 2025 Open Championship picks, be sure to see the golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

SportsLine’s proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June 2020. In fact, the model is up over $8,500 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.

This same model has also nailed a whopping 15 majors entering the weekend, including the 2025 Masters — its fourth Masters in a row — and the 2025 PGA Championship. Anyone who has followed its sports betting picks could have seen massive returns on betting sites. New users have the opportunity to take advantage of the latest FanDuel promo codeDraftKings promo code and Fanatics Sportsbook promo code

Now that the 2025 Open Championship field is locked in, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard

2025 Open Championship predictions 

One major surprise the model is calling for at the 2025 Open Championship: Rory McIlroy, a five-time major champion and one of the top favorites, stumbles and barely cracks the top five. McIlroy won The Open in 2014 but missed the cut in his last Open Championship start a year ago. He also missed the cut in his only other visit to Royal Portrush, which came at the 2019 British Open.

Since completing the career Grand Slam at the Masters earlier this year, McIlroy’s form hasn’t kept pace in his ensuing major starts or on the PGA Tour as a whole. He finished 47th at the PGA Championship and 19th at the U.S. Open, marking just the second time over the last dozen years he had finishes outside the top 15 in consecutive major starts. He’s not a strong pick to win it all, and there are far better values in the 2025 Open Championship field. See who else to fade here

Another surprise: Justin Thomas, a 31-1 longshot, makes a strong run at the title. He has a much better chance to win it all than his odds imply, so he’s a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. Thomas was the 29th-ranked golfer in the world at this tournament last year, but is now No. 4 in the Official World Golf Ranking. He secured his 16th victory at the RBC Heritage, a signature event, and has recorded a total of seven top-10 finishes, including three runner-up showings. 

While the British Open has been the toughest major for Thomas, he performed admirably in his prior trip to Royal Portrush, finishing 11th at the 2019 Open Championship. He enters the 2025 Open Championship leading the PGA Tour in both putting average and birdie average, with the latter being important because birdies are usually hard to come by at this major championship. His overall form, plus his long odds, make Thomas a valuable longshot to include in your 2025 Open Championship bets. See who else to pick here

How to make 2025 Open Championship picks

The model is also targeting three other golfers with odds of 22-1 or longer who will make a strong run at the title. Anyone who backs these longshots could hit it big. You can only see the model’s picks here

Who will win the 2025 Open Championship, and which longshots will stun the golfing world? Check out the 2025 Open Championship odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected leaderboard, all from the model that’s nailed 15 golf majors, including the last four Masters.

2025 Open Championship odds, favorites 

Get full 2025 Open Championship picks, best bets, and predictions here

(odds subject to change)

Scottie Scheffler +380
Rory McIlroy +750
Bryson DeChambeau +900
Jon Rahm +1200
Xander Schauffele +2000
Ludvig Aberg +2000
Collin Morikawa +2700
Viktor Hovland +2900
Justin Thomas +3100
Tyrrell Hatton +3100
Shane Lowry +4100
Hideki Matsuyama +4100
Tommy Fleetwood +4100
Sepp Straka +4100
Joaquin Niemann +4100
Patrick Cantlay +4100
Brooks Koepka +4100
Sam Burns +5000
Jordan Spieth +5000
Russell Henley +5000
Ben Griffin +5000
Robert MacIntyre +5000
Corey Conners +5500
Cameron Young +7000
Maverick McNealy +7000
Adam Scott +7000
Min Woo Lee +7000
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen +7000
Tony Finau +7000
Jason Day +7000
Will Zalatoris +7000
JJ Spaun +7000
Keegan Bradley +10000
Sahith Theegala +10000
Harris English +10000
Patrick Reed +10000
Daniel Berger +10000
Wyndham Clark +10000
Taylor Pendrith +10000
Alex Noren +10000
Matt Fitzpatrick +10000
Ryan Fox +10000
Max Homa +10000
Justin Rose +10000
Sungjae Im +10000
Cameron Smith +10000
Carlos Ortiz +10000

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