Dak Prescott and Joe Burrow top the list of NFL quarterbacks facing high pressure due to contract demands

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Heading into the next NFL season, betting houses have identified clear favorites in both the AFC and NFC conferences, and they are the same two teams that reached Super Bowl 59. In the NFC, the champion Eagles kept their roster almost intact, making them favorites to return to the conference championship game at least. Following them are the Detroit Lions, who had the franchise’s best regular season (15-2), and, surprisingly, the 49ers in third. This is mainly due to the return of a healthy Christian McCaffrey, though the 49ers made many changes to free up space and give Brock Purdy a new contract.

In the AFC, the Chiefs are the favorites, as they have been for the last seven seasons. After coming closer than anyone to achieving the first three-peat in the NFL, the Chiefs are coming off their best regular season in franchise history (15-2) and are looking for revenge. Close behind are the Ravens and Bills. With Lamar Jackson and Josh Allen, they have been playoff regulars, but they still need to overcome the Chiefs’ kingdom. Only Joe Burrow and Tom Brady have managed that in the AFC.

Quarterbacks Under Pressure: High Stakes for Prescott, Tua, Lawrence, and Burrow

Some quarterbacks are entering next season with more than just expectations after disappointing or underachieving in previous seasons. Whether due to the burden of a high-value contract or failing to meet the expectations of owners and fans, 2025 could mean new teams for them or further dissuade owners and general managers from believing they are the answer for their teams. Those quarterbacks include Dak Prescott of the Cowboys, Tua Tagovailoa of the Dolphins, Trevor Lawrence of the Jaguars, and Joe Burrow of the Bengals. Other younger players have also been given the tools to make the playoffs this year.

Dak Prescott

Dak has 60 million problems to be the quarterback with the most pressure for next season. The highest-paid player in history could only watch his team from the bench for most of last season due to an injury in Week 9, but the team wasn’t performing well with him either-before his injury, the team had a 3-5 record with three double-digit losses. Dak was given new running backs-two in free agency and one via the draft-plus a very reliable WR2 in George Pickens, acquired via trade, and has a new coach who was his offensive coordinator for the last two seasons, Brian Schottenheimer.

His division is tough, with the Eagles and Commanders reaching last year’s NFC Championship game, but Dak needs to show Jerry Jones that the money was well invested, especially if he makes the playoffs, where he has a 2-5 record in nine seasons.

Tua Tagovailoa

Tua is in the second year of his $212 million contract, but his problem is injuries and concussions. In his five NFL seasons, he has only surpassed 4,000 yards once, in 2023, which is the only season he didn’t suffer injuries and played all 17 games. Last season, they missed the playoffs for the first time under coach Mike McDaniel, but in the previous two, they reached the wild card game. It’s been 25 years since the Dolphins’ last playoff win, and if healthy this season, they should compete with the Bills for the AFC East. If he gets injured-hopefully not-or underperforms throughout the season, I wouldn’t doubt the Dolphins decide to start Zach Wilson or the rookie from the Longhorns, Quinn Ewers.

Trevor Lawrence

Lawrence only played 10 games last season due to injury and is entering his fifth season, in which he has only made the playoffs once, in 2022. The former first overall pick from Clemson was used to winning a lot-in the 40 games Lawrence played in college, Clemson went 38-2 (.950). His only losses came in the 2020 National Championship to LSU and the 2021 CFP semifinals to Ohio State.

But in 60 NFL games, he has a 22-38 record and is the second-highest-paid quarterback next season ($55 million). The Jaguars’ new front office went after trading up to pick Heisman winner Travis Hunter, who, alongside second-year Brian Thomas Jr., is set to bring quality hands to Lawrence’s throws. In an open AFC South, where the Texans have won the last two years, the Jaguars can undoubtedly compete for the division if Lawrence takes care of his interceptions-he already has 46 in 60 games played.

Joe Burrow

I know he’s coming off a career year, winning his second Comeback Player of the Year award and being the best quarterback last regular season, leading the league in yards (4,918) and touchdowns (43), both career highs. The defense, which was the worst last season, is the reason they didn’t make the playoffs for the second consecutive year, so Burrow must once again carry the team on his shoulders and find a way to win.

If healthy, he can challenge the Chiefs in the playoffs, as he’s one of the three quarterbacks who has beaten Mahomes (along with Tom Brady and Jalen Hurts). The Bengals’ front office won’t change their perspective on Burrow if they don’t reach the playoffs, but missing them for three straight seasons won’t help either.

Young Quarterbacks to Watch: Richardson and Williams Under the Spotlight

Two young quarterbacks who’ll also be feeling the pressure are Anthony Richardson from the Colts and Caleb Williams from the Bears. In Richardson’s case, the injuries he’s had in the first two years haven’t helped – he’s only started 15 games (8-7), which isn’t even a full season. He’s shown a lot of potential, but he’s still a bit immature. The Colts brought in Daniel Jones as the backup, but if Richardson doesn’t start winning, Jones will definitely step in, which could make things tricky for the former fourth overall pick down the road in the NFL.

As for Williams, last year’s first overall pick, it must’ve bothered him that the second overall pick, Jayden Daniels, outperformed him in every way, even in their Week 8 matchup, and came close to the Super Bowl while Williams struggled all year.

That’s why they brought in Ben Johnson, the former Lions offensive coordinator, to help. He’s going to help Williams and the Bears’ offense play their best. Williams has everything going for him. He could be the first quarterback in the Bears’ 106-year history to surpass 4,000 yards and throw for 30 or more touchdowns. It’ll all come down to him, since he’s got the weapons in DJ Moore, rookie tight end Colston Loveland, and Romeo Odunze.

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