The reigning Stanley Cup champion Florida Panthers can take a commanding 3-1 leading in the Stanley Cup Final when they host the Edmonton Oilers in Game 4 on Thursday night at Amerant Bank Arena in South Florida. After blowing a lead to lose Game 1, the Panthers have rebounded to win the last two. They are coming off a 6-1 blowout victory in Game 3.
Top-line Edmonton forward Ryan Nugent-Hopkins will once again be a game-time-decision while dealing with an undisclosed injury. After scoring 18 points over the first 15 playoff games, he has now played four straight games without a point.
For Game 4, the Panthers are -149 favorites at BetMGM Sportsbook while the Oilers are +125 underdogs.
Let’s start our snapshot of what to watch and bet tonight on the ice.
Stanley Cup Game 4 best bets Thursday
Oilers at Panthers, 8 p.m. ET (TNT)
Though each of the first three games of the Final has gone Over 6.5 goals, with 23 combined goals (the most through three games of a Cup Final since 1982), the model believes the teams regress to the mean on Thursday. The model’s 10,000 simulations say the teams average 5.7 goals in Game 4. Both the model and Cohen like Edmonton to play well on Thursday. Cohen believes the Oilers will play with desperation. “Look for the Oilers to jump out early and hold on late,” he says. Meanwhile Erskine notes that Schmidt has five assists in the series after just 14 assists across 80 games during the regular season. “Schmidt has been one of the biggest surprises of the playoffs,” Erskine says.
MLB best bets, games to watch Thursday
Yankees at Royals, 7:40 p.m. ET (MLB Network)
- SportsLine model pick: Royals +1.5 (-131)
- SportsLine model player prop pick: Will Warren Over 4.5 strikeouts (-138)
- SportsLine expert pick: Royals +1.5 (-126) (Matt Severance, 153-79 in his last 232 MLB picks)
Both the model and Severance like Kansas City to cover on the run line. Royals starter Seth Lugo has been much better at home (3.10 ERA) than on the road (4.07) this season and has had success against the Yankees’ Aaron Judge over his career (1-for-14 with five strikeouts). The model gives Kansas City a 64.0% chance to cover. In addition, the model rates Warren Over 4.5 strikeouts as a 4.5-star play on its 5-star scale. Warren has gone Over this number in 10 of his 13 starts this season and eight of his last nine.
Cardinals at Brewers, 7:40 p.m. ET
- SportsLine model pick: Brewers money line (+120, FanDuel)
- SportsLine model player prop pick: Alec Burleson Over 0.5 total bases (-167, BetMGM)
The model sees moderate value in playing Milwaukee on the money line against St. Louis, which has lost four straight games. During the losing streak, the Cardinals have been hit hard, allowing 27 runs. Meanwhile the Brewers have called up the franchise’s top pitching prospect, Jacob Misiorowski, to make his MLB debut on Thursday. A 6-foot-7 righty, Misiorowski went 4-2 with a 2.13 ERA in 13 games at Triple-A Nashville, striking out 80 in 63 1/3 innings. The model notes that Burleson has gone Over his total bases line in all nine games in which St. Louis is favored and plays a team with a winning record.
More MLB best bets
MLS best bets, games to watch Thursday
Atlanta United at New York City FC, 7:30 p.m. ET (MLS Season Pass)
Eimer sees a high-scoring matchup between Atlanta and NYCFC. Atlanta have conceded 30 goals this season; just three clubs have allowed more. Also, Both Teams To Score: Yes has hit in five of the Atlanta’s last seven matches. Meanwhile Over 2.5 goals has hit in each of NYCFC’s last three matches.
Looking ahead
NBA Finals Game 4: Thunder at Pacers (8:30 p.m. ET Friday)
The NBA Finals resume on Friday night at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis with the Pacers leading the series, 2-1. Indiana is coming off a 116-107 victory in Game 3. For the second time in this series the total stayed Under 225.5, and the model says there’s a 56.3% chance of the teams staying Under the total again. Meanwhile Selesnick believes there has been an overreaction to Williams’ big Game 3 (35 combined points, rebounds and assists) and notes that the Thunder forward has gone Under 33.5 PRA in 12 of 19 playoff games this season. “Williams has struggled with consistency and this has proven to be a tall order for the talented combo forward,” Selesnick says.
This news was originally published on this post .
