2025 Miami Grand Prix odds, picks, grid, start time: Formula 1 predictions, best bets from advanced model

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After a week off, the Formula 1 schedule resumes with the 2025 Miami Grand Prix on Sunday. The Miami International Autodrome loops around Hard Rock Stadium and first appeared on the F1 schedule in 2022, with Max Verstappen of Red Bull Racing winning in 2022 and 2023 while McLaren’s Lando Norris won in 2024. However, it’s Oscar Piastri who was the first to three wins this season, and he’s third in the odds at +270 favorite, with teammate Norris favored at +145 in the latest 2025 Miami Grand Prix odds from FanDuel Sportsbook. Verstappen, who claimed the pole position in qualifying on Saturday, is now listed as the second favorite at +175. 

The lights go out at 4 p.m. ET on Sunday. There are also dozens of Formula 1 props you can play like podium finish, top-six finish, team to go double podium, and more. Piastri and Norris are the +130 co-favorites to record the fastest lap, while Verstappen, who holds the fastest lap record at 1 minute 29.708 seconds, is +850. Before analyzing the 2025 Miami Grand Prix starting grid and making any Formula 1 picks, be sure to check out the latest 2025 Miami GP predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven projection model.

Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary Formula 1 prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking into account factors such as track history and recent results. It’s had a strong history of betting success in motorsports, correctly predicting 20 NASCAR winners since the 2021 season and its projected leaderboards have forecasted winners across multiple racing formats.

The model has been scorching hot when it comes to picking Formula 1 race events dating back to 2021 as well. It nailed 10 victories across the 2021 and 2022 seasons and then forecasted Verstappen’s rise to prominence by calling all 19 of Verstappen’s wins during the 2023 season and each of his first seven wins in 2024.

It went on to predict Norris as a +200 winner in the Netherlands, a +190 winner in Singapore and a +250 winner in Abu Dhabi later in 2024 before projecting Norris for a +185 win at the 2025 Australian Grand Prix. Then it stayed hot by calling Piastri’s wins in Bahrain (-275) and Saudi Arabia (-105), and has now called 32 of the last 49 winners dating back to 2023. Anyone who followed the model’s lead on those plays at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen huge returns.

Now, the model has dialed in on the 2025 Formula 1 Miami Grand Prix and just released its coveted picks and leaderboard projections. You can head to SportsLine now to see the 2025 Miami Grand Prix projected leaderboard.

Top 2025 Formula 1 Miami Grand Prix predictions

One surprise: The model is predicting a points finish (top 10) for Racing Bulls’ Isack Hadjar that would pay out +200 at BetMGM after correctly predicting a top 10 (+150) for Carlos Sainz of Williams last race in Saudi Arabia. Hadjar is a 20-year-old Frenchman who finished second in Formula 2 last season and he earned a seat with Racing Bulls after Yuki Tsunoda was elevated to Red Bull Racing this offseason to team with Verstappen.

Thus far, the youngster has held his own, overcoming an embarrassing debut where he crashed his car during the formation lap and had to be retired to collect points in two of his last three races. Most sportsbooks have Hadjar priced between -115 and +100 to earn his third top-10 finish in four races, so this is a tremendous value given the team’s recent success. See more 2025 Miami Grand Prix picks right here.

How to make 2025 Miami Grand Prix picks

The model has revealed its win prediction and is also targeting a driver going off with double-digit odds to make a surprising surge up the 2025 Miami GP leaderboard. Anyone who backs him could hit it big. You can find out who he is, and see all of the model’s F1 picks and predictions, at SportsLine.

So who wins the Miami Grand Prix 2025, and which stunning longshot charges toward the front? Check out the latest 2025 F1 odds below, then visit SportsLine now to see the full projected 2025 Miami Grand Prix leaderboard, all from the model that has nailed 32 of the 49 winners in Formula 1 since the start of 2023, and find out.

2025 Formula 1 Miami Grand Prix odds, grid, contenders

See F1 Miami Grand Prix picks at SportsLine.

Lando Norris +145
Max Verstappen +175
Oscar Piastri +270
Kimi Antonelli +1200
George Russell +2800
Charles Leclerc +7000
Carlos Sainz +11000
Lewis Hamilton +11000
Alex Albon +11000
Yuki Tsunoda +42000
Esteban Ocon +42000
Gabriel Bortoleto +50000
Pierre Gasly +50000
Liam Lawson +50000
Oliver Bearman +50000
Lance Stroll +50000
Jack Doohan +50000
Nico Hulkenberg +50000
Isack Hadjar +50000
Fernando Alonso +50000

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