

Javier Baez can be one of the most exciting players in baseball, but a free-swinging approach can also lead to prolonged stretches where he struggles at the plate. However, when the Tigers’ utility man is locked in, he still shows flashes of the player who was a two-time MLB All-Star. Baez slashed a respectable .308/.353/.487 in June, and he also has an .803 OPS this season after taking the first pitch. With his over/under for total bases listed at 0.5 on Sunday in the latest MLB prop odds from BetMGM, where you can also get up to $1,500 in bonus bets if your first bet loses with this BetMGM promo code, we’re using Baez over 0.5 total bases (-190) as one of our top MLB player props today.
Targeting MLB player props is one way to approach MLB betting on Sunday’s MLB schedule at online sports betting sites. With MLB props available for almost every player in every game at sportsbooks, SportsLine’s proven computer model can help you find value to add to your MLB picks. They can also help new users take advantage of sportsbook promos like the latest Fanatics Sportsbook promo code:
The model simulates every game 10,000 times and is on a 39-30 run on all top-rated MLB picks. The model is up 24.6 units on home run prop picks this season. Now, the model and SportsLine’s team of Data Scientists have revealed their projections for some of the most-bet MLB player props on Sunday.
Best Sunday MLB player prop picks:
- Javier Baez, Tigers, over 0.5 total bases (-190)
- Zack Wheeler, Phillies, under 8.5 total strikeouts (-150)
- Ian Happ, Cubs, over 0.5 RBI (+195)
- Parlay these picks for +650 odds with a bet365 promo code (odds subject to change)
Javier Baez, Tigers, over 0.5 total bases (-190)
His time in Detroit has been marred by all the swing-and-miss in his game, but he was also victimized by a BABIP over the last three years that was over 50 points below his career average. This year, his .323 BABIP looks more in line with his .315 career average, and his .276 batting average overall is his best since 2019, an All-Star season. His 22.3% strikeout rate is also a career-low, so perhaps we’re seeing some fine-tuning in his plate approach. For Sunday, the model is predicting that Baez will finish with 1.4 total bases on average, and BetMGM is offering the best price here.
Zack Wheeler, Phillies, under 8.5 total strikeouts (-150)
Wheeler threw eight scoreless innings and struck out 10 in his last start against the Padres, but that was the first time that he’d pitched into the seventh inning since May 11. He’s only managed nine strikeouts or more in three of his last 11 starts and the Reds have scored at least eight runs in two of their past three games. The model is predicting 6.8 strikeouts for Wheeler on average, and it’s FanDuel offering the best price here. You can also get $150 in bonus bets instantly if your first $5 bet wins with this FanDuel promo code.
Ian Happ, Cubs, over 0.5 RBI (+195)
Happ’s .719 OPS would be a career-low if the season ended right now, but he’s still providing value as a run producer with 12 home runs and 44 RBI over 80 games. He had an RBI on Saturday and has recorded at least one run batted in 24 times so far this season. With DraftKings offering this price and also an additional $150 in bonus bets instantly after your first $5 bet with this DraftKings promo code, the model is locking in on the over here.
Want more MLB player prop picks for Sunday?
You’ve seen the model’s MLB picks for some popular player props on Sunday. Now, get MLB projections for every player prop at SportsLine.
Also at SportsLine:
You can also see Jacob Fetner’s and the Inside the Lines team’s best bets for Sunday. Finally, SportsLine expert Bruce Marshall, who is 36-34-1 (+614) over his last 71 ML picks, has locked in his best bets for Sunday. Visit SportsLine to see his best plays for today.
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