Brian Daboll took over as New York Giants head coach in 2022 to much fanfare and seemed to immediately turn the franchise around, with the team shooting out to a 7-2 start before an eventual wild-card berth that earned Daboll Coach of the Year honors. Daniel Jones had a league-best 1.1% interception rate during the successful season, setting expectations high for Daboll’s tenure in New York.
Fast forward to 2025, and that tenure could be almost up, with the Giants winning six games in 2023 and only three games last year. Daboll’s offenses finished in the bottom three in scoring each year, as Jones, in 16 healthy games, looked nothing like the improved version from 2022. The Giants finally cut ties with their 2019 first-round pick during the 2024 season and signed a pair of proven veterans this offseason in Russell Wilson and Jameis Winston before trading up into the back of the first round and making Jaxson Dart the future of the quarterback position for the franchise.
Whether Daboll gets to move forward with Dart may come down to how well Wilson does as the team’s starter following a relatively successful season in Pittsburgh that included a trip to the playoffs. Even so, Wilson, who turns 37 during the upcoming season, is not the same player who routinely ran off double-digit wins for the Seahawks and will likely be tasked with holding off Father Time even further until Dart is ready. The Giants made no notable additions to the rest of the offense outside of Day 3 picks and depth free agents, so it’s fair to wonder how much whoever is under center will be able to accomplish.
We’re going to take a quick look at the Giants’ 2024 season and the rest of their offseason moves before getting into their track record in NFL futures over the last five years. After that, you can find the odds available at top sportsbooks for their 2025 win total along with Super Bowl and playoff odds as well as key player props to know. Finally, we’ll take a look at the pros and cons of betting on the Giants in 2025 and give out our best bets.
2024 New York Giants season review
- Regular season: 3-14 (Last, NFC East)
- Playoffs: Missed
- Most losses in franchise history (14)
- Nine wins in last 2 seasons (nine wins in 2022, first under HC Brian Daboll)
- Only team in NFL history to average one or fewer pass TD and 30-plus attempts per game in five straight seasons
2025 New York Giants offseason review
| QB | Drew Lock, Tim Boyle | Russell Wilson, Jameis Winston | Jaxson Dart (1) |
| RB | Cam Skattebo (4) | ||
| WR | Gunner Olszewski | Zach Pascal, Lil’Jordan Humphrey, Montrell Washington | x |
| TE | Darren Waller | Thomas Fidone (7) | |
| OL | Chris Hubbard | James Hudson, Stone Forsythe | Marcus Mbow (5) |
| DL | Armon Watts | Roy Robertson-Harris, Jeremiah Ledbetter | Darius Alexander (3) |
| EDGE | Azeez Ojulari | Chauncey Golston, Victor Dimukeje | Abdul Carter (1) |
| LB | Isaiah Simmons, Matthew Adams, Patrick Johnson | Chris Board, Demetrius Flannigan-Fowles | |
| CB | Adoree’ Jackson, Elijah Riley, Greg Stroman, Divaad Wilson | Paulson Adebo, Nic Jones | Korie Black (7) |
| S | Jason Pinnock | Jevon Holland | |
| STAFF |
Five-year futures odds and trends
| 2024 | +20000 | 6.5 | Under | 3 | 4th, NFC East |
| 2023 | +4800 | 7.5 | Under | 6 | 3rd, NFC East |
| 2022 | +11800 | 7.5 | Over | 9 | L, Divisional round |
| 2021 | +8000 | 7 | Under | 4 | 4th, NFC East |
| 2020 | +10000 | 6.5 | Under | 6 | 2nd, NFC East |
Historical betting data via Pro-Football-Reference.
2025 New York Giants futures odds
| Go Over win total | 5.5 (+110) | 5.5 (+110) | 5.5 (+100) | 5.5 (+105) |
| Go Under win total | 5.5 (-130) | 5.5 (-130) | 5.5 (-120) | 5.5 (-125) |
| Win Super Bowl | +20000 | +20000 | +20000 | +23000 |
| Win NFC | +12500 | +10000 | +8000 | +11000 |
| Win NFC East | +2800 | +3000 | +2500 | +2500 |
| Make playoffs | +650 | +800 | +650 | +790 |
| Miss playoffs | -1000 | -1400 | -1100 | -1500 |
| Win No. 1 seed | +12500 | +12500 | +12000 | +17000 |
Odds subject to change.