About the author
2025 College Football Rankings: Georgia Climbs to No. 3, Texas A&M Drops Out of Top 5
The balance of power shifts once again to the Big Ten and away from the SEC.The nation’s top two teams — consensus No. 1 and No. 2 — will enter the Big Ten Championship Game undefeated.Meanwhile, after Texas defeated Texas A&M for the second consecutive year, no SEC team will enter its conference title game unbeaten. The SEC’s former top-ranked team, Texas A&M, didn’t even qualify for the championship, and the Texas squad that beat the Aggies also lost to Ohio State earlier this season.For the last two seasons, the national champion has emerged from "The Game," where it just means more. In that same span, the SEC hasn’t even sent a team to the title game.It wouldn’t shock anyone if Ohio State and Indiana face off not once but twice in the postseason. What remains to be seen is […]
Anderson: Anyone who doubts motivates to win another Worlds
Gary Anderson is motivated for the World Darts Championship at the best of times but even more so when he hears people doubting whether he could win another world title. Anderson is a two-time world champion, picking up the trophy back-to-back in 2015 and 2016. It makes him the last player to have won the worlds twice in a row now 10 years ago, with Luke Littler chasing that piece of history this time around. Anderson has not made the final since 2021 when he lost to Gerwyn Price but the 'Flying Scotsman' believes he has a third World Darts Championship win in him. Please use Chrome browser for a more accessible video player Take a look at how Phil Taylor, Michael van Gerwen, Gary Anderson, Luke Humphries and Luke Littler joined the Triple Crown club by winning the World […]
Nezastavitelní Messi a spol. slaví historickou trofej, od snu je dělí jediný zápas
Interu se ve vyřazovací části MLS daří už od úvodního kola. V sérii s Nashvillem rozhodl třetí duel, v němž Miami zvítězilo jasně 4:0. Argentinec Messi k tomu přispěl dvěma góly i asistencemi. V semifinále konference pak tým smetl Cincinnati 4:0, přičemž Messi znovu zářil, když otevřel skóre a poté přidal tři asistence.Proti New Yorku City si Messi sice připsal „pouze“ asistenci, přesto Miami do finále Východní konference vletělo jako uragán. Útočník Tadeo Allende dvěma zásahy během prvních 23 minut naprosto rozbil obranu New Yorku. Hosté sice ještě před pauzou snížili, jejich naděje ale netrvala dlouho.Po změně stran Inter totiž znovu přidal plyn. Mateo Silvetti zvýšil na 3:1 po přesné pobídce Messiho, Telasco Segovia po příchodu z lavičky zapsal čtvrtý gól a Allende završil své představení hattrickem.Po závěrečném hvizdu se stadionem nesl ohromný aplaus, Inter totiž poprvé v historii opanoval Východní konferenci, trofej za ni posléze převzal hvězdný Messi. A řídící majitel klubu […]
San Jose State’s Jordan Pollard intercepts pass and makes 58-yard return for TD, trimming deficit Fresno State
College Football Video Details San Jose State Spartans’ Jordan Pollard intercepted a pass and made a 58-yard return for a touchdown that trimmed the deficit to 13-7 against Fresno State. 18 MINS AGO・College Football・0:32
San Jose State’s Jordan Pollard intercepts pass and makes 58-yard return for TD, trimming deficit Fresno State
College Football Video Details San Jose State Spartans’ Jordan Pollard intercepted a pass and made a 58-yard return for a touchdown that trimmed the deficit to 13-7 against Fresno State. 18 MINS AGO・College Football・0:32
Tadeo Allende Helps Lionel Messi, Inter Miami Advance to First MLS Cup Final
It wasn’t Messi who got Inter Miami on the scoresheet for the club’s first conference final.It was Tadeo Allende, the 26-year-old Argentine only at Inter Miami for one year, on a loan from Spanish club Celta de Vigo, who scored a hat trick in the 5-1 win over New York City FC to send Inter to their first MLS Cup Final.Allende was, of course, named the player of the game on the broadcast, after scoring three goals, eclipsing his prior two standout playoff performances.In 31 games during the regular season, Allende scored 11 goals. Just in the playoffs, he has scored eight, including back-to-back-to-back multigoal performances to get Inter Miami into the final.He scored both of Inter Miami’s goals in the opening part of the first half to give the Herons the cushion they would need to hold off NYCFC, […]
Related
