Entering the 2025 Goodyear 400 on Sunday at 3 p.m. ET, the last nine NASCAR at Darlington races have been won by nine different drivers. Regular visitors to victory lane such as Denny Hamlin, Kyle Larson and Joey Logano are among them, but there are also surprise winners like Erik Jones and Chase Briscoe. While Larson (+450) and Tyler Reddick (+650) are atop the 2025 Goodyear 400 odds, don’t ignore Jones (+5000) or reigning winner Brad Keselowski (+2800) as potential sleepers for 2025 NASCAR at Darlington bets.
Before entering any 2025 Goodyear 400 picks, be sure to see the latest 2025 NASCAR at Darlington predictions from SportsLine’s proven projection model. Developed by SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, the proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times and has nailed a whopping 20 winners since 2021, including two winners in 2025.
SportsLine simulated the Goodyear 400 2025 10,000 times. Here are the three NASCAR longshots to target, according to the model:
Top NASCAR at Darlington sleeper picks from 10,000 simulations
Joey Logano (+1500 at DraftKings)
The three-time Cup Series champion is off to a slow start this year, sitting ninth in the NASCAR standings. However, he’s coming off a season-best eighth-place finish at Martinsville, also collecting a stage win at the short track. Logano is a Darlington winner, courtesy of claiming this race in 2022, and he’s also coming off a top 10 in his last visit to this track. He’s placed in the top 15 in eight of his last 10 NASCAR at Darlington starts, so it comes as a surprise that he has longshot odds at DraftKings.
Ross Chastain (+1800 at Bet365)
Chastain has placed fifth in two of the last three races at Darlington Raceway, but that only tells part of the story as to why he’s a NASCAR at Darlington sleeper. Few drivers have been better at comparable intermediate tracks around 1.5 miles in length than Chastain. His average finish of 13.1 at the circuits since 2022 is topped by just four other drivers, while only two others have more top 5s over this span than Chastain’s 13. Additionally, it was roughly six months ago that his last Cup Series victory came at an intermediate track at Kansas, and he also won the prior year at another type of track in Nashville.
Kyle Busch (+1800 at Bet365)
The veteran has 24 career starts at Darlington Raceway, and a quarter of those have resulted in him finishing in the top 3. That includes his most recent start there in Sept. 2024, and Busch is among many NASCAR at Darlington winners in the lineup, as his first victory with Joe Gibbs Racing came here. However, Busch has since moved on to Richard Childress Racing, and you can count this 1.366-miles oval as one of the team’s favorite venues to visit. RCR has an average finish of 14.7 at Darlington since the start of 2022, which is the second-best of any NASCAR team, trailing only RFK Racing (13.1). Busch can be had at +1800 at both DraftKings and Bet365.
More top NASCAR at Darlington expert picks, longshots revealed
You’ve seen the NASCAR longshots from the model. Now, see the full 2025 Goodyear 400 leaderboard, including forecasts for who finishes first. Visit SportsLine to see the projected leaderboard, all from the model that has nailed 20 winners, including Chase Elliott’s victory at Bowman Gray and Kyle Larson’s win at Homestead.
2025 NASCAR Darlington odds, drivers, lineup
Kyle Larson +450
Tyler Reddick +650
Ryan Blaney +700
Denny Hamlin +700
William Byron +900
Christopher Bell +1000
Joey Logano +1500
Chase Briscoe +1500
Bubba Wallace +1600
Ross Chastain +1800
Kyle Busch +1800
Chase Elliott +1800
Chris Buescher +2200
Brad Keselowski +2800
Alex Bowman +3000
Josh Berry +3500
Austin Cindric +4000
Ty Gibbs +5000
Noah Gragson +5000
Erik Jones +5000
Ryan Preece +5500
Carson Hocevar +6500
AJ Allmendinger +6500
Daniel Suarez +10000
Michael McDowell +17000
Zane Smith +20000
Todd Gilliland +20000
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. +20000
Justin Haley +20000
Austin Hill +20000
Austin Dillon +20000
Riley Herbst +25000
Cole Custer +25000
Shane Van Gisbergen +30000
John Hunter Nemechek +30000
Ty Dillon +50000
JJ Yeley +100000
Cody Ware +100000
This news was originally published on this post .
