The first-ever player to post a 40-homer, 70-steal season in MLB history, Ronald Acuna Jr.’s legs haven’t been that active since returning from a torn ACL last season. He has just one stolen base on the season, but his bat is as potent as ever and always deserves consideration for MLB player props such as home run props. Acuna has six homers in just 19 games as his hard-hit rate is the best in baseball and his average exit velocity is second-best. Acuna has two dingers over his last four games and has as favorable a matchup as could be on the Saturday MLB schedule.
Atlanta will host the historically-bad Colorado Rockies, whose pitching staff is a big reason for their lack of success. The Rockies have allowed the most home runs in the National League, as Acuna has +390 MLB home run odds at bet365 to go yard on Saturday, making him one of SportsLine’s best values in the Saturday MLB home run picks for online sports betting sites. MLB home run props are available for almost every player in every game at various sportsbooks, and SportsLine’s proven computer model can help you find value to add to your MLB home run picks on betting sites.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. It’s up 35.95 units on its MLB HR picks during the last 67 days. Now, the model and SportsLine’s team of Data Scientists have revealed their projections for some of the most-bet MLB HR prop bets on Saturday. You can find even more picks in their daily blog. Plus, see our Saturday MLB parlay picks, MLB prop bets, and Cardinals vs. Brewers matinee baseball picks.
Best MLB home run picks for Saturday, June 14:
Ronald Acuna Jr., Braves (+390)
Acuna has homered in every other game since Monday, and he didn’t homer in his last outing, so he could be due to go yard on Saturday. Helping in that regard is the opponent Rockies who are putting a rookie on the mound who is looking very much like a first-year player. RHP Chase Dollander has a 6.85 ERA that ranks 146th out of 150 pitchers with at least 40 innings thrown. Dollander allowed two longballs in his last start and has given up four homers over his last four games. Also, five of Acuna’s six home runs have come against right-handed pitchers, and his prospects may even improve once Colorado goes to its relievers as no NL bullpen has allowed more homers (36) than the Rockies.
“An advantage that comes with betting on Acuna to homer is him hitting leadoff which could give him an extra plate appearance compared to his teammates,” SportsLine data analyst Jacob Fetner said. “Acuna also has a propensity to start the game off with a leadoff HR. He ranks 15th all time with 35 leadoff home runs.” Fetner also noted that sportsbooks are all over the place with Acuna’s MLB prop odds as some have him as low as +245 to homer. He sets Acuna’s line at +350 to launch one over the fence, so you can play +390 odds with a bet365 bonus code that offers new users $150 in bonus bets with a $5 wager, whether it wins or loses.
Ketel Marte, Diamondbacks (+450)
Not Shohei Ohtani, Pete Alonso or anyone else in the National League has a higher OPS than Marte (1.000), and his 6.5% home run rate is also a career-high. He’s homered four times over his last 11 games, which is just one shy of tying for the most in baseball over that stretch. He is also facing a rookie on the mound in RHP, Ryan Bergert of San Diego, who has started off well, but his minors performance was less than impressive. Additionally, the splits favor Marte in this matchup, considering how many of his homers have come against righties, as a FanDuel promo code could let you play +450 odds on Marte.
“Bergert has been solid but not great in his minor league career. He went just 2-10 with a 4.78 ERA in the minors last season, so you can expect some regression going forward, especially with him now starting instead of coming out of the bullpen,” Fetner said. “Marte is hitting .337 with 10 of his 12 HRs coming as a left-handed batter against RHPs. We like him even more facing a rookie RHP. We set Marte’s line at +280 to hit a HR.”
Wyatt Langford, Rangers (+450)
Picking on rookie pitchers is a theme, as Langford and Texas will also get to face one in MIke Vasil of the White Sox. He’s making just his second MLB start and gave up a longball in his first. Langford has 13 home runs on the season, including two over his last four games, and he’s been moved up in the lineup which allows him more plate appearances. After spending some time in the 3-hole earlier this year, Langford has hit second each of the last 10 games ahead of Saturday’s home game. Playing at Globe Life Field adds to Langford’s HR prospects as his home run rate is 6.6% in the friendly confines, compared to 5% on the road.
“In Rangers wins this season, Langford is batting .286 with a .986 OPS and 10 home runs. In Rangers losses, Langford is batting .183 with a .538 OPS and just 3 HRs,” Fetner stated, with +450 odds coming at bet365. “With the ML at nearly -400, it’s implied that the Rangers have around a 78% chance of winning this game, and Langford has raked in wins. We set the line at +370 for Langford to homer.”
Where to bet MLB props on Saturday
Here is a look at sportsbooks that will offer MLB player props on Saturday:
More MLB picks for Saturday
You’ve seen the model’s MLB HR prop picks for several players on Saturday. Now, get MLB projections for every player prop at SportsLine.
Need more from SportsLine? See today’s best MLB picks from SportsLine’s Matt Severance, who is on a 159-80 roll (+2396.75) on baseball picks. SportsLine’s Bruce Marshall is also 5-1 (+455) over his last six MLB picks, and he already has locked in three picks for Saturday.
