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As finais de conferência da NBA, que seguem nesta quarta-feira com o jogo 5 entre Oklahoma City Thunder e Minnesota Timberwolves, no Oeste, têm vencedores altamente prováveis. Pelo menos é o que dizem as estatísticas históricas da liga. Vencendo suas séries por 3 a 1, tanto o Thunder quanto o Indiana Pacers, que enfrenta o New York Knicks no Leste, precisam evitar a virada desse placar, um cenário que só aconteceu 13 vezes na história dos playoffs.
A primeira vez que uma equipe virou um 3 a 1 foi em 1968, quando o formato de conferências ainda não existia. O Boston Celtics superou o Philadelphia 76ers nas finais da Divisão Leste. A mais recente foi há cinco anos, quando o Denver Nuggets virou sobre o Los Angeles Clippers na semifinal do Oeste de 2020. No mesmo ano, os Nuggets já haviam virado o mesmo placar contra o Utah Jazz, na primeira rodada.
A única vez que aconteceu em uma final foi em 2016, na icônica decisão da liga entre Cleveland Cavaliers e Golden State Warriors, vencida pelos Cavs de LeBron James.
Jogando para não dar chance ao azar, o Thunder pode garantir a quarta vitória e a vaga na final às 21h30, quando recebe os Wolves em casa. Para os Pacers, que voltam à quadra na quinta, a tarefa é um pouco mais difícil para os Pacers, que voltam a encarar o Madison Square Garden, casa dos Knicks, enquanto tentam fechar a série.
Veja a lista das viradas de séries em 3 a 1 na história dos playoffs da NBA:
- Finais da Divisão Leste de 1968: Boston Celtics virou sobre o Philadelphia 76ers
- Semifinais da Divisão Oeste de 1970: Los Angeles Lakers virou sobre o Phoenix Suns
- Finais da Conferência Leste de 1979: Washington Bullets virou sobre o San Antonio Spurs
- Finais da Conferência Leste de 1981: Boston Celtics virou sobre o Philadelphia 76ers
- Semifinais da Conferência Oeste de 1995: Houston Rockets virou sobre o Phoenix Suns
- Semifinais da Conferência Leste de 1997: Miami Heat virou sobre o New York Knicks
- Primeira rodada da Conferência Leste de 2003: Detroit Pistons virou sobre o Orlando Magic
- Primeira rodada da Conferência Oeste de 2006: Phoenix Suns virou sobre o Los Angeles Lakers
- Semifinais da Conferência Oeste de 2015: Houston Rockets virou sobre o Los Angeles Clippers
- Finais da Conferência Oeste de 2016: Golden State Warriors virou sobre o Oklahoma City Thunder
- Finais da NBA de 2016: Cleveland Cavaliers virou sobre o Golden State Warriors
- Primeira rodada da Conferência Oeste de 2020: Denver Nuggets virou sobre o Utah Jazz
- Semifinais da Conferência Oeste de 2020: Denver Nuggets virou sobre o Los Angeles Clippers
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