Rangers outfielder Wyatt Langford has superstar potential, but like with many young hitters, he’s at a stage in his career where he’s being forced to adjust. The former first-round pick got off to a strong start in March and April (.972 OPS), struggled in May (.624 OPS) and is starting to find his rhythm again in June with four multi-hit efforts in his last eight games. He leads the Rangers with 13 home runs this season and there’s a chance to extract value on Thursday with BetMGM’s latest MLB home run odds offering +425 on Langford to go yard.
He’s one of SportsLine’s top MLB HR picks today and you can also get up to $1,500 in bonus bets if your first bet loses with the latest BetMGM bonus code. MLB home run props are available for almost every player in every game at various sportsbooks, and SportsLine’s proven computer model can help you find value to add to your MLB home run picks on betting sites.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. It’s up 31.85 units on its MLB HR picks during the last 72 days. Now, the model and SportsLine’s team of Data Scientists have revealed their projections for some of the most-bet MLB HR prop bets on Wednesday. You can find even more picks in their daily blog.
Best MLB home run picks for Thursday, June 19:
Wyatt Langford, Rangers (+425)
In 200 minor-league plate appearances during his rapid rise through the Texas farm system in 2023, Langford had a .407 BABIP. It’s a small sample size but with his combination of power and speed, it does paint a pretty clear picture that his .276 BABIP this season should improve. He’s top 20% among MLB hitters in hard-hit contact rate (48.9%) and barrel rate (13.1%), and his 91.2 mph average exit velocity is in line with the 30-homer pace he’s on. However, his matchup is probably the most alluring element of Langford to hit a homer on Thursday.
“Langford is facing a pitcher, Michael Wacha, who has allowed multiple home runs in three of his last four starts heading into this game,” SportsLine data analyst Jacob Fetner said. “Wacha has been very good at home this season, but has had his struggles on the road. His ERA skyrockets from 2.58 at home to 4.41 on the road, and his hard-hit rate on the road climbs quite a bit.” BetMGM is offering the best price overall but our MLB HR parlay today is through FanDuel because of the value they’re offering for this next pick.
Brent Rooker, Athletics (+340)
“We set this line right at the consensus at +265, so you are getting good value by playing this on FanDuel at +340.” Fetner said. “Colton Gordon has given up multiple home runs in two out of his last three starts (both at home). All six of his HRs allowed were against right-handed batters, who are hitting .308 with a .901 OPS against him.”
Rooker also mashes left-handed pitching historically, with a 1.082 OPS against lefties this season and an .874 career OPS against them. He leads the Athletics with 15 home runs this season and the right-handed slugger will also have ideal conditions for power in Sacramento on Thursday with game-time temperatures in the high-70s and a 13 mph wind forecast to blow out to left field. You can potentially add even more value here with the latest FanDuel promo code.
Junior Caminero, Rays (+450)
Caminero was a consensus top-five prospect prior to last season and may have been the top prospect in baseball this season had he not barely exceeded rookie limits after earning a mid-August promotion in 2024. Regardless, his jaw-dropping bat speed (77.9 mph) is 100th percentile among MLB hitters and that raw talent is sustaining him while he dials in his overall approach. He’s hit 17 home runs already in 2025 and appears to be getting more comfortable with a 1.082 OPS, nine home runs and 28 RBI in his last 25 games.
“Caminero has eight hits over his last three games but does not have a homer in those games. Given that one in four of his hits this season have been HRs, he is due for one of those hits to be a HR. 13 of his 17 HRs this season have come against RHPs, and he is facing a righty today,” Fetner said. “We set the line at +298 for Caminero to homer.” You’re getting tremendous value here at BetMGM given that projection.
More MLB picks for Thursday
You’ve seen the model’s MLB HR prop picks for several players on Thursday. Now, get MLB projections for every player prop at SportsLine.
Need more from SportsLine? See today’s best MLB picks from SportsLine’s Matt Severance, who is on a 164-89 roll (+1877) on baseball picks. SportsLine’s Bob Konarski is also 23-14-2 (+800) over his last 39 MLB picks, and you can catch all his latest picks here.
This news was originally published on this post .
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