About the author
Arkansas Gets Ranked Win Over Texas Tech in Thrilling Sweet 16 Rematch
Trevon Brazile scored 18 of his 24 points after halftime and finished with 10 rebounds as No. 17 Arkansas overcame No. 16 Texas Tech on Saturday, 93-86, in a rematch of a Sweet 16 game in last season's NCAA Tournament.Arkansas (8-2), which trailed by as many as 10 points before halftime, went ahead for good on Brazile's driving layup that made it 78-77 with 5:20 left. A minute after that, coming out of a timeout, he made a move near the baseline that got JT Toppin in the air and drove by the preseason AP All-American for an emphatic one-handed slam dunk.Brazile is one of the three starters for the Razorbacks who played in the Sweet 16 game last March, when they had a 16-point lead midway through the second half before Tech rallied for an overtime victory.Toppin had 30 […]
Divine Ugochukwu Career Game Helps Michigan State Avoid Upset Bid by Penn State
Divine Ugochukwu scored a career-high 23 points and No. 9 Michigan State overcame a sloppy performance to beat Penn State, 76-72, on Saturday.Jaxon Kohler posted his fifth double-double of the season with 10 points and 12 rebounds while Carson Cooper added 10 points for the Spartans (9-1, 2-0 Big Ten), who committed a season-high 17 turnovers and trailed for long stretches in both halves.They were able to bear down, however, and avoid a second-straight loss after falling to No. 4 Duke on Monday.Freddie Dilione V scored a career-high 22 points, Kayden Mingo added 11 and Ivan Juric had 10 for the Nittany Lions (8-3, 0-2), who led by as many as nine in the first half and then by three with five minutes left four days after getting blown out by Indiana, 113-72.But thanks to some timely shooting by Ugochukwu, […]
Wilson stars for Fulham to extend Burnley losing run
Harry Wilson was involved in all of Fulham's goals as Marco Silva's side beat Burnley 3-2 at Turf Moor to extend their losing run to seven straight matches. The defeat marks the breaking of an unwanted record for Scott Parker, who has now overseen a Burnley team that has lost more than six in a row, a low the club hasn't slumped to since 1895. It's also a first win at Burnley for Fulham in 74 years. Player ratings: Burnley: Dubravka (4), Esteve (5), Ekdal (5), Tuanzebe (4), Hartman (6), Florentino (4), Cullen (4), Brunn Larsen (5), Foster (5), Broja (5), Ugochukwu (7) Subs: Edwards (3), Flemming (5), Sonne (6), Antony (5), Tresor (n/a) Fulham: Leno (7), Tete (6), Andersen (7), Bassey (7), Robinson (7), Berge (7), Iwobi (7), Wilson (9), Smith-Rowe (8), Chukwueze (8), Jimenez (6) Subs: King (6), […]
‘Worst 48 hours at the club’ – Confusion after Maresca’s cryptic Chelsea revelation
Enzo Maresca has described the 48 hours leading into Chelsea's 2-0 win over Everton as the "worst 48 hours since he joined the club".Chelsea ended a four-game run without a win in all competitions with victory over the Toffees to move back into the Premier League's top four, but Maresca was clearly unhappy despite a first win since November 22 easing the pressure on him. In an extraordinary outburst, the Blues boss suggested he felt he and his team hadn't been supported, before refusing to clarify what the issue was and who his words were aimed at. When asked about Malo Gusto's performance against Everton, Maresca praised his players before venting his frustrations."It's the effort from the players", he said in his post-match press conference. "We said many times that Reece [James] and Malo [Gusto], they are both full-backs and […]
Vynulovala nejlepší hráčku světa. To by mě ani ve snu nenapadlo, žasla česká brankářka po postupu
Den před zápasem trenéři ukázali právě na ni. A třicetiletá brankářka se z největšího zápasu své kariéry nesesypala. Klidně působila na hřišti při svých zákrocích i při rozhovoru po vítězství 1:0, zatímco spoluhráčky kolem nadšeně křepčily.Poprvé v historii skalp Finska na mistrovství světa, poprvé v historii postup do finále šampionátu? Jak vám to pár minut po zápase zní?Je to něco nepopsatelného. Myslím, že pro každou z nás je postup splněným snem, ale ještě nemáme hotovo. Největší zápas našich kariér nás čeká v neděli a my se na něj teď musíme připravit.Na turnaji jste vychytala už druhou nulu, ale proti Finsku s hvězdnou Veerou Kauppiovou má jistě výjimečnou cenu.To je super. Popravdě mě ani ve snu nenapadlo, že bychom to zavřely s čistým kontem. Ale není to jen moje práce. Myslím, že jsme je nepustily do mnoha šancí, výborně jsme to odbránily, eliminovaly jejich zbraně a výsledkem je postup do finále.Chystala jste […]
Colts to start 44-year-old Rivers vs Seahawks in Sunday’s NFL
Over four years after his last snap, Philip Rivers has been elevated from the Indianapolis Colts practice squad to the team's active roster to start against the Seattle Seahawks on Sunday. Following Daniel Jones being ruled out for the season with a torn Achilles, the Colts have since announced Rivers has been signed to the active roster from the practice squad. Rivers flew in for a workout with the team on Monday - his 44th birthday - signed to the practice squad on Tuesday and will be officially elevated on Saturday. With his signing to the active roster, Rivers, recently named a Hall of Fame modern-era semi-finalist, will lose his eligibility to be voted in during this cycle. His waiting period will now reset to five years from the end of his final season. Twitter This content is provided by […]
Related
