There are five players in Major League Baseball who have already hit at least eight home runs. Cal Raleigh and Tyler Soderstrom were power-hitting prospects who are living up to the hype, while Mike Trout and Fernando Tatis Jr. are two of the biggest names in the game. Then there’s Dodgers second baseman Tommy Edman, who has never hit more than 13 home runs in a season but has already gone yard eight times in 2025. Edman is well-protected in a loaded Los Angeles lineup and seeing the ball well, but you can still find Edman to homer against the Cubs on Wednesday for +500 in the latest MLB HR odds at BetMGM Sportsbook.
Can he stay hot enough to add to your MLB home run picks or should you avoid the potential for regression in your MLB bets? With MLB HR props available for almost every player in every game at sportsbooks, SportsLine’s proven computer model can help you find value to add to your MLB home run picks.
The model simulates every game 10,000 times and is on a 13-6 roll on all top-rated MLB picks since the start of the season. It also nailed at least one home run on six of seven days last week, including calling Elly De La Cruz (+700) and Tatis (+475) to go yard on Sunday. The SportsLine Projection Model has called a HR prop in 10 of the last 15 days and is up 26.15 units in that period. Now, the model and SportsLine’s team of Data Scientists have revealed their projections for some of the most-bet MLB HR props on Monday. These three picks can also be parlayed for +9360 odds and would pay out $473 on a $5 bet at FanDuel Sportsbook.
Oneil Cruz, Pirates (+340)
Cruz is coming off a season where he set new career-highs in home runs (21), RBI (76), stolen bases (22) and OPS (.773), and he’s been even better thus far in 2025. He homered in three games straight last week and is sitting at five on the season with an .838 OPS. FanDuel is offering the best price on Cruz to hit a homer on Thursday.
“Cruz has a 1.011 OPS with five HRs in 51 at-bats against right-handed pitching this season. He is facing righty Jack Kochanowicz, who has a 6.20 ERA to start the season, so its no surprise we like the value on Cruz today,” SportsLine data analyst Jacob Fetner said. “We set the line at +308 for Cruz to hit a long ball.” Cruz is +340 to go yard at FanDuel.
Byron Buxton, Twins (+330)
Since the start of 2019, Buxton’s has averaged 36 home runs per 162 games, so his power is unquestionable. The only thing that has held him back has been his health, as he’s only played 487 games during that span. However, Buxton is off to a healthy start in 2025 and he launched his fourth home run of the season on Sunday. He’s trending in the right direction at the plate heading into a matchup with the lowly White Sox.
“This line is around +250 consensus, so you are getting a great price on FanDuel,” Fetner said. “Buxton is swinging a hot bat with five multi-hit games over his last eight games played to go along with two home runs in that span.”
Wyatt Langford, Rangers (+425)
After hitting 47 home runs in two seasons as a starter at Florida and 10 home runs in 44 minor-league games after being selected fourth overall in the 2023 MLB Draft, Langford was fast-tracked to the big leagues and hit 16 home runs as a rookie. Langford went 3-for-4 with a home run yesterday in his second game back from the injured list after an oblique injury and already has five home runs in 14 games this season.
“Langford pretty much went straight from the MLB draft to the majors, so he has had to adjust more so than others, but he has an OPS over .900 against lefties to begin his career,” Fetner said. “Langford is 0-6 against JP Sears in his career, but he has put the ball into play in all 6 ABs against Sears. With Langford now seeing Sears a few times in his career and his success against LHPs, I think this is a good opportunity for Langford to go yard.” BetMGM has the best line at +425.
More MLB picks for Wednesday
You’ve seen the model’s MLB HR prop picks for some popular props on Wednesday. Now, get MLB projections for every player prop at SportsLine.
Need more from SportsLine? See today’s best MLB picks from SportsLine’s Matt Severance, who is on a 70-31 roll on baseball picks. Still craving more? SportsLine’s Bruce Marshall is 10-6 on his last 16 MLB ATS picks and you can find all his latest selections here.
This news was originally published on this post .
