The Indiana Pacers and Oklahoma City Thunder are set to battle in Game 6 of the 2025 NBA Finals on Thursday night. OKC enters this star-studded showdown with a 3-2 series lead after picking up a 120-109 victory on Monday. Teams up 3-2 in the NBA Finals go on to win the series 82% of the time (40-9 record). However, the Pacers will look to stave off elimination on their home floor, where they’ve posted a 15-5 record in their past 20 home games. Guard Tyrese Haliburton (calf) is a game-time decision, while Jarace Walker remains sidelined with an ankle injury for Indiana.
Tipoff from Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indiana is at 8:30 p.m. ET. The Thunder are 6-point favorites in the latest Pacers vs. Thunder odds from DraftKings Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is 222.5. Before locking in any Thunder vs. Pacers picks, make sure to check out the NBA predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in betting profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past six-plus seasons. The model entered the second week of the 2025 NBA Finals on a sizzling 160-118 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning nearly $4,000. It is also 24-11 (69%) on top-rated NBA against-the-spread picks this season. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen huge returns.
Now, the model has simulated Thunder vs. Pacers 10,000 times and just revealed its coveted NBA picks and betting predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NBA odds and NBA betting lines for Thunder vs. Pacers:
Why the Thunder can cover
Oklahoma City heads into this matchup with a 50-29-3 record against the spread after a win. The Thunder are also 61-36-4 against the spread as the favorite. Guard Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been consistent for the Thunder in this series, leading the team in scoring (32.4) to go along with 4.6 rebounds, 5.0 assists, and 2.4 steals per game. He’s gone over 30-plus points in four of the last five games, with 31 points and 10 assists in the Game 5 win.
Forward Jalen Williams has been brilliant for the Thunder over the past few games. He’s scored at least 26 points in three straight games, including a playoff career-high 40 points, six rebounds, and four assists in Game 5. In the 2025 NBA Finals, he’s averaging 25.8 points, 5.6 rebounds, and 4.2 assists per game. See which team to back at SportsLine.
Why the Pacers can cover
Forward Pascal Siakam has been on this stage before and continues to be an effective playmaker for Indiana. He’s averaging 20.6 points, 7.4 rebounds, 4.2 assists, and two steals per game during the 2025 NBA Finals. Siakam has tallied 20-plus points in three consecutive games. On Monday, the 31-year-old poured in 28 points, six rebounds, and five assists.
Center Myles Turner joins Siakam in the frontcourt and can score from all three levels. In the playoffs, he’s averaging 14.7 points, 4.9 rebounds, and a team-high 2.1 blocks per game. Turner has scored at least 12 points in four of his last five games. The Pacers are 13-8 against the spread in playoff games and 25-20 against the spread as the underdog. See which team to back at SportsLine.
How to make Thunder vs. Pacers picks
SportsLine’s model has simulated Thunder vs. Pacers 10,000 times, and is leaning Under the total, projecting 221 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in over 50% of simulations. You can head to SportsLine to see the model’s NBA picks.
So who wins Thunder vs. Pacers Game 6, and which side of the spread hits in over 50% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Pacers vs. Thunder spread to back, all from the model that has returned well over $10,000 on top-rated NBA picks, and find out.
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Oklahoma nevyužila první šanci za zisk titulu
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