

A Monday Night Football doubleheader is the perfect time to use BetMGM bonus code CBSSPORTS, with new users receiving up to $1,500 in bonus bets back if your first bet loses or $150 in bonus bets if your first bet of $10 or more wins depending on where they live. The Week 4 NFL schedule concludes with Dolphins vs. Jets at 7:15 p.m. ET and Broncos vs. Bengals at 8:15 p.m. ET.
Picks from both of those games are among our Monday Night Football NFL best bets on BetMGM Sportsbook today from the SportsLine Projection Model and we’re adding an expert pick for Valencia vs. Real Oviedo. Click here to get the newest BetMGM bonus code and take advantage of one of the best sportsbook promos:
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model went 39-19 on top-rated picks in 2024. Anybody following its NFL betting picks at sportsbooks and on betting sites could have seen strong returns.
Best Monday Week 4 NFL picks, La Liga prediction at BetMGM Sportsbook
- Valencia 90-minute money line vs. Real Oviedo (-145)
- Dolphins -2.5 vs. Jets (-120)
- Over 44.5 points: Broncos vs. Bengals (-105)
Combining the model’s three picks into a Monday soccer and NFL parlay at BetMGM would result in a payout of +504 (risk $100 to win $504). Bet it at BetMGM here:
Valencia 90-minute money line vs. Real Oviedo (-145)
“Valencia enters this match unbeaten on home soil this season, recording shutout victories in their past two La Liga fixtures at Mestalla Stadium,” SportsLine soccer expert Brandt Sutton said. “Oviedo, meanwhile, has lost five of their six league matches and has been shutout in their last two away fixtures. Oviedo is also coming off a 3-1 setback against Barcelona on Thursday, a game in which they conceded 80% of possession, so they could be dealing with heavy legs and fatigue against Valencia.”
Dolphins -2.5 vs. Jets (-120)
In a battle of winless AFC East teams, Dolphins vs. Jets will kick off a Monday Night Football doubleheader in Week 4. Justin Fields has been cleared from concussion protocol and the Jets were at their best so far this season when he last had a full healthy game in Week 1 against the Steelers. However, this series has been dominated of late by the Dolphins. Miami has won eight of 10 overall and is also 6-4 against the spread during that span. The model has the Dolphins covering in 59% of simulations.
Over 44.5 points: Broncos vs. Bengals (-105)
Joe Burrow (toe) is out for the foreseeable future and Jake Browning has been incredibly turnover prone (five interceptions) since taking over in the middle of Week 2. However, there have been 58 combined points in both of the games that he’s started and the Denver defense has looked extremely out of sorts after finishing as a top-five unit in 2024. The Broncos have given up 849 yards and 52 points in back-to-back losses to the Chargers and Colts. Meanwhile, the Cincinnati defense has given up 752 yards and 75 points in its last two games. The model says the Over hits in 63% of simulations.
Want more NFL picks for Monday, September 29?
You’ve seen some of the model’s Monday NFL best bets. Now, get against the spread, total and money-line picks for every NFL game on the schedule, all from the model that’s simulated every game 10,000 times.
Also at SportsLine:
You can also see Monday NFL picks from CBS Sports Gambling and Fantasy editor R.J. White, who is 40-29 (+1290) over his last 69 NFL picks. See his best bets right here.
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