About the author
5 plays that powered Fernando Mendoza to the 2025 Heisman Trophy
Fernando Mendoza won the 2025 Heisman Trophy on Saturday night ahead of Vanderbilt’s Diego Pavia, Notre Dame’s Jeremiyah Love and Ohio State’s Julian Sayin.Mendoza has led Indiana to a 13-0 record, the school’s first Big Ten title since 1967 and the No. 1 seed in the College Football Playoff. Here are five of the plays that made him the school’s first Heisman winner.AdvertisementAdvertisementAdvertisement13-yard TD to Omar Cooper Jr. against Indiana StateLook, we know that games against FCS teams are generally viewed as stat-padding opportunities for players at top schools. But what Mendoza did against Indiana State over the first and second quarters in Week 3 was incredibly impressiveThis 13-yard throw to Omar Cooper Jr. was one of four touchdown passes Cooper caught in the 73-0 win over the Sycamores.As Cooper was open all day — he had 10 catches for […]
Indiana QB Fernando Mendoza Wins Historic 2025 Heisman Trophy Award
Indiana Hoosiers quarterback Fernando Mendoza balled out this season and has been rewarded with some esteemed hardware.Mendoza won the 2025 Heisman Trophy Award on Saturday night, beating out fellow quarterbacks Julian Sayin (Ohio State) and Diego Pavia (Vanderbilt) and Notre Dame running back Jeremiyah Love.Mendoza is the first player in Hoosiers history to win the Heisman and just the second player in program history to finish as a finalist for the award; running back Anthony Thompson, a two-time All-American and two-time Big Ten Player of the Year, was the runner-up for the 1989 Heisman Trophy Award.The 6-foot-5 Mendoza has been at the center of the best season in Indiana history, with the Hoosiers (13-0) beating Ohio State in the Big Ten Championship Game last week and claiming the No. 1 seed in the College Football Playoff.Through 13 games, Mendoza has […]
2025 Heisman Trophy: Indiana QB Fernando Mendoza becomes the school’s first Heisman winner
Fernando Mendoza is Indiana’s first Heisman Trophy winner.The junior quarterback beat Vanderbilt QB Diego Pavia, Notre Dame RB Jeremiyah Love and Ohio State QB Julian Sayin to win the 2025 Heisman on Saturday night. Mendoza won the award as Indiana went undefeated in the regular season, took down Ohio State in the Big Ten title game and is the No. 1 seed for the College Football Playoff.AdvertisementAdvertisementAdvertisement"Standing here tonight, holding this bad boy, representing Indiana University still doesn't feel real," Mendoza said after winning the award. "If you told me as a kid in Miami, that I'd be here on stage holding this prestigious trophy, I probably would have laughed, cried like I'm doing now or both. Because this moment, it's an honor, it's bigger than me. It's a product of a family, team, community and a whole lot of […]
No. 22 Navy Executes Late to Earn Bragging Rights in Close Win vs. Army
Quarterback Blake Horvath threw an 8-yard touchdown pass to wide receiver Eli Heidenreich with 6:32 remaining — on fourth-and-goal — to help No. 22 Navy rally past Army, 17-16, on Saturday.Horvath turned the ball over twice, and his fumble near the goal line nearly spoiled Navy's key drive. On second down from the 1, the ball came loose when the Midshipmen (10-2) attempted a tush push, but Heidenreich fell on the ball back at the 8.After an incompletion, Navy — down 16-10 — decided to go for it on fourth down, and Horvath found his top receiving threat over the middle in the end zone.Army then had to punt, and on third-and-3 from the Army 43, the ball popped loose on a run by Horvath, but he was able to catch it out of the air and reach for the […]
Nebraska Hits Game-Winner vs. Illinois, Improves to 11-0 For 1st Time In History
Jamarques Lawrence hit a 3-point shot with less than a second remaining to give No. 23 Nebraska an 83-80 win over No. 13 Illinois on Saturday.The undefeated Huskers (11-0, 2-0 Big Ten) are off to the best start in program history. They won 10 in a row to start the 1977-78 season.Tomislav Ivicic's 3-pointer — his only points of the game — with 17 seconds to go deadlocked the game at 80-all for the Illini (8-3, 1-1), who trailed by as many as 10 points in the second half and 14 points in the first half.Lawrence finished with 14 points. Pryce Sandfort scored a career-high 32 points and Rienk Mast had 17 points and seven rebounds for the Huskers in their first road game of the season.Kylan Boswell scored 20 points for Illinois, which led for only 16 seconds early […]
Brandon Aiyuk’s 2025 season officially ends with zero games played and Niners future in doubt
Brandon Aiyuk's 2025 will officially go down as a lost season. It also appears likely it will go down as his final year with the San Francisco 49ers.The Niners wide receiver was placed on the reserve/left squad list on Saturday, officially ending his season. He had previously spent the entire campaign on the physically unable to perform list while recovering from a torn ACL he sustained last year.AdvertisementAdvertisementAdvertisementThe exact circumstances of the move are unclear, but it's a designation that means what it says on the tin. Aiyuk is no longer with the team, without permission.It has been nearly 14 months since the Pro Bowler last appeared in a game for the Niners. His 2024 season ended prematurely with the torn ACL, but he was expected to come back this season and provide the downfield threat that earned him his […]
Related