2025 College Football Rankings: Georgia Climbs to No. 3, Texas A&M Drops Out of Top 5
The balance of power shifts once again to the Big Ten and away from the SEC.The nation’s top two teams — consensus No. 1 and No. 2 — will enter the Big Ten Championship Game undefeated.Meanwhile, after Texas defeated Texas A&M for the second consecutive year, no SEC team will enter its conference title game unbeaten. The SEC’s former top-ranked team, Texas A&M, didn’t even qualify for the championship, and the Texas squad that beat the Aggies also lost to Ohio State earlier this season.For the last two seasons, the national champion has emerged from "The Game," where it just means more. In that same span, the SEC hasn’t even sent a team to the title game.It wouldn’t shock anyone if Ohio State and Indiana face off not once but twice in the postseason. What remains to be seen is […]
Anderson: Anyone who doubts motivates to win another Worlds
Gary Anderson is motivated for the World Darts Championship at the best of times but even more so when he hears people doubting whether he could win another world title. Anderson is a two-time world champion, picking up the trophy back-to-back in 2015 and 2016. It makes him the last player to have won the worlds twice in a row now 10 years ago, with Luke Littler chasing that piece of history this time around. Anderson has not made the final since 2021 when he lost to Gerwyn Price but the 'Flying Scotsman' believes he has a third World Darts Championship win in him. Please use Chrome browser for a more accessible video player Take a look at how Phil Taylor, Michael van Gerwen, Gary Anderson, Luke Humphries and Luke Littler joined the Triple Crown club by winning the World […]
Nezastavitelní Messi a spol. slaví historickou trofej, od snu je dělí jediný zápas
Interu se ve vyřazovací části MLS daří už od úvodního kola. V sérii s Nashvillem rozhodl třetí duel, v němž Miami zvítězilo jasně 4:0. Argentinec Messi k tomu přispěl dvěma góly i asistencemi. V semifinále konference pak tým smetl Cincinnati 4:0, přičemž Messi znovu zářil, když otevřel skóre a poté přidal tři asistence.Proti New Yorku City si Messi sice připsal „pouze“ asistenci, přesto Miami do finále Východní konference vletělo jako uragán. Útočník Tadeo Allende dvěma zásahy během prvních 23 minut naprosto rozbil obranu New Yorku. Hosté sice ještě před pauzou snížili, jejich naděje ale netrvala dlouho.Po změně stran Inter totiž znovu přidal plyn. Mateo Silvetti zvýšil na 3:1 po přesné pobídce Messiho, Telasco Segovia po příchodu z lavičky zapsal čtvrtý gól a Allende završil své představení hattrickem.Po závěrečném hvizdu se stadionem nesl ohromný aplaus, Inter totiž poprvé v historii opanoval Východní konferenci, trofej za ni posléze převzal hvězdný Messi. A řídící majitel klubu […]
San Jose State’s Jordan Pollard intercepts pass and makes 58-yard return for TD, trimming deficit Fresno State
College Football Video Details San Jose State Spartans’ Jordan Pollard intercepted a pass and made a 58-yard return for a touchdown that trimmed the deficit to 13-7 against Fresno State. 18 MINS AGO・College Football・0:32
San Jose State’s Jordan Pollard intercepts pass and makes 58-yard return for TD, trimming deficit Fresno State
College Football Video Details San Jose State Spartans’ Jordan Pollard intercepted a pass and made a 58-yard return for a touchdown that trimmed the deficit to 13-7 against Fresno State. 18 MINS AGO・College Football・0:32
Tadeo Allende Helps Lionel Messi, Inter Miami Advance to First MLS Cup Final
It wasn’t Messi who got Inter Miami on the scoresheet for the club’s first conference final.It was Tadeo Allende, the 26-year-old Argentine only at Inter Miami for one year, on a loan from Spanish club Celta de Vigo, who scored a hat trick in the 5-1 win over New York City FC to send Inter to their first MLS Cup Final.Allende was, of course, named the player of the game on the broadcast, after scoring three goals, eclipsing his prior two standout playoff performances.In 31 games during the regular season, Allende scored 11 goals. Just in the playoffs, he has scored eight, including back-to-back-to-back multigoal performances to get Inter Miami into the final.He scored both of Inter Miami’s goals in the opening part of the first half to give the Herons the cushion they would need to hold off NYCFC, […]
Be the first to leave a comment