2025 Open Championship odds, picks: Scheffler, McIlroy, DeChambeau predictions by model that called 15 majors

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The 2025 Open Championship will be played at Royal Portrush this season, with action taking place from July 17-20 at the private club in County Antrim in Northern Ireland opened in 1888. Rory McIlroy took some pressure off by completing the career grand slam at the 2025 Masters, but the intensity could ratchet back up given the setting next week. McIlroy is from Northern Ireland and was the betting favorite when the Open Championship was last held at Royal Portrush in 2019, but shot an opening-round 79 and missed the cut.

The silver lining to that performance was that McIlroy did shoot 65 on Friday and he did have a top-10 finish at Royal Portrush in the 2012 Irish Open. Now McIlroy is listed at +700 in the 2025 Open Championship odds while Scottie Scheffler is listed as the +450 favorite as the action is set to begin Thursday morning. Before locking in your 2025 Open Championship picks or entering any PGA DFS tournaments on sites like DraftKings and FanDuel, be sure to see the golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

SportsLine’s proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June 2020. In fact, the model is up over $8,500 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.

This same model has also nailed a whopping 15 majors entering the weekend, including the 2025 Masters — its fourth Masters in a row — and the 2025 PGA Championship. Anyone who has followed its sports betting picks could have seen massive returns on betting sites. New users have the opportunity to take advantage of the latest FanDuel promo codeDraftKings promo code and Fanatics Sportsbook promo code.

Now that the 2025 Open Championship field is locked in and fans are deciding where to bet the Open Championship, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.

2025 Open Championship predictions for Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy, Bryson DeChambeau 

One shocker the model is calling at the Open Championship 2025: Rory McIlroy, a five-time major champion, stumbles this week and falls outside the top three. The 36-year-old is now a five-time major champion and is one of only six golfers to complete the modern grand slam after winning the 2025 Masters. He’s also the 2014 Open Championship winner, but he didn’t fare well while facing enormous pressure at Royal Portrush in 2019.

The Northern Irishman missed the cut at the first Open Championship played in Northern Ireland in nearly 70 years despite being the betting and rooting favorite. He’s also failed to crack the top five in each of the five solo events that he’s played since winning at Augusta and missed the cut at last year’s Open Championship.

The model has also locked in its projection for Scottie Scheffler, who is now a three-time major champion after winning the PGA Championship earlier this year. He’s unquestionably the best player in the world right now after piling up 16 wins on the PGA Tour since Feb. 2022, but he has had a few difficulties in the Open Championship. He hasn’t cracked the top five in any of his four starts in golf’s oldest major and was outside the top 20 twice.

However, he has been inside the top 25 in all four of his Open Championship starts and was top 10 twice, including a career-best t-7th finish last year at Royal Troon. He’s top 25 in all four major strokes gained categories on the PGA Tour this season and his improvements to his all-around game, particularly his putting, are a big reason why he could finally be a factor in an Open Championship. 

Meanwhile, the model has examined Bryson DeChambeau’s chances of winning a third major. The 31-year-old has piled up 14 worldwide wins, and he’s helped modernize the game in more ways than one, with single-length clubs, an analytical style and an army of social media followers. He’s also become one of the biggest major championship threats in golf, with six top-six finishes in majors the last three seasons and two major wins.

However, he’s coming off a missed cut at the U.S. Open, and he’s also struggled to adapt to links golf. He’s missed the cut in three of his seven career starts at Open Championships and has only recorded one top-25 finish, though it was a respectable T-8 in 2022. He’s a different player since missing the cut at Royal Portrush in 2019, but will his playing style work in an Open Championship setting? See the full Open Championship projections from the model here.

How to make 2025 Open Championship picks

The model is targeting targeting five golfers with odds of 28-1 or longer to make a strong run up the leaderboard, including a monster 90-1 longshot. You can only see the model’s picks here.

Who will win the 2025 Open Championship, which longshots will stun the golfing world, and where will Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy and Bryson DeChambeau finish? Check out the latest 2025 Open Championship odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected leaderboard, all from the model that’s nailed 15 golf majors, including the last four Masters and last two PGA Championships.

2025 Open Championship odds, favorites 

Get full 2025 Open Championship picks, best bets and predictions here

(odds subject to change)

Scottie Scheffler +450
Rory McIlroy +700
Jon Rahm +1200
Bryson DeChambeau +2000
Xander Schauffele +2500
Ludvig Åberg +2800
Tommy Fleetwood +2800
Collin Morikawa +3000
Viktor Hovland +3000
Tyrrell Hatton +3000
Shane Lowry +3300
Robert MacIntyre +3500
Sepp Straka +5000
Joaquin Niemann +5000
Justin Thomas +5000
Matt Fitzpatrick +5500
Jordan Spieth +5500
Brooks Koepka +5500
Patrick Cantlay +5500
Russell Henley +6500
Corey Conners +7500
Justin Rose +7500
Patrick Reed +8000
Adam Scott +8000
Cameron Young +8000
Hideki Matsuyama +8000
Sam Burns +8000
Ben Griffin +9000
Ryan Fox +9000
Jason Day +9000
Chris Gotterup +9000
Keegan Bradley +10000

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