Over his last 24 major starts, Jon Rahm has placed in the top 10 in half of them. That includes two major wins, but it also includes two missed cuts, both of which came at the PGA Championship. Quail Hollow Club will host the 2025 PGA Championship starting on Thursday, and the Spaniard doesn’t have the best history with the North Carolina course. He has played it twice before, with a missed cut in one start and a 58th-place finish in the other, so what should you make of Rahm in your 2025 PGA Championship predictions?
Rahm is one of several golfers in the 2025 PGA Championship field seeking a third major championship, a list that also includes Scottie Scheffler, Xander Schauffele, Bryson DeChambeau and Justin Thomas. Can Rahm overcome his course history and recent results at this major by rising up the 2025 PGA Championship leaderboard? Before locking in your 2025 PGA Championship picks or entering any PGA DFS tournaments on sites like DraftKings and FanDuel, be sure to see the golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
SportsLine’s proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June 2020. In fact, the model is up more than $9,000 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.
This same model has also nailed a whopping 14 majors entering the weekend, including the 2025 Masters, its fourth Masters in a row, and last year’s PGA Championship and U.S. Open. Anyone who has followed its sports betting picks could have seen massive returns on betting apps like FanDuel, DraftKings and Fanatics.
Now that the 2025 PGA Championship field is locked in and fans are deciding where to bet the PGA Championship, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard and get the latest PGA Championship promo codes.
2025 PGA Championship predictions for Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy, Xander Schauffele
One shocker the model is calling at the PGA Championship 2025: Xander Schauffele, the defending champion and a two-time major winner, barely cracks the top 10 of the leaderboard. Schauffele broke through for his first major title at the PGA Championship in 2024, beating DeChambeau by one stroke. He went on to win the Open Championship at Royal Troon last July, but he hasn’t tasted victory since.
Schauffele dealt with a rib injury early in 2025 that caused him to miss two months of action. The 31-year-old has recorded just one top-10 finish this season, and he’s been widely inconsistent off the tee, which will be a major issue at a course like Quail Hollow. Schauffele enters the 2025 PGA Championship ranked 158th in driving accuracy (54.17%) and 162nd in strokes gained: off the tee (-0.439). He also ranks outside the top 150 in scoring average (71.04), scrambling (55.80%) and one-putt percentage (38.19%). Schauffele is going off at 19-1 at FanDuel Sportsbook.
The model has also locked in its projection for Rory McIlroy, a five-time major winner and the newest Grand Slam champion. McIlroy has had plenty of success at Quail Hollow throughout his career. He has finished on top of the leaderboard four times at Quail Hollow, while also recording a runner-up finish and four other top-10 finishes.
McIlroy has won the PGA Championship twice in his career, and he has been in strong form thus far in 2025. He ranks in the top 10 in several important statistical categories, including stories gained: total (2.319), strokes gained: off the tee (0.855), scoring average (68.96) and putting average (1.690). McIlroy’s familiarity with the course, coupled with his recent play, is a big reason why he’s among the top favorites to win the 2025 PGA Championship.
Meanwhile, the model has examined Scottie Scheffler’s chances of winning his first major outside of Augusta National. He began the year underperforming by his standards, notching just two top 10s over his first five starts. But Scheffler has returned to form since then with four straight top 10s, highlighted by a record performance at the Byron Nelson. Scheffler tied the all-time PGA Tour record by shooting a 253 as he’ll enter the 2025 PGA Championship with momentum, but also looking for his first major success outside of the Masters.
Scheffler has made the cut in 18 of his last 19 major starts, with the one missed cut coming at the PGA Championship in 2022. He does have top 10s in back-to-back starts at the major since then, but he also doesn’t have the best course history at Quail Hollow. Scheffler has yet to play an official PGA event at the course but he was a part of the winning U.S. Team at the 2022 Presidents Cup at Quail Hollow. However, Scheffler may have had the feeling of one who contributes nothing to a group project but still gets an “A” as he went winless across his four matches, despite being the No. 1 player in the world at the event. See the full PGA Championship projections from the model here.
How to make 2025 PGA Championship picks
The model is also targeting four golfers with odds longer than 20-1 who will make a strong run at the title. Anyone who backs these longshots could hit it big. You can only see the model’s picks here.
Who will win the 2025 PGA Championship, which longshots will stun the golfing world, and where will Scottie Scheffler and Rory McIlroy finish? Check out the latest 2025 PGA Championship odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected leaderboard, all from the model that’s nailed 14 golf majors, including the last four Masters and three majors in 2024.
2025 PGA Championship odds, favorites
Get full 2025 PGA Championship picks, best bets and predictions here.
Scottie Scheffler +450
Rory McIlroy +480
Bryson Dechambeau +1000
Ludvig Aberg +1900
Xander Schauffele +1900
Jon Rahm +2000
Collin Morikawa +2100
Justin Thomas +2100
Joaquin Niemann +2800
Viktor Hovland +3400
Jordan Spieth +4100
Brooks Koepka +4400
Tommy Fleetwood +4400
Patrick Cantlay +4400
Will Zalatoris +4600
Hideki Matsuyama +4800
Tyrrell Hatton +5000
Matt Fitzpatrick +5500
Si Woo Kim +5500
Tom Kim +5500
Shane Lowry +6500
Jason Day +6500
Russell Henley +6500
Patrick Reed +7000
Justin Rose +7000
Dustin Johnson +7500
Sungjae Im +7500
Sahith Theegala +7500
Min Woo Lee +8000
Akshay Bhatia +8000
Corey Conners +8500
Cameron Young +9000
Brian Harman +9000
Davis Thompson +9000
Cameron Smith +9500
Wyndham Clark +9500
Sepp Straka +10000
Maverick McNealy +10000
Max Homa +11000
Robert MacIntyre +12000
Nicolai Hojgaard +12000
Tony Finau +14000
Sam Burns +15000
Adam Scott +15000
Rickie Fowler +15000
Billy Horschel +16000
Dean Burmester +16000
Taylor Pendrith +16000
Talor Gooch +16000
Byeong Hun An +16000
Keegan Bradley +17000
Thomas Detry +17000
Stephan Jaeger +19000
Aaron Rai +19000
Nick Dunlap +19000
Keita Nakajima +19000
Harris English +19000
Rasmus Hojgaard +19000
Cameron Davis +19000
Matt McCarty +19000
Nick Taylor +19000
Davis Riley +19000
This news was originally published on this post .
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