This news was originally published on this post .
About the author
Dados de estreia do Flamengo no Mundial mostram como Pedro se esforça para não sair do time e ganhar mais minutos
A estreia do Flamengo no Mundial de Clubes revelou dados interessantes sobre a participação de Pedro, que ganhou voto de confiança de Filipe Luís e tem tido mais minutos em campo para “afinar” a parte técnica e física. Embora seja o atacante que atingiu a menor velocidade máxima, 28,1 km/h e percorreu a menor distância em campo (pouco mais de 7 Km) contra o Espérance, o camisa nove foi o jogador que mais finalizou a gol, três vezes. Com um gol nas últimas dez partidas, Pedro tem evoluído e entregado o que o técnico Filipe Luís pede em campo, apesar do leve jejum. Mas suas atuações ainda não dão certeza de que está no ponto ideal para encarar o Chelsea, amanhã, pelo torneio da Fifa. No último jogo, apesar da falha na frente do gol, entregou intensidade suficiente para se […]
Bazball vs the best: Bumrah ready to rock England
The recent Test retirements of Virat Kohli and Rohit Sharma have left India without two legends of the game - or OGs as Jasprit Bumrah has called them - for the series in England, but the tourists will be able to call upon the best all-format bowler in the world.Few, if any, would suggest Bumrah is not that, with his jerky run-up, peculiar angles, swing, control, and array of slower balls and yorkers helping him amass 205 wickets in 45 Tests at an average below 20 and sit atop the ICC bowling rankings in the longest form. Add in over 500 wickets in white-ball games across domestic and international cricket and the 31-year-old has become a legend, or OG, himself. And the bad news for England's 'Bazballers' is that he is feeling fit ahead of the five-Test contest that starts […]
Nach 100-Minuten-Pause – Ex-Mainzer trifft nach Regen-Chaos
Wir haben personalisierte Videos für dich! Um mit Inhalten von Drittanbietern zu interagieren oder diese darzustellen, brauchen wir deine Zustimmung. externen Inhalt aktivieren Um eingebettete Inhalte anzuzeigen, ist Ihre jederzeit widerrufliche Einwilligung (über den Schalter oder über " Widerruf Tracking und Cookies " am Seitenende) zur Verarbeitung personenbezogener Daten nötig. Dabei können Daten in Drittländer wie die USA übermittelt werden (Art. 49 Abs. 1 lit. a DSGVO). Mit dem Aktivieren des Inhalts stimmen Sie zu. Weitere Infos finden Sie hier.
Chris Sale tosses near complete-game shutout as resurgent Braves clinch series against Mets
ATLANTA — The Atlanta Braves feel good about their chances of winning whenever Chris Sale is on the mound, so imagine how they felt after staking the reigning Cy Young Award winner to a 3-0 lead in the first inning Wednesday against the New York Mets.Ronald Acuña Jr. homered on the first pitch of the opening inning. That solo shot was all Sale needed as he didn’t give an inch, continuing the dominant stretch of pitching he’s enjoyed by throwing a near complete-game shutout in 5-0 series-clinching win against the NL East-leading Mets.Advertisement“I feel like a broken record about him at this point,” Braves first baseman Matt Olson, who homered in the seventh inning, said. “He’s incredible, he competes his a— off every time he’s on the mound. And you saw what he can do out there tonight.”Sale’s bid for […]
Repercussão da estreia do Fluminense contra Borussia Dortmund facilita internacionalização da marca do clube
O bom desempenho do Fluminense na estreia da Copa do Mundo de Clubes, anteontem, rendeu elogios de jornais do exterior, que apontaram como injusto o placar final de 0 a 0 contra o Borussia Dortmund, e também de técnicos estrangeiros. Se o título ainda é um sonho difícil para os clubes brasileiros, atuações de fôlego diante dos grandes clubes da Europa já são, por si só, capazes de ajudar na tão desejada internacionalização da marca, avaliam especialistas em marketing esportivo. Blog: Fluminense distribui milhares de bandeirinhas para torcida nos EUA e ajuda a incrementar festa no MundialVeja: Guia da Fifa põe Copas Rio na prateleira de Mundiais, ignora Brasileirão do Flamengo e diz que Botafogo não é dono de estádio Entre os principais jornais esportivos da Alemanha, o Kicker destacou que o Tricolor foi um adversário “complicado”, e que o […]
Concacaf Gold Cup Power Rankings: Why this U.S. Team Isn’t Top 3
Alexi Lalas Soccer Analyst <!--> The 2025 Concacaf Gold Cup is underway on FOX, which means my power rankings are back in action.As I like to say, these are my power rankings. You may agree, you may disagree — it doesn't matter, these are mine. Get your own power rankings!As we go through the tournament, day after day, they might change, but these are my power rankings as we sit today:Odds to win: +10000 (bet $10 to win $1,010 total)I loved them last night. I love the environment, I love the performance on the field. Costa Rica could have slid in here, but I'm not buying this Costa Rica team.Odds to win: +200 (bet $10 to win $30 total)The United States is here at No. 4. I know it was a big victory but it was Trinidad and Tobago, so […]
