2025 Tour Championship predictions, odds, picks: Collin Morikawa among longshots to back in FedEx Cup Playoffs

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The 2025 FedEx Cup Playoffs conclude this weekend with the 2025 Tour Championship, and by now, you’ve almost certainly seen Scottie Scheffler’s viral chip on the 17th hole on the final round to cement his BMW Championship victory. Scheffler, the defending Tour Champion, is a significant favorite at +150 in the latest 2025 Tour Championship odds, despite the starting strokes format being removed. If you’re a fan of playing longshots when betting on the PGA Tour, Scheffler is rarely your target, and he especially won’t be at +150 odds, so who should you target for 2025 Tour Championship longshot bets when online sports betting? The Tour Championship first-round tee times begin on Thursday at 11:16 a.m. ET from East Lake.

Collin Morikawa finished second behind Scheffler at last year’s Tour Championship, and he had a better 72-hole score than Scheffler at 22-under-par compared to Scheffler’s 20-under-par, but Scheffler won with the stroke advantage entering the Tour Championship. With that element removed, the model likes Morikawa’s chances at another strong final event, and loves him at +2800 odds to be included in 2025 Tour Championship bets. Morikawa has recorded four top-10 finishes this season and is priced at +120 to crack the top 10 this week. New users at FanDuel Sportsbook can use the latest FanDuel promo code to get $300 in bonus bets if their bet wins, and take advantage of one of the best sportsbook promos:

Now that the 2025 Tour Championship field is locked in, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and revealed its longshot betting picks. New users have the opportunity to take advantage of the latest DraftKings promo code, bet365 bonus code and Fanatics Sportsbook promo code. At bet365, new users get  $150 in bonus bets with the placement of a $5+ bet. Claim that offer here.

Collin Morikawa (28-1)

The 28-year-old had an elite performance last year at East Lake Golf Club with a 22-under par showing over 72 holes, even better than Scheffler, but he finished second to the world’s No. 1 golfer due to starting strokes. But without starting strokes this year, it’s a completely even playing field, and the model expects Morikawa to capitalize on the format change. Morikawa finished T-6 at the 2023 Tour Championship at East Lake Golf Club, including shooting a 15-under during the first two rounds. Morikawa is winless in 18 PGA Tour events this year, but he’s no stranger to winning big-time tournaments with two of his six victories coming in majors. This isn’t a major, but with a $10 million payday to the winner, it certainly has a major feel attached to it. BetMGM lists Morikawa at 28-1 odds, and the latest BetMGM promo code gives new users up to $1,500 in bonus bets if their first bet loses.

Cameron Young (30-1)

After missing the cut at the Open Championship, Young has been one of the most dominant and consistent golfers to close the 2025 PGA Tour season. The 28-year-old rebounded at his next tournament with a victory at the Wyndham Championship on August 3, and he finished fifth at the FedEx St. Jude Championship and 11th at the BMW Championship to open the FedEx Cup Playoffs. Young is 13th in the FedEx Cup standings, and although he didn’t perform well at the Open Championship, he did at the bright lights of the U.S. Open, finishing T-4. Young is one of the top putters on the PGA Tour, ranking seventh in strokes gained: putting, fourth in one-putt percentage, fifth in putting average and sixth in putts per round. Young is listed at 30-1 odds on bet365, and the latest bet365 bonus code gives new users $150 in free bets with their first $5 bet

Viktor Hovland (28-1)

Hovland seeks his third Tour Championship over the last three years, winning in 2023 after shooting a 19-under par over 72 holes, as well as having a stroke advantage in a strong PGA Tour season. Hovland finished T-12 last year and finished inside the top 15 in each of the last four Tour Championships, all coming at East Lake Golf Club. Hovland’s approach shots have put him in advantageous positions throughout tournaments, ranking second in strokes gained: approach to green, while ranking 12th in proximity and 10th in approach shots greater than 200 yards this year. That’s allowed him to rank 19th in birdie average despite other putting statistics ranking outside the top half of the PGA Tour. Hovland is listed at 28-1 odds at DraftKings Sportsbook, while other betting apps have him at 22-1 odds, and the latest DraftKings promo code gives new users $200 in free bets with your first $5 wager, as well as over $200 off NFL Sunday Ticket. Click here to claim it.

More 2025 Tour Championship picks

You’ve seen the latest longshots from the model. Now, see the Tour Championship leaderboard, including forecasted finishes for Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy, Justin Thomas, and more. Visit SportsLine to see the projected leaderboard, all from the model that’s nailed 16 golf majors, including the last four Masters, the past two PGA Championships, and three majors in 2024 and 2025.

2025 Tour Championship odds, favorites 

Get full 2025 Tour Championship picks, best bets and predictions here

(DraftKings odds subject to change)

Scottie Scheffler +150 
Rory McIlroy +800 
Tommy Fleetwood +1600 
Ludvig Aberg +1600 
Justin Thomas +2200 
Patrick Cantlay +2200 
J.J. Spaun +2500 
Russell Henley +2500 
Collin Morikawa +2800 
Cameron Young +2800 
Viktor Hovland +2800 
Sam Burns +2800 
Ben Griffin +3000 
Sepp Straka +3000 
Robert MacIntyre +3000 
Hideki Matsuyama +3500 
Maverick McNealy +3500 
Keegan Bradley +4000 
Harris English +4000 
Corey Conners +4000 
Harry Hall +4500 
Chris Gotterup +4500 
Justin Rose +5000 
Akshay Bhatia +5500 
Brian Harman +6000 
Shane Lowry +6500 
Sungjae Im +7500 
Nick Taylor +7500 
Jacob Bridgeman +9000 
Andrew Novak +9000

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