Arkansas Gets Ranked Win Over Texas Tech in Thrilling Sweet 16 Rematch
Trevon Brazile scored 18 of his 24 points after halftime and finished with 10 rebounds as No. 17 Arkansas overcame No. 16 Texas Tech on Saturday, 93-86, in a rematch of a Sweet 16 game in last season's NCAA Tournament.Arkansas (8-2), which trailed by as many as 10 points before halftime, went ahead for good on Brazile's driving layup that made it 78-77 with 5:20 left. A minute after that, coming out of a timeout, he made a move near the baseline that got JT Toppin in the air and drove by the preseason AP All-American for an emphatic one-handed slam dunk.Brazile is one of the three starters for the Razorbacks who played in the Sweet 16 game last March, when they had a 16-point lead midway through the second half before Tech rallied for an overtime victory.Toppin had 30 […]
Divine Ugochukwu Career Game Helps Michigan State Avoid Upset Bid by Penn State
Divine Ugochukwu scored a career-high 23 points and No. 9 Michigan State overcame a sloppy performance to beat Penn State, 76-72, on Saturday.Jaxon Kohler posted his fifth double-double of the season with 10 points and 12 rebounds while Carson Cooper added 10 points for the Spartans (9-1, 2-0 Big Ten), who committed a season-high 17 turnovers and trailed for long stretches in both halves.They were able to bear down, however, and avoid a second-straight loss after falling to No. 4 Duke on Monday.Freddie Dilione V scored a career-high 22 points, Kayden Mingo added 11 and Ivan Juric had 10 for the Nittany Lions (8-3, 0-2), who led by as many as nine in the first half and then by three with five minutes left four days after getting blown out by Indiana, 113-72.But thanks to some timely shooting by Ugochukwu, […]
Wilson stars for Fulham to extend Burnley losing run
Harry Wilson was involved in all of Fulham's goals as Marco Silva's side beat Burnley 3-2 at Turf Moor to extend their losing run to seven straight matches. The defeat marks the breaking of an unwanted record for Scott Parker, who has now overseen a Burnley team that has lost more than six in a row, a low the club hasn't slumped to since 1895. It's also a first win at Burnley for Fulham in 74 years. Player ratings: Burnley: Dubravka (4), Esteve (5), Ekdal (5), Tuanzebe (4), Hartman (6), Florentino (4), Cullen (4), Brunn Larsen (5), Foster (5), Broja (5), Ugochukwu (7) Subs: Edwards (3), Flemming (5), Sonne (6), Antony (5), Tresor (n/a) Fulham: Leno (7), Tete (6), Andersen (7), Bassey (7), Robinson (7), Berge (7), Iwobi (7), Wilson (9), Smith-Rowe (8), Chukwueze (8), Jimenez (6) Subs: King (6), […]
‘Worst 48 hours at the club’ – Confusion after Maresca’s cryptic Chelsea revelation
Enzo Maresca has described the 48 hours leading into Chelsea's 2-0 win over Everton as the "worst 48 hours since he joined the club".Chelsea ended a four-game run without a win in all competitions with victory over the Toffees to move back into the Premier League's top four, but Maresca was clearly unhappy despite a first win since November 22 easing the pressure on him. In an extraordinary outburst, the Blues boss suggested he felt he and his team hadn't been supported, before refusing to clarify what the issue was and who his words were aimed at. When asked about Malo Gusto's performance against Everton, Maresca praised his players before venting his frustrations."It's the effort from the players", he said in his post-match press conference. "We said many times that Reece [James] and Malo [Gusto], they are both full-backs and […]
Vynulovala nejlepší hráčku světa. To by mě ani ve snu nenapadlo, žasla česká brankářka po postupu
Den před zápasem trenéři ukázali právě na ni. A třicetiletá brankářka se z největšího zápasu své kariéry nesesypala. Klidně působila na hřišti při svých zákrocích i při rozhovoru po vítězství 1:0, zatímco spoluhráčky kolem nadšeně křepčily.Poprvé v historii skalp Finska na mistrovství světa, poprvé v historii postup do finále šampionátu? Jak vám to pár minut po zápase zní?Je to něco nepopsatelného. Myslím, že pro každou z nás je postup splněným snem, ale ještě nemáme hotovo. Největší zápas našich kariér nás čeká v neděli a my se na něj teď musíme připravit.Na turnaji jste vychytala už druhou nulu, ale proti Finsku s hvězdnou Veerou Kauppiovou má jistě výjimečnou cenu.To je super. Popravdě mě ani ve snu nenapadlo, že bychom to zavřely s čistým kontem. Ale není to jen moje práce. Myslím, že jsme je nepustily do mnoha šancí, výborně jsme to odbránily, eliminovaly jejich zbraně a výsledkem je postup do finále.Chystala jste […]
Colts to start 44-year-old Rivers vs Seahawks in Sunday’s NFL
Over four years after his last snap, Philip Rivers has been elevated from the Indianapolis Colts practice squad to the team's active roster to start against the Seattle Seahawks on Sunday. Following Daniel Jones being ruled out for the season with a torn Achilles, the Colts have since announced Rivers has been signed to the active roster from the practice squad. Rivers flew in for a workout with the team on Monday - his 44th birthday - signed to the practice squad on Tuesday and will be officially elevated on Saturday. With his signing to the active roster, Rivers, recently named a Hall of Fame modern-era semi-finalist, will lose his eligibility to be voted in during this cycle. His waiting period will now reset to five years from the end of his final season. Twitter This content is provided by […]
Be the first to leave a comment