Related
Dados de estreia do Flamengo no Mundial mostram como Pedro se esforça para não sair do time e ganhar mais minutos
A estreia do Flamengo no Mundial de Clubes revelou dados interessantes sobre a participação de Pedro, que ganhou voto de confiança de Filipe Luís e tem tido mais minutos em campo para “afinar” a parte técnica e física. Embora seja o atacante que atingiu a menor velocidade máxima, 28,1 km/h e percorreu a menor distância em campo (pouco mais de 7 Km) contra o Espérance, o camisa nove foi o jogador que mais finalizou a gol, três vezes. Com um gol nas últimas dez partidas, Pedro tem evoluído e entregado o que o técnico Filipe Luís pede em campo, apesar do leve jejum. Mas suas atuações ainda não dão certeza de que está no ponto ideal para encarar o Chelsea, amanhã, pelo torneio da Fifa. No último jogo, apesar da falha na frente do gol, entregou intensidade suficiente para se […]
Bazball vs the best: Bumrah ready to rock England
The recent Test retirements of Virat Kohli and Rohit Sharma have left India without two legends of the game - or OGs as Jasprit Bumrah has called them - for the series in England, but the tourists will be able to call upon the best all-format bowler in the world.Few, if any, would suggest Bumrah is not that, with his jerky run-up, peculiar angles, swing, control, and array of slower balls and yorkers helping him amass 205 wickets in 45 Tests at an average below 20 and sit atop the ICC bowling rankings in the longest form. Add in over 500 wickets in white-ball games across domestic and international cricket and the 31-year-old has become a legend, or OG, himself. And the bad news for England's 'Bazballers' is that he is feeling fit ahead of the five-Test contest that starts […]
Nach 100-Minuten-Pause – Ex-Mainzer trifft nach Regen-Chaos
Wir haben personalisierte Videos für dich! Um mit Inhalten von Drittanbietern zu interagieren oder diese darzustellen, brauchen wir deine Zustimmung. externen Inhalt aktivieren Um eingebettete Inhalte anzuzeigen, ist Ihre jederzeit widerrufliche Einwilligung (über den Schalter oder über " Widerruf Tracking und Cookies " am Seitenende) zur Verarbeitung personenbezogener Daten nötig. Dabei können Daten in Drittländer wie die USA übermittelt werden (Art. 49 Abs. 1 lit. a DSGVO). Mit dem Aktivieren des Inhalts stimmen Sie zu. Weitere Infos finden Sie hier.
Chris Sale tosses near complete-game shutout as resurgent Braves clinch series against Mets
ATLANTA — The Atlanta Braves feel good about their chances of winning whenever Chris Sale is on the mound, so imagine how they felt after staking the reigning Cy Young Award winner to a 3-0 lead in the first inning Wednesday against the New York Mets.Ronald Acuña Jr. homered on the first pitch of the opening inning. That solo shot was all Sale needed as he didn’t give an inch, continuing the dominant stretch of pitching he’s enjoyed by throwing a near complete-game shutout in 5-0 series-clinching win against the NL East-leading Mets.Advertisement“I feel like a broken record about him at this point,” Braves first baseman Matt Olson, who homered in the seventh inning, said. “He’s incredible, he competes his a— off every time he’s on the mound. And you saw what he can do out there tonight.”Sale’s bid for […]
Repercussão da estreia do Fluminense contra Borussia Dortmund facilita internacionalização da marca do clube
O bom desempenho do Fluminense na estreia da Copa do Mundo de Clubes, anteontem, rendeu elogios de jornais do exterior, que apontaram como injusto o placar final de 0 a 0 contra o Borussia Dortmund, e também de técnicos estrangeiros. Se o título ainda é um sonho difícil para os clubes brasileiros, atuações de fôlego diante dos grandes clubes da Europa já são, por si só, capazes de ajudar na tão desejada internacionalização da marca, avaliam especialistas em marketing esportivo. Blog: Fluminense distribui milhares de bandeirinhas para torcida nos EUA e ajuda a incrementar festa no MundialVeja: Guia da Fifa põe Copas Rio na prateleira de Mundiais, ignora Brasileirão do Flamengo e diz que Botafogo não é dono de estádio Entre os principais jornais esportivos da Alemanha, o Kicker destacou que o Tricolor foi um adversário “complicado”, e que o […]
Concacaf Gold Cup Power Rankings: Why this U.S. Team Isn’t Top 3
Alexi Lalas Soccer Analyst <!--> The 2025 Concacaf Gold Cup is underway on FOX, which means my power rankings are back in action.As I like to say, these are my power rankings. You may agree, you may disagree — it doesn't matter, these are mine. Get your own power rankings!As we go through the tournament, day after day, they might change, but these are my power rankings as we sit today:Odds to win: +10000 (bet $10 to win $1,010 total)I loved them last night. I love the environment, I love the performance on the field. Costa Rica could have slid in here, but I'm not buying this Costa Rica team.Odds to win: +200 (bet $10 to win $30 total)The United States is here at No. 4. I know it was a big victory but it was Trinidad and Tobago, so […]
Be the first to leave a comment