2025 NBA Finals odds, NBA props, bets, predictions: Thunder vs. Pacers Game 6 expert pick, score prediction

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Jalen Williams dominated Game 5 of the NBA Finals and led his Oklahoma City Thunder to a 120-109 victory over the Indiana Pacers to take a 3-2 series lead. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander added 31 points and 10 assists for the Thunder, who sit one game away from their first NBA championship. On the other side, Pacers star Tyrese Haliburton was slowed due to a leg injury and failed to make a field goal, scoring only four points in Indiana’s defeat. Haliburton is dealing with a calf strain and is expected to be a game-time decision for Game 6.

Tipoff is Thursday at 8:30 p.m. ET from Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis. Oklahoma City is a 6.5-point favorite in the latest Thunder vs. Pacers odds, while the over/under is 222, down 2.5 points from the opener. Gilgeous-Alexander is +300 to record a double-double, while Williams’ over/under for total points scored is 23.5. Before making any Pacers vs. Thunder picks, be sure to see the Game 6 Thunder vs. Pacers score prediction and Game 6 Pacers vs. Thunder expert picks from SportsLine expert Eric Cohen. They can help you make picks and take advantage of NBA Finals betting promos like the latest BetMGM promo code and DraftKings promo code, just to name a few. 

Cohen is a SportsLine expert and Early Edge personality who has nailed two golf winners in the last month and finished among the top three college football experts on the site. A jack-of-all-trades, Cohen has a futures bet on the Thunder to win the series in six games.

Here are Cohen’s top Thunder vs. Pacers expert picks for Game 6 (odds subject to change):

  • Thunder ML (-218)
  • Under 222 Points
  • Jalen Williams Over 23.5 Points (-110)
  • Andrew Nembhard Over 17.5 Points + Rebounds + Assista (-125)
  • T.J. McConnell Over 15 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-160)
  • Thunder vs. Pacers score prediction: Thunder 112, Pacers 106

Cohen’s Analysis: Maybe I’m being a homer with my pick and wanting my futures bet to cash, but I think this series ends on Thursday night. Without a healthy Tyrese Haliburton, I would be very surprised if Indiana takes Game 6. Both games have gone under at Gainbridge Fieldhouse so that pick I’m fairly confident in after a high-scoring second half on Monday night. Jalen Williams is on his way to MVP in this series and has increased his scoring in each game thus far (17-19-26-27-40). I doubt he goes for 40+ on Thursday, but I also don’t see how the Pacers can defend him properly. I would consider sprinkling him to win Finals MVP at +750 odds. With Haliburton hobbled, look for Andrew Nembhard to be more of a facilitator and shooter and to post a similar 14-4-6 line like he did in Game 1. T.J. McConnell has been fantastic in this series and single-handedly kept Indiana in the game on Monday with a 13 point third quarter. He should get plenty of run for the Pacers, considering Haliburton’s ailment. I think this game will be very close to the 6.5-point line, so I’m more comfortable with Thunder moneyline to close out the series. All of these NBA picks can be played at FanDuel with a FanDuel promo code, which offers up to $200 in bonus bets with a winning $5 wager.

You’ve seen Cohen’s best bets for Pacers vs. Thunder on Thursday. Now, get picks for Game 6 from the model that entered the 2025 NBA Finals a sizzling 160-116 on top-rated NBA picks.

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