

After signing a $218 million contract that is the biggest ever for a lefthanded pitcher, Max Fried is living up to his historic deal in his first year in pinstripes. The former Brave is 9-2 and leads the American League in wins, while his runs allowed have also drawn interest in MLB player props. Fried has given up 2 ER or fewer in 14 of 15 starts this season and has a line of 1.5 earned runs allowed in the Friday MLB player props. However, playing a surging Baltimore squad that is on a 16-8 run, SportsLine’s model forecasts Fried to give up more than 1.5 earned runs. That makes the Over at -150 MLB prop odds one of the top picks to target with Friday MLB prop bets. Also, check out our Dodgers vs. Nationals picks for Friday.
Targeting MLB player props is one way to approach MLB betting on Friday’s MLB schedule at online sports betting sites. With MLB props available for almost every player in every game at sportsbooks, SportsLine’s proven computer model can help you find value to add to your MLB picks. They can also help new users take advantage of sportsbook promos like the latest Fanatics Sportsbook promo code:
The model simulates every game 10,000 times and is on a 37-30 run on all top-rated MLB picks. The model is up 21.85 units on home run prop picks over the last 73 days. Now, the model and SportsLine’s team of Data Scientists have revealed their projections for some of the most-bet MLB player props on Friday. You can also check out our Friday MLB home run picks.
Best Friday MLB player prop picks:
- Max Fried, Yankees, over 1.5 earned runs allowed (-130)
- Elly De La Cruz, Reds, over 0.5 stolen bases (+125)
- Ketel Marte, Diamondbacks, over 1.5 total bases (-205)
- Parlay these picks for +492 odds with a Caesars Sportsbook promo code (odds subject to change)
Max Fried, Yankees, over 1.5 earned runs allowed (-130)
All-Stars like Gunnar Henderson and Jordan Westburg had IL stints earlier in the season as the Orioles got off to a rough start. However, their best hitters are now all healthy, and it’s apparent, as the O’s team OPS went from .687 through the first 50 games to .735 over the last 24 outings. Meanwhile, Fried has a 3.60 ERA over his last four starts, having given up multiple earned runs in three of those games. Additionally, Baltimore has been a thorn in his side throughout his career as the pitcher has a 4.05 ERA versus the Orioles, which is his fifth-highest versus any team. SportsLine’s model projects 2.1 earned runs allowed by Fried, and a BetMGM bonus code could pay up to $1,500 in bonus bets if your first wager loses.
Elly De La Cruz, Reds, over 0.5 stolen bases (+125)
The Reds are visiting St. Louis on Friday, where they’ll face starting pitcher Andre Pallante. The 26-year-old has struggled on the mound, to the tune of a 4.83 ERA, but he’s struggled even more in containing the basepaths. Baserunners are a perfect 11 for 11 in stolen base attempts against him, which is the second-most stolen bases in the majors off a pitcher with no one thrown out. Now he’ll have to deal with the game’s most prolific base stealer in De La Cruz, whose 123 stolen bases since his 2023 debut are 22 more than anyone else. You could add even more value to this MLB prop with the latest DraftKings promo code:
Ketel Marte, Diamondbacks, over 1.5 total bases (-205)
Like many, Marte has taken a liking to playing at Coors Field where both his slugging percentage and OPS are above his career averages, and where he’s also cracked eight home runs. Simply seeing the Rockies, no matter the location, has also brought him joy as he hits in back-to-back games, with seven total bases, over this stretch. He’s also owned the matchup versus Colorado starter, Austin Gomber, going 8 for 23 (.348) in his career with a 1.096 OPS. Marte’s projected for 2.16 total bases overall, and this MLB player prop can be wagered on with the latest FanDuel promo code.
Want more MLB player prop picks for Friday?
You’ve seen the model’s MLB picks for some popular player props on Friday. Now, get MLB projections for every player prop at SportsLine.
Also at SportsLine:
You can also see today’s best MLB picks from Larry Hartstein, who’s 10-4-2 over his last 16 MLB props picks. Visit SportsLine to see his best bets for Friday’s MLB schedule, and be sure to see Jacob Fetner’s and the Inside the Lines team’s best bets for Friday.
Finally, SportsLine expert Matt Severance, who is 165-89 (+1927) over his last 254 MLB picks, has his MLB picks locked in for Friday. Visit SportsLine to see his best plays for today.
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