5 plays that powered Fernando Mendoza to the 2025 Heisman Trophy
Fernando Mendoza won the 2025 Heisman Trophy on Saturday night ahead of Vanderbilt’s Diego Pavia, Notre Dame’s Jeremiyah Love and Ohio State’s Julian Sayin.Mendoza has led Indiana to a 13-0 record, the school’s first Big Ten title since 1967 and the No. 1 seed in the College Football Playoff. Here are five of the plays that made him the school’s first Heisman winner.AdvertisementAdvertisementAdvertisement13-yard TD to Omar Cooper Jr. against Indiana StateLook, we know that games against FCS teams are generally viewed as stat-padding opportunities for players at top schools. But what Mendoza did against Indiana State over the first and second quarters in Week 3 was incredibly impressiveThis 13-yard throw to Omar Cooper Jr. was one of four touchdown passes Cooper caught in the 73-0 win over the Sycamores.As Cooper was open all day — he had 10 catches for […]
Indiana QB Fernando Mendoza Wins Historic 2025 Heisman Trophy Award
Indiana Hoosiers quarterback Fernando Mendoza balled out this season and has been rewarded with some esteemed hardware.Mendoza won the 2025 Heisman Trophy Award on Saturday night, beating out fellow quarterbacks Julian Sayin (Ohio State) and Diego Pavia (Vanderbilt) and Notre Dame running back Jeremiyah Love.Mendoza is the first player in Hoosiers history to win the Heisman and just the second player in program history to finish as a finalist for the award; running back Anthony Thompson, a two-time All-American and two-time Big Ten Player of the Year, was the runner-up for the 1989 Heisman Trophy Award.The 6-foot-5 Mendoza has been at the center of the best season in Indiana history, with the Hoosiers (13-0) beating Ohio State in the Big Ten Championship Game last week and claiming the No. 1 seed in the College Football Playoff.Through 13 games, Mendoza has […]
2025 Heisman Trophy: Indiana QB Fernando Mendoza becomes the school’s first Heisman winner
Fernando Mendoza is Indiana’s first Heisman Trophy winner.The junior quarterback beat Vanderbilt QB Diego Pavia, Notre Dame RB Jeremiyah Love and Ohio State QB Julian Sayin to win the 2025 Heisman on Saturday night. Mendoza won the award as Indiana went undefeated in the regular season, took down Ohio State in the Big Ten title game and is the No. 1 seed for the College Football Playoff.AdvertisementAdvertisementAdvertisement"Standing here tonight, holding this bad boy, representing Indiana University still doesn't feel real," Mendoza said after winning the award. "If you told me as a kid in Miami, that I'd be here on stage holding this prestigious trophy, I probably would have laughed, cried like I'm doing now or both. Because this moment, it's an honor, it's bigger than me. It's a product of a family, team, community and a whole lot of […]
No. 22 Navy Executes Late to Earn Bragging Rights in Close Win vs. Army
Quarterback Blake Horvath threw an 8-yard touchdown pass to wide receiver Eli Heidenreich with 6:32 remaining — on fourth-and-goal — to help No. 22 Navy rally past Army, 17-16, on Saturday.Horvath turned the ball over twice, and his fumble near the goal line nearly spoiled Navy's key drive. On second down from the 1, the ball came loose when the Midshipmen (10-2) attempted a tush push, but Heidenreich fell on the ball back at the 8.After an incompletion, Navy — down 16-10 — decided to go for it on fourth down, and Horvath found his top receiving threat over the middle in the end zone.Army then had to punt, and on third-and-3 from the Army 43, the ball popped loose on a run by Horvath, but he was able to catch it out of the air and reach for the […]
Nebraska Hits Game-Winner vs. Illinois, Improves to 11-0 For 1st Time In History
Jamarques Lawrence hit a 3-point shot with less than a second remaining to give No. 23 Nebraska an 83-80 win over No. 13 Illinois on Saturday.The undefeated Huskers (11-0, 2-0 Big Ten) are off to the best start in program history. They won 10 in a row to start the 1977-78 season.Tomislav Ivicic's 3-pointer — his only points of the game — with 17 seconds to go deadlocked the game at 80-all for the Illini (8-3, 1-1), who trailed by as many as 10 points in the second half and 14 points in the first half.Lawrence finished with 14 points. Pryce Sandfort scored a career-high 32 points and Rienk Mast had 17 points and seven rebounds for the Huskers in their first road game of the season.Kylan Boswell scored 20 points for Illinois, which led for only 16 seconds early […]
Brandon Aiyuk’s 2025 season officially ends with zero games played and Niners future in doubt
Brandon Aiyuk's 2025 will officially go down as a lost season. It also appears likely it will go down as his final year with the San Francisco 49ers.The Niners wide receiver was placed on the reserve/left squad list on Saturday, officially ending his season. He had previously spent the entire campaign on the physically unable to perform list while recovering from a torn ACL he sustained last year.AdvertisementAdvertisementAdvertisementThe exact circumstances of the move are unclear, but it's a designation that means what it says on the tin. Aiyuk is no longer with the team, without permission.It has been nearly 14 months since the Pro Bowler last appeared in a game for the Niners. His 2024 season ended prematurely with the torn ACL, but he was expected to come back this season and provide the downfield threat that earned him his […]
Be the first to leave a comment