2025 Malik Nabers props
| MVP | +25000 | +30000 | +30000 | +30000 |
| Offensive POY | +3000 | +3500 | +3000 | +3500 |
| Most rec yards | +1200 | +1100 | +1000 | |
| Rec yards O/U | 1150.5 | 1150.5 | 1150.5 | |
| Rec TDs O/U | 7.5 | 7.5 | 7.5 | 7.5 |
Odds subject to change.
Reasons to back the Giants
The Giants are going to get a significant quarterback upgrade with Russell Wilson, even if he’s declined from his Seattle days. Wilson was solid with the Steelers a year ago and has a rising star receiver with Malik Nabers in New York. Tyrone Tracy Jr. should be a good running back and there’s potential for the secondary receivers to find good roles around Nabers. Wilson won’t carry this offense but he should make it competent. The defensive line should be a major strength with Kayvon Thibodeaux, Abdul Carter, Dexter Lawrence and Brian Burns, which in turn will help the linebackers and secondary ease into the season. If the Giants can generate a strong pass rush routinely, it’ll take a lot of pressure off the rest of this defense. There’s a chance New York ends up having a top-10 unit on that side of the ball by the end of the season if everyone stays healthy.
Reasons to fade the Giants
Even with decent quarterback play and a strong defensive line, this is not an easy schedule. The Giants are in a division with the reigning Super Bowl champions, a Commanders team which went to the NFC Championship Game and a Cowboys team loaded with talent poised to bounce back. New York plays the AFC West in the cross-conference schedule, which means matchups with the Chiefs, Chargers, Broncos and Raiders. Three of those teams made the playoffs a year ago. The Giants have two games on the road to start the year and could easily be 0-4 before facing the Saints on the road in Week 5. Eight of the first nine games are against either playoff teams or teams expected to make the playoffs, with the 49ers tabbed as NFC West favorites.
The offensive line remains an issue, which in turns could throw off the entire offense. Wilson has Tracy Jr. and Nabers as solid skill players, but there’s no clear No. 2 receiving threat in this offense. If teams decide to take away Nabers, the Giants could really struggle to move the ball. Even if the defense becomes an elite unit, a lackluster offense effectively caps a team’s ceiling at around .500. Throw in a tough schedule and a division full of playoff hopefuls, and you’re likely to be on the wrong side of a few more results than you want to be.
How to bet the Giants in 2025
- Under 5.5 wins -130 (FanDuel)
- Fewest wins +600 (DraftKings)
- Abdul Carter Defensive Rookie of the Year +250 (BetMGM)
The schedule is absolutely brutal for a Giants team with a questionable offensive line and not a ton of upside at quarterback unless Jaxson Dart turns out to be much better much quicker than advertised. If they can’t beat the Saints in New Orleans, I’m not sure when the Giants’ first win will come with a home schedule that includes the Chiefs, Chargers, Eagles, 49ers and Packers before their Week 14 bye. While Under 5.5 wins is worth a play, I’d consider looking at the Giants to have the fewest wins in the league, a prop that typically features them third behind the Browns and Saints despite the difficulty of their schedule.
That being said, one positive play I like for the Giants is Abdul Carter to win the Defensive Rookie of the Year award. It’s typically gone to a top-12 pick, as those elite talents get a head start in the minds of voters and tend to get the benefit of the doubt even when a player drafted lower has better stats. Jared Verse (picked 19th in a draft where no defenders went in the top 15) won last year over teammate Braden Fiske, who had nearly double the number of sacks. First-round pick Quinyon Mitchell finished second with no interceptions. Other recent winners include Will Anderson (over Kobie Turner) and Sauce Gardner (over Riq Woolen). So long as the Giants defense plays well as a whole, it’s going to be hard for anyone but Mykel Williams to top Carter in this award.
This news was originally published on this post .
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