- Starts of the Week, not sit-your-studs: This is a list of players poised to beat expectations, accompanied by my confidence rating at the end of each outlook. Use them to win close decisions, not to bench superstars.
- Jacoby Brissett‘s smash spot: Another projected negative game script sets Brissett up for heavy volume. He has been a top-five fantasy quarterback since taking over and should deliver again this week.
- Get PFF+ for 30% off: Use promo code HOLIDAY30 to unlock the PFF Player Prop Tool, Premium Stats, fantasy dashboards, the PFF Mock Draft Simulator, industry-leading fantasy rankings and much more — everything you need to win your season.
Quarterbacks
Dak Prescott, Dallas Cowboys
Dak Prescott is set up to deliver in Week 17 and help decide fantasy championships.
The Cowboys face the Commanders, the seventh-easiest matchup for opposing quarterbacks this week, and Washington’s defense has been consistently beaten through the air all season.
With significant uncertainty at quarterback for Washington, Dallas should control time of possession and give Prescott plenty of opportunities to attack downfield.
Confidence Level: Top-10 QB
Tyler Shough, New Orleans Saints
Tyler Shough has quietly been the QB7 over the past four weeks, averaging 19 fantasy points per game.
This week, Shough draws the sixth-easiest matchup for fantasy quarterbacks. On top of that, the Saints face the easiest matchup for wide receivers, and Shough and Chris Olave have found their rhythm recently. Olave currently ranks as the WR2 during the fantasy playoffs, trailing only Puka Nacua.
The Shough-to-Olave connection should be on full display in the fantasy championship.
Confidence Level: Mid-tier QB1
Wide receivers
Courtland Sutton, Denver Broncos
The connection between Courtland Sutton and Bo Nix caught fire just before the fantasy playoffs and has not slowed down.
Over the past four weeks, Sutton ranks as the PPR WR5, averaging 18.6 PPR points per game. Denver now faces a Chiefs team that will be without Patrick Mahomes and Gardner Minshew, and while Kansas City’s defense remains a challenging matchup for wide receivers, time of possession should give the Broncos opportunities to generate big plays to Sutton.
Confidence Level: High-end WR2
Jauan Jennings, San Francisco 49ers
Jauan Jennings has been the WR10 during the fantasy playoffs, averaging 18.4 PPR points per game.
Jennings posted a 20% adjusted target rate in Week 16 and saw six targets, third on the team behind George Kittle and Christian McCaffrey. While the Week 16 matchup against the Bears is a difficult one, this game carries one of the highest totals in Week 17, and with both offenses clicking, Brock Purdy and the 49ers should be throwing often to keep pace.
Confidence Level: Mid-tier WR2
Running backs
Michael Carter, Arizona Cardinals
Carter had a disappointing outing in Week 16, finishing with just 6.5 PPR points, but he draws a favorable matchup this week against a Bengals defense that has allowed PPR production to running backs at a league-high rate this season.
The concern is game script, as the Cardinals are likely to be playing from behind, placing added emphasis on Jacoby Brissett checking the ball down early and often to Carter. On the positive side, Cincinnati has allowed more than 70 receptions to opposing running backs this season, a top-10 mark in the league.
If Brissett can consistently involve Carter in the passing game, this sets up as a potential championship-winning spot.
Confidence Level: High-end RB2
D‘Andre Swift, Chicago Bears
The Bears draw the third-easiest matchup for running backs in the fantasy championship.
Over the past five weeks, the 49ers have allowed a top-10 total in receptions to running backs and more than 5 yards per carry, fifth most in the NFL. Chicago should look to control the game through the short passing attack and the run game, both of which benefit D’Andre Swift in the fantasy championship.
Confidence Level: High-end RB2
This news was originally published on this post .
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