The 2025 NBA Finals have come down to a deciding matchup. Sunday’s Game 7 between the Oklahoma City Thunder and Indiana Pacers will be the first Finals Game 7 since 2016. OKC is favored by 7.5 points and the Over/Under is 215.5 points in the Pacers vs. Thunder odds. Your Pacers vs. Thunder SGP and NBA same-game parlay picks could include Thunder vs. Pacers player props or bets involving the spread, total or money line. Players like Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Tyrese Haliburton, and Jalen Williams all figure to be highly sought-after options for NBA SGP picks. Despite his consistency, the SportsLine Projection Model projects SGA to produce 32.6 points in Game 7. Thus, backing the Under on his NBA props line for total points (33.5) is one piece of what could be a winning NBA SGP. If you need a BetMGM bonus code for the game, you can use “CBSSPORTS” and get up to $1,500 in bonus bets if your first bet loses:
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in betting profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past six-plus seasons. The model enters the third week of the 2025 NBA Finals on a sizzling 160-118 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning nearly $4,000. It is also 24-11 (69%) on top-rated NBA against-the-spread picks this season. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen huge returns.
Now, here are the model’s top-three picks in the Thunder vs. Pacers SGP on Sunday, and also check out our Thunder vs. Pacers odds for Game 7, Thunder vs. Pacers player props, and Thunder vs. Pacers score prediction.
Best Thunder vs. Pacers NBA Finals Game 7 NBA SGP:
- Thunder -7.5 (-110)
- Aaron Nesmith Over 10.5 points (-115)
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Under 33.5 points (-125)
- SGP payout: +650 (odds subject to change)
Thunder -7.5 (-110)
OKC is 10-2 at home during the postseason. After losing Game 1 of this series at the Paycom Center, the Thunder went on to win their next two home games by double digits. The SportsLine Projection Model is forecasting another big win for the Thunder at home in Game 7, projecting a final score of 117-104 with OKC covering in 65% of computer simulations. Use a DraftKings promo code to get even more bang for your buck on this line with $300 in bonus bets if your first $5 bet wins:
Aaron Nesmith Over 10.5 points (-115)
With Tyrese Haliburton nursing a calf injury, Nesmith was forced into a more prominent role in the Pacers’ offense in Game 6. He is averaging 10.5 points per game during the Finals, and has gone over this number twice in this series. SportsLine’s model is calling for an uptick in his scoring production in Game 7, projecting the former Vanderbilt star to score 12.2 points on Sunday.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Under 33.5 points (-125)
SGA has scored 30+ points in 10 straight home games, and is averaging 30.5 points per game during the Finals. The recently-crowned NBA MVP has gone over this number in three of the six games in this series thus far, but the SportsLine Projection Model is calling for him to go Under 33.5 points on Sunday. The model is projecting SGA to finish with 32.6 points in Game 7. A FanDuel promo code can help you unlock even more value on this prop with up to $200 in bonus bets if your first $5 bet wins:
Want more NBA picks for Game 7?
You’ve seen some of the model’s top NBA playoff best bets for Game 7. Now, get spread, total and money-line picks for Thunder vs. Pacers here, all from the model that’s simulated every game 10,000 times.
Also at SportsLine:
You can also see today’s top NBA picks from expert Bruce Marshall, who’s on a sizzling 142-112-2 (+1880) roll on his last 256 NBA picks. Visit SportsLine to see his best plays for today, all from the expert who’s up nearly